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Belmont Stakes   Triple Crown

Started 5/26/19 by Oldbettowin; 10834 views.
Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

6/9/19

You made some real memories though, the kind you can’t put a price on!

In reply toRe: msg 150
PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

6/9/19

The irony of Jose being wide wide, while wide, wide Joel got a ground saving trip.  Tacitus was the best horse, Sir Winston got the better trip.    The other, Lepareaux who graduated from the Pat "wait all Day" school of riding, waiting too long again.  Went from 9th to 5th in the stretch.   similar to the Derby ride finishing well, but way too late.  Works well in those claimers at CD where he doesn't use up more horse than needed, bit not so well in the big races.

My main plays were built around pretty much straight Tacitus, over Sir Winston, over Master Fencer.  Savers with SW over Tacitus, but heaviest with Tacitus up top.  MF solidly in 3rd, Had WoW only in 4th, put Tax in 3rd and 4th, and also MF 4th when Tax 3rd.  Bulk of my bet was Tacitus over SW exacta.  Did not use any other horse, did not use the 1.  Was not thrilled or sure about Shanghai Bobby as a sire, nor Wat Front as bms, Mr Greeley did not scream either.  The only thing I though positive was his tf.  But you need to get a bit lucky.  The whole day looked like a chalk fest, so I did not play much anything underneath, and it was mostly except the Woody Stephens, I would not of had those.   McKinzie, I did not play either but thought he was best there, just could not get through, so ride/luck cost him.  I am not blessed enough that I can make a straight  super with 1/2/3/ 4&5 and then if comes in with the 4&5 dead heating for 4th making all tickets winners.

A lot seemed to come up with the exacta, but then it looks like a lot of people spread very wide.  I did not spread this race, nor the Preakness, played my opnion heavy with the most straight bets.  Saver pulled out Belmont day and Preakness day other losses so not bad, but would have been nice if Joel did a little bit of those Game Winner rides.

Edit:  Sir Winston I swear was 8-1 all day long, then after the race goes up to 10-1.  Had it been up there when I bet may have swayed me to use a saver there. But with me, it usually goes the other way like earlier this year, played a horse 12-1 at the break, who was 8-1 when they crossed the line.  I could not believe all the interest in Intrepid Heart, or for Spinoff either.   Only 3 races and getting pounded that hard.  I was all in on his half COmissioner, and got that bad beat at the wire. and played Vinno (dam is VR granddam) in hopes of upsetting the TC last year, so was a bit worried about karma hitting me for not considering IH.   Was it just TAP that caused all that interest?  That is all I heard.  Looks like TAP was the wise guy this year.

  • Edited June 9, 2019 8:39 am  by  PISTOL9
In reply toRe: msg 38
Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

6/9/19

Add another ND to this, and still no Tapit’s have won that had a Phalaris bms.  2nd or 3rd’s okay though.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

6/9/19

I love Mitole. he is a serious racehorse. As much as I am not a McKinzie fan, I have to acknowledge that he had a lot of trouble. He may be better at middle distances.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

6/9/19

Sure did! She played pretty well for an inexperienced 10 year old. Played left field in the first game, and shortstop in the final game. She had a huge two run single in the first game when they came from eight runs down. A couple of base running snafus, and a missed sign kept her weekend from being perfect, so she has a ways to go. I never pushed her because I wanted her to love the game before I "tightened the screws". LOL Now "Coach Dad" will get to work!

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

6/9/19

Haha I have fond memories of Little League baseball and to a lesser extent high school.  Center fielder with a good arm but I would just pray I’d get walked because I couldn’t hit worth a darn.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

6/9/19

I was also a center fielder. However, I was a switch hitter that batted third in the lineup. Most people thought I should bat clean up, but my manager said he wanted me to always hit in the first inning.

Gerh

From: Gerh

6/9/19

I was all over Tacitus in here.I had a couple of tris with Joevia in 3rd but nothing with Sir Winston on top.Beginning to think that Jose Ortiz thinks he’s Joel Rosario

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/9/19

cubs.fan said...

Perfect trip for Tax, no excuse. Put a US Grant on him to win.

Had the 6-3 exacta in the Woody Stephens, thought maybe the Steward gods would gift me one... but no.

Tax didn't run too badly, given his foot bruise and new plastic glue-on shoes.   This year just convinces me further that equipment changes are definitely something to stay away from. 

I posted my pick on another forum before the race but only thing that pulled me out for the day was having hog creek hustle to win the Woody Stevens.  The ark razorbacks had won a game, I was wearing my ark raz t-shirt w/the big hog picture on the front, and it was a "hunch" play that paid off (the "when you're on a roll" hunch).   If we had been sitting around together at the kitchen table and had agreed on the 6-3 and my 8, we would both have 'bout $3K right now.........which actually still seems a bit low for the $39.80 winner + 2 longshots after it....  I had the #3.  I played 8-3-----I missed your 6!!

Northof64

From: Northof64

Jun-10

I too needed the Fencer to get up to at least 3rd but no.  I thought I had it but the finish line came a bit too early. Should have taken Winter's observation a little more serious on Jovia's works at Belmont earlier in the year.  Nice call Winter you always give us unique advice.  I did look into it but kept him off.  Like my earlier posts I wheeled Sir Winston and Master Fencer in all spots in exotics so I still got the exacta to cover my bets but no profit.  Good analysis by many on here. I'm getting closer :)

North

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