Award winning Cindy and thoroughly thoroughbred comprehensive Tex do an excellent job and are arguably leaders among their craft in the industry.

The Derby and other Grade Churchill PPs I alluded to were well before established and final fields were selected and then drawn for post. Just Sharing info to get a jump on info when final field, Post, official M/L, scratches, jockey reassignments,AM works were Not Available. Yet. They included even all horses subscribed to the respective races, but ultimately not allowed. Pick & Pull info.

My Diary is to share what I'm thinking, learning, observing, and using and then doing about it...ticket construction.

Accordingly this morning I would share the info available and videos on the official Kentucky Derby Twitter site. One does not need to be a Twit/Twitter account holder.

Hey. Send me an email.

(d)

Well for sure the Derby one timers will have no idea what I'm talking about. (d)

If one would picture a random draw for jockeys to ride Derby Mounts..I'd go with Castellano.

Rosario runs in hot and cold streaks. 

Justify breaks the Apollo jinx.......Tiz, first to break the "No wins from gate 17" jinx. 

Posssible up setter here, Honor AP. 3 days till the big dance, hopefully all come home safe!

ChiefsCrown said...

Justify breaks the Apollo jinx.......Tiz, first to break the "No wins from gate 17" jinx. 

Posssible up setter here, Honor AP. 3 days till the big dance, hopefully all come home safe!

Yes, all historicals are eventually broken.  Has a horse with one eye won yet?  If no then Finnick is due.  :)  
Every time he gets the #1 post he runs 2nd, 3rd or 4th.  Anybody notice that? 

He's in my homebred box so he will be on one of my cheapo tickets by default  

There were some absolutist math/breeding handicappers (just made that one up)  who absolutely couldn't handle that the math/breeding dosage index predicators could produce a Derby winner with a dosage of 7.Magic number used to be 4 or under. Who bets a genetic number? 

The 2 year old not racing til 3 was just a hard spun stat. As crops get smaller/the # of purchased runners  and less and less races needed to campaign *or no points at all to acquire Derby stall; this one will add in wins number.

Believe it or not I talk to the 1x Derby shooters Derby day and some/they  will  say they are betting the/a colt because of one eye.

And for the 1st time in Derb history (I never bet names, colors, numbers as a bold ruler) my numbers 1,4,6,9 - given a Derby 146 and supply a tri combo + 9.

I envision the 1st woman jockey to win a Derby to come from a racing family and have that magic touch that Steve Cauthen possessed from the get go. Julie Krone could have got the job done.

Here's one for my fond friend Winter: I used to think that Center of Distribution was the Amazon warehouse.

Enjoy our highlight week. (d)

DogsUp said...

There were some absolutist math/breeding handicappers (just made that one up)  who absolutely couldn't handle that the math/breeding dosage index predicators could produce a Derby winner with a dosage of 7.Magic number used to be 4 or under. Who bets a genetic number? 

 

The 2 year old not racing til 3 was just a hard spun stat. As crops get smaller/the # of purchased runners  and less and less races needed to campaign *or no points at all to acquire Derby stall; this one will add in wins number.

Believe it or not I talk to the 1x Derby shooters Derby day and some/they  will  say they are betting the/a colt because of one eye.

And for the 1st time in Derb history (I never bet names, colors, numbers as a bold ruler) my numbers 1,4,6,9 - given a Derby 146 and supply a tri combo + 9.

I envision the 1st woman jockey to win a Derby to come from a racing family and have that magic touch that Steve Cauthen possessed from the get go. Julie Krone could have got the job done.

Here's one for my fond friend Winter: I used to think that Center of Distribution was the Amazon warehouse.

Amazon. Center of Distribution.   Yer killin me here. 

That 4.00 dosage index number is still only the sire side.  A 7.00 horse if balanced properly  in the Mare index can fix that,  except I would not play it in the Belmont.  (the only race I really like and what a disaster this year shortened and all).  Sire-side profiles theory was kinda half-baked til Bill Lathrop came in with the mare side of things.  JMHO. What is interesting is watching, as the horses develop, which side they run to.   Some just pick a side of their breeding and they get stuck there.  Of course they're not aware of this in any way, it's just interesting to watch.   On a wet track I'll take those high dosage numbers every day though.  

This is the probem with having a May race go off in September.  3 year olds make amazing advances in the blink of an eye, esp. the late developers.   Again, keeping nose stuck in PPs, esp. since many of these horses have not raced in a whlle this year, is going to end up being a mistake I think?   How could it not be?  A 3 year old horse is not going to be the same in 100 days or 56 days or 49 days.  

So yeah the age old wisdom about track performance taking precedent, there's only NINE horses in the race this year who have any kind of track performance that is *recent*.   This is why Tiz is going off at lowest odds in 40 years.  W'ere really only comparing him to 9 other horses because the rest of 'em ran like 100 years ago (in terms of 3 year old growth spurts).  

Just something to keep in mind.  This is like playing a sloppy track in a monsoon.  Not a race you spend a lot of $$ on.  Save it for the BC or in my case, Oaklawn in January.  :) 

DogsUp said...

Believe it or not I talk to the 1x Derby shooters Derby day and some/they  will  say they are betting the/a colt because of one eye.

He's got the 1 post (actually #2 this year) and so his eye that is non-existent will be outward. The ultimate blinker. 

He's actually not "blind" so much as missing an eye.  I guess in horses they don't bother too much with leaving it in there for cosmetics. I wish they would.......I don't like seeing that covered-over hole.   But hey, I would love to see a one-eyed horse do well  in the KY Derby!!!  

Not to be unpatriotic, but the lack of foreign entries makes this somewhat of a yawn fest for me.  That was always the part of the TC races I enjoyed so much.   I will never ever get over Lani's pink go-go boots.

There's a music standard called 'September Song'  ..lyrics: "It's a long-long time, from May to September."

Although the last - 2019 Derby ended as a conundrum to sort the true finish results out. And this, a historical upside down musical chairs Derby sequence...Dogs will really savor the day.

Only Derby (game) in Town.

Agree, over the years,  Dogs developed a liking for pond shippers. 

Yeah..my eye comment was only about newbies punting tickets based on personal tropisms.

Ahh I've wore glasses since 10 years old. All the time. Can't see zht without them..close or far...so maybe the one eye horse I'll drop in a vertical bet