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This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping. Hosted by HRN: Horse-Races.Net
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6/5/19
Will you be doing the CMP profile this year. I believe there are 4 or 5 numbers related to this?
6/5/19
Maybe the best way to handicap the race is betting on the 4 jockeys who you "think" can win with a competent ride. Lets see --- Ortiz jr (wins a lot) - Ortiz (wins a lot at Belmont) - Lepareaux (really hot right now) - and Johnny V (Pletcher angle). Ok I'll box these 4 in an exacta and call it a day. No handicapping required.
6/5/19
They all look pretty much the same to me with the exception of the Preakness. His race in the Holy Bull was a good one too but that was at 8 1/2 furlongs.
6/5/19
When Pat Day was still riding, half the crowd at Keeneland would bet on whichever horse he was riding regardless of its real chance of winning. Of course many of his mounts were the better regarded entrants anyway but his presence would make many of them unbettable. Some days he would ride five winners and other days people would be cussing him out lol. Bottom line, a good jockey sure doesn’t hurt but they’re not going to win the race without the horse.
6/5/19
Oldbettowin said...
I’ve got Everfast down for a pretty significant regression in this race
Let's put it this way: If you are playing a superfecta, I would not leave him off my ticket.
6/5/19
zowcownow said...
Maybe the best way to handicap the race is betting on the 4 jockeys who you "think" can win with a competent ride. Lets see --- Ortiz jr (wins a lot) - Ortiz (wins a lot at Belmont) - Lepareaux (really hot right now) - and Johnny V (Pletcher angle). Ok I'll box these 4 in an exacta and call it a day. No handicapping required.
IF you think it's a jockey's race, then you would have to play Lezcano wouldn't you? He's the top rider at BEL
6/5/19
Agreed. He'll be last, 15 lengths off the pace and pass Joevia in the final 1/16th to finish 8th.
6/6/19
Wiseguy angle......Ok....going with Tapit and Peter Pan angle. Sir Winston, Intrepid Heart (tapit), Tacitus (tapit), and Bourbon War (tapit).