This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.
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The Road to the 146th Kentucky Derby has posted a Detour to September as all know due to the draconian disease world wide. I just happened to have had the TV on this weekend and the station was showing a live NASCAR race.
The point was the leader ran over a part of the track, the asphalt came loose, causing a gaping hole, and the loose portion struck the front of the car. Well it was in the middle of the race, so all drivers and cars got to stop and take a break. Drinks and sweat towels for drivers, not sure the rules about touching the cars. Guess it would be like leaving the saddle and weights on a horse race
Point. The Derby delay in May can't be adjusted like this. I learned the leader would be restored to his lead spot. LOL if they could do this musical chairs in a racing hinder episode.
Seems to me now the tipping point race will be the July 18th (1 1/8 miles easy to remember) Haskell Invitational. It's a mil purse and a win and in Breeders Cup scholarship. There is great short odds that the race will be a go. They need to reopen the relatively new sports book.
Also a factor is on this flagship day Derby trainers may have others runners to ship for purses over gross 2 million.
Example, Sagatoga Stable and Barclay Tagg did not run in the 2yo juvey with Tiz the Law in that Nov. Schooling for forward looking chances in the 2020 May Derby. I think we"ll see Tiz The Law conspicuously absent for example. Then sort out the field of up to 14 for their Derby chances.
Hoofnote: in the stretch, unless he is far up the track Derby Day 2020, Tiz the Law will have crowd issues. (d)
2020 estimates ..Louisville, in September, during 8 rainfall days, typically, 3.1" (77.5mm) of precipitation is accumulated. Not an on the track figure.
The temperature Dogs' Delta is mid 70s. But could range 90ish to high 60s..Sixties temp on a clear day and souped up maintained track provide for winner owner speed finish glory. I always prefer a slug out Mother Nature's PPish H2O Kentucky Derby cattle run. Give me a round of jockey mud goggles 20 × 9 sets of jockey blinkers (nine).
Going year 2019 Derby betting fav has won the Kentucky Derby the last six times. And that began 13 years after the fav lost on the first Saturday in May for 20 straight losses. And the favorite was DQed as you know last year, Maximum Security and Country House installed the winner.
Again my Delta antennas Up race will be the Haskell Invite 3 yo contingent vs a vs Derby prospects and the rest of the card 'not too shabby.
As a further comment and connection to my premise that the July 18th Haskell is a key race..Churchill Dws has today awarded that race considerable Derby points. You may want to browse what other races they have assigned as new point garners to earn the garnet-color winner's garland.
The musical chairs Derby points assigned to new races may now have the Derb winning owner at Trophy presentation attributing that they found an unexpected path into the starting stall and the result is a win
Maxfield May 10 bested 42 AMers 59ish from gate...Breezing no less at Keenland. Takes the honors still even unraced at 3 as Delta Derby colt.
Connections perhaps have two shots at Derby point races before September Derby. Of note once again, this is the comparison colt for measurement against all runners and point results. Not the All In colt at this time. And that's my style to date.
As epidemic conditions improve. Double Down. Wear two masks. (d)
Hoofnote: Normally this colt who has won 2 for 2 in the US would have shipped out overseas by Godolphin and shipped back late and quarantined. They finally got the recipe right.
Good analogy on the face mask issue....shadowrolls!!! Love it!
Stay safe Dogs, we need your expertise on the derby in September!
My best to you.
I wonder how many people will tell a story about how they got closed out at the window due to 6 foot distance rule. And had The big payoff..The waiting time is compounded..
just say in.
Churchill says it will run without fans
Not so good cause there's lots of also rans
Won't be sitting there workin on our tan
Way out in September and there still is a ban
Peeps usually watching it anyway..sitting on their cans
Won't see live horses the likes of Wise Dan
Won't be the same just a flash in the pan
But it's the day everybodys' a fan
And as usual the TV gets it poorly on the pan
Yet it wouldn't be a Derby if they ran it in Jan.
Early bird gets the window!
He who hesitates, loses!....Just sayin' also.
In the decades i've been playing horses at OTB, never to this day understood how guys have to wait till the ponies enter the gate to place a bet? Like something earth shaking happens from post parade to gate? (w/the exception of Shacklefords excessive sweating or Quality Roads antics loading in the BC Classic)
I want to use that 'early bird gets the window' innuendo.
One Derby Day at the finish just about everyone in the smoking room shouted they had the Super no less. One day shooters. The free hand out program had the Super listed dead nuts in order of finish to the 4th place.