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8/28/20
Caracaro injured. I put a lot of stock in Castellano's riding. The Derby is one race he has not won. This will become a Derby with the fewest elite jockeys coming into the Derby with the colt that got them there.
I mean, Husker and I got a call to ride.
And in cases where the Derby jockey contingent knows the competitors/mount riding style, this will not be so.
That said. This would be a great betting race on an off track.
The key to handicapping now is to estimate where the runners can be at a mile and an eighth.It will be fast. At that call, the Hopefuls will be there. I don't think a closing lumberer can eat up enough final ground or be close enough at say 148..47 and change.
8/29/20
8/30/20
I had to do it that way as my message was moderated to you. 'THE Site' also has PPs for key grade races throughout the 1st September week.
I enjoy my everyday. But Derby week certainly adds a fine sauce to the pastabilities.
It's a Rock Hard Ten adventure.
8/31/20
I looked at the Vegas odds before the Post drawing and official track odds come Tuesday.
We have fav probably a come at 6/5=A. Next 3 incrementally M/Liners and most likely at post time=B. Others should, guestimation a cluster of runners some17/1 to 21/1..and then there is the rest bet by one day window visitors Selectively C.
But rhyming..the one left out, gets in. Invariably.
Citing a Derby like California Chrome's (owners even had a likeness in background) and got some soft horse PR. Public, no news, Tizzy as the Rock Hard Ten bet/key.
An A/C/B ticket would net @ 50 cents in the $800s.
A/B/B $75 _$90. At $2
This year predict some will leave the gate at 60/1 or more.
(d)
9/1/20
I knew it!!!
I've been thinking Tiz the Law would draw post 17. No runner in the Derby has won from gate 17/ saddle number.
And this year will have the new 20 stall gate.
What's it going to be?
The jinx.
Fav in the gate breaks the jinx
New gate breaks the jinx
New gate contributes to the jinx