Well that was why I picked him out a least, the key race angle, even though it appeared as though he has regressed a little in the Fla. Derby from the FoY.  Not sure about why anyone else picked him.

Oldbettowin said...

If I had to bet on it today I think I would throw up my hands and box a $1 superfecta on Spinoff, Intrepid Heart, WoW, and Tax

I hope another horse gets entered than what is on the early PPs?  Still don't know if Bourbon War is in this. Is Global Campaign going to go in?
Post positions while not as important as in other races, I have my druthers, so I will wait for them to come out. 
 

Results of this year's Derby had colts on a number of fronts and reasons pass the Preakness. Belmont distance @ mile and half again passers of the gate.

Also this year, the Haskell is one week earlier, and win and your in the Breeders Cup Classic.

And as you know DQed Derby colt Maximum Security is running in the Haskell.

And the Haskell is a short race at mile and an eighth.

If Max wins the Haskell (hold one's breath that he does not impede when another runner gets near him)  the cast in the August Spa Travers will be very exciting and enticing.

Global Campaign is out

thanks Gerh. 

The horses who had the "stuffs" for this race like Game Winner, Country House, and Plus Que Parfait are not running.   

Real crapshoot in other words.  And a lot of "turfy" influences in their backgrounds.

Right now I am likiing Master Fencer and Everfast so they will be on my ticket.  Everfast's dam was Farish bred, and his BMS is rather illustrious. 

Japanese track is way deeper than our Big Sandy, by the way. 

Will probably use Master Fencer.Still like Tacitus.I think Everfast could be a bounce candidate 

His performance in that 75K OC was one of the more impressive runs during the prep season, to me. Made his move knifing in between horses. I'm still a sucker for closers.

If I get "stuck" I will sometimes play a couple 4 horse exacta boxes that are angle-based in a weird way.

One could do worse than these in terms of odds.  :wink:

Breeders Box:  Tacitus, Everfast, Intrepid Heart, Spinoff

Homebred Box:  Master Fencer, Tacitus, Tax, Spinoff


(That said, I really don't have much faith in Tacitus at 12F...so maybe those will be 3 horse boxes or just add the favorite at post time. ) 



 

Might throw Intrepid Heart in with that Homebred box and make a pretty decent 5 horse box.

BTW,hope the move went well and you are settling into your new place

Gerh said...

Might throw Intrepid Heart in with that Homebred box and make a pretty decent 5 horse box.

BTW,hope the move went well and you are settling into your new place

Thanks, place is smaller and closer to the track.  I like it.  Still exhausted though, moving at my age takes a lot out of ya. 

I haven't decided what to do with Intrepid Heart yet.  I can tell you that "cheap horses" don't win the Belmont usually, and his auction price makes him a contender in that respect.  ;)  Having a hard time separating him from Sir Winston. ????   
I know his numbers "look" like Tonalist's, but they actually aren't on the mare side at all.  So why do you like him better than say, Sir Winston? Interested in your thoughts.

Master Fencer ran the derby w/out LASIX.  I believe he was the only horse in the race who didn't get Lasix.  Gotta respect that.  Dead last coming to the stretch and made up a ton of ground, almost unbelievable amount, while taking a whole lot lot lot of slop / mud in face.  Love him but also love his connections/trainer.  Really nice people.