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Belmont Stakes   Triple Crown - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 5/26/19 by Oldbettowin; 32936 views.
Julz1127

From: Julz1127

6/5/19

Will you be doing the CMP profile this year. I believe there are 4 or 5 numbers related to this?

zowcownow

From: zowcownow

6/5/19

Everfast has improved as his races have gotten longer.  

In reply toRe: msg 110
zowcownow

From: zowcownow

6/5/19

Maybe the best way to handicap the race is betting on the 4 jockeys who you "think" can win with a competent ride.   Lets see --- Ortiz jr (wins a lot) - Ortiz (wins a lot at Belmont)  - Lepareaux (really hot right now) - and Johnny V (Pletcher angle).  Ok I'll box these 4 in an exacta and call it a day.  No handicapping required.  

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

6/5/19

They all look pretty much the same to me with the exception of the Preakness.  His race in the Holy Bull was a good one too but that was at 8 1/2 furlongs.  

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

6/5/19

When Pat Day was still riding, half the crowd at Keeneland would bet on whichever horse he was riding regardless of its real chance of winning.  Of course many of his mounts were the better regarded entrants anyway but his presence would make many of them unbettable.  Some days he would ride five winners and other days people would be cussing him out lol.  Bottom line, a good jockey sure doesn’t hurt but they’re not going to win the race without the horse.  

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/5/19

Oldbettowin said...

I’ve got Everfast down for a pretty significant regression in this race

Let's put it this way:  If you are playing a superfecta, I would not leave him off my ticket.  

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/5/19

zowcownow said...

Maybe the best way to handicap the race is betting on the 4 jockeys who you "think" can win with a competent ride.   Lets see --- Ortiz jr (wins a lot) - Ortiz (wins a lot at Belmont)  - Lepareaux (really hot right now) - and Johnny V (Pletcher angle).  Ok I'll box these 4 in an exacta and call it a day.  No handicapping required.  

IF you think it's a jockey's race, then you would have to play Lezcano wouldn't you?  He's the top rider at BEL 

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

6/5/19

In a four horse race I woul 100% agree.  :D

cubs.fan

From: cubs.fan

6/5/19

Agreed. He'll be last, 15 lengths off the pace and pass Joevia in the final 1/16th to finish 8th.

zowcownow

From: zowcownow

6/6/19

Wiseguy angle......Ok....going with Tapit and Peter Pan angle.  Sir Winston, Intrepid Heart (tapit),  Tacitus (tapit), and Bourbon War (tapit).

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