Gonna have to p(l)ay the Tax next Saturday!........Got a feeling about him.

It’s interesting to look at the winner’s pedigrees and how they change over time...going back to the year after Sarava (16 years) the winner’s sireline was

RAN-RAN-RAN-RAN-API-Int-RAN-RAN-RAN-ND-RAN-API-RAN-API-API-ND (the RAN’s are all actually Mr. P, it’s just easier to type RAN).

I like this race for Tax, unfortunately it’s been awhile since a Turn To finished first.

agree tapit/pletcher angle sounds good but i just like spinoff better for this race

also looks like master fencer is going to be okay after stumble?

I don’t know what to make of Master Fencer now.Just because the x-rays were negative doesn’t mean that the horse isn’t sore.Will have to keep an eye on him next week

This year looks to be the first in at least 21 years without a RAN sire line horse in the Belmont. Not sure how much farther this goes back.

Temperance Hill in 1980 appears to be the last T2 sire line Belmont winner.

Loved Temperance Hill!  Global Campaign would have been a RAN in the race but... :/

Downey now has Bourbon War as probable.  That makes 4 API’s (3 of which are Tapit’s), 3 ND’s, 2 Turn 2’s, and not a single RAN.  Strange year.

Bourbon War is a definite per Mark Hennig after working at Belmont today

Gerh said...

I don’t know what to make of Master Fencer now.Just because the x-rays were negative doesn’t mean that the horse isn’t sore.Will have to keep an eye on him next week

Since you probably don't have veterinary records on ANY horse you've most likely wagered on (at least if you are participating in the totally non-transparent racing game that is U.S. racing) I really am not sure how you can know that any other horse in the races you are betting on isn't *sore*.  

You also don't know if they've received ESWT, o2 chamber treatment, pinfiring, etc. 

At LEAST in this case, you have an actual veterinary report.   So explain to me why you would trust all the other horses you supported in the derby, for instance.  :winks:    

Justify was visibly limping while Baffert was running his mouth being his usual circus entertainer personality.   Explain the difference.

Everyone's idea of a "bad sign" is different.  For me it would be this:  War of Will won't breeze before the Belmont

Right now I'll stick w/the ones I still like until the final PPs come out and I can see everybody next to each other.  

Its one of the things I deduct for on my chart:  "They have to breeze before the Belmont regardless of how hard they ran in the Derby and Preakness"