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Belmont Stakes   Triple Crown

Started 5/26/19 by Oldbettowin; 14713 views.
Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

6/1/19

Wonder if he breezed between the derby and the Preakness?  Maybe just galloped, no idea.

In reply toRe: msg 47
Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

6/1/19

Right now my head says WoW just ahead of Tacitus and Spinoff.  But I’ve got to think WoW fades and gets caught; Spinoff should be close enough to do it.  He wasn’t near the front in the derby but that was atypical for him in the slop.  I think Tacitus will be too far back.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

6/1/19

I don't see a fast pace, so I don't think Tacitus will be far back. In his maiden win, he was only a shade over two lengths back at the half run in under :47. He has some tactical speed, and was far back in the TBD and the Wood, because of horses pretty much winging it early. I anticipate the race being run like a European grass race, where everyone will gallop along before picking it up at the mile marker. :24+, :48+, 1:13+, 1:38+, 2:03+, +2:29+; Slow pace, slow race! Having said that, now I've set it up for someone to try to steal the race on the front end!

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

6/1/19

You might be right about Tacitus, and the Belmont first half mile is usually run in about :48.4.

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/1/19

I also think the pace will be slow, which is what gives me pause w/Tacitus.  Seems like he benefitted from a fast pace in the Wood and Tampa Derby?

Gerh

From: Gerh

6/1/19

Transparency in racing....we can dream.Just watched the Epsom Derby.Fantastic race.Baffert should watch Aiden O Briens interviews.The Guy always deflects attention from himself and always gives total credit to his whole crew.

cubs.fan

From: cubs.fan

6/1/19

I think whoever is sitting second on the backstretch wins this race. Spinoff or Tax.

Gerh

From: Gerh

6/1/19

I don’t think he had an official breeze between the Derby and Preakness

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/1/19

cubs.fan said...

I think whoever is sitting second on the backstretch wins this race. Spinoff or Tax.
 

I'm thinking one of these for the win:  Spinoff, Master Fencer, Sir Winston, Intrepid Heart.   I have a weird little formula I made up that points to those 4. 


"It could happen category but I don't think so" = Tacitus, Everfast

 

In reply toRe: msg 52
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/1/19

Gerh said...

Just watched the Epsom Derby.Fantastic race.Baffert should watch Aiden O Briens interviews.The Guy always deflects attention from himself and always gives total credit to his whole crew.

But you know, there are tons of people that like the "always on", egotist, put-me-in-the-spotlight personalities--- it's as if what real class is (Mandella, et. al.) has been replaced in the american imagination by the Kardashians and people who have tacky gold-plated furniture in their apartments.  LOL   There are many who actually admire chad brown, consider it smart business to pay people as little as possible because wealth accumulation is the only goal.   (Same as those bragging about not paying any taxes, etc. ).  

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