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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 126267 views.
Msg 1095 of 1247
In reply toRe: msg 1094
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

May-9

How message 1012 did

the 1/8 pole chart was terrible this year, I think because of the Hot pace.
by far the worst one I ever did. The Winner is usually in the first 7. this year 19th.
--

1/8 pole chart 2022 derby 10f time based from 1/8 pole  fast track only
------
1 Epicenter         2.00.47  -2nd       winning time 2.02.61
2 White Abarrio   2.00.87
3 Messier            2.00.92
4 Taiba               2.01.06
5 Zozos              2.01.42
6 Crown Pride     2.01.48
7 Tiz The Bomb   2.01.50
8 Charge It         2.01.50
9 PioneerOfMED. 2.01.50
10 Mo Donegal    2.01.63  5th
11 Simplification  2.01.82   4th
12 Zandon          2.02. 51  3rd
13 Smile Happy   2.02.60
14 ClassicCause   2.03.10
15 Cyber Knife     2.03.42
16 Tawny Port      2.03.58
17 Barber Road    2.03.78
18 Happy Jack     2.03.85
19 Rich Strike      2.03.95  1st
20 Summer Is Tomorrow  N/a
--
   

 
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Msg 1096 of 1247
In reply toRe: msg 1027
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

May-9

How Message 1015 Did : Last Q 25.39 > and Last 1/8 12.70 > faster
-------

Last Q 25.39 or faster
--
Epicenter 24.31-2ND**, zandon 24.45-3RD**, Mo Donegal 23.67 Souped up track 5th*
Taiba 24.75, Tiz The Bomb 24.87 AW, Smile Happy 25.41* 5 wide 1st turn,3 wide =close to Zandon
Zozos 24.62, Pioneer Of Medina 24.62, Rich Strike 24.49-AW--FIRST****
-- 
Last 1/8 12.70 Faster
--
Epicenter 12.16 well hidden in 9 3/16 race, *2ND
Zandon 12.29 *3RD,  Mo Donegal 11.93 need perfect rail hug again  *5TH
Tiz The Bomb 12.71 Aw if slop must on ticket imo , overlooked Turfer 
Taiba 12.40 will he get dirt in his face, Zozos 12.34 9 3/16 well hidden (post 19
Pioneer Medina 12.21 9 3/16 closed faster than Zandon
---
Florida Derby : Fast early, Fast Middle, part of why late was slow.
fastest prep in the middle for track conditions per Randy Moss, 
for American Tracks ,very fast to 7f.  *Simplification 4th out of this race
-----
 
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Msg 1097 of 1247
In reply toRe: msg 1090
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

May-9

How Message 1018 Did : Who beat or stayed close to the variant in their preps
----- 

How they did with The Variant
----
1 Mo Donegal  +8 only last race, is he improving or souped up track rail trip -5, -3, -1 last  Race big positive Jump  5th
3 Epicenter +3,+3, +1, even, +3 last 5 excellent   2ND
5 Smile Happy +3,even, +7, -1, In good company
6 Messier  -2, +3, +8, +3, +1, -2,
8 Charge It   -3, +4, even,  don't hit gate, break good
9 Tiz The Bomb  AW +5, +5
10 Zandon  +6, even, -3,-4, on the improve going longer Last 2 Good 3RD**
11 Pioneer Of Medina  even, even, -4, +9
12 Taiba  even, even,
13 Simplification  -4, -9,-5, +6,-6  4th
14 Barber Road   -10, -2,even,+1,+3, going in the wrong direction
15 White Abarrio  -2, even, +1, even, +10
16 Cyberknife   -7 without L, +2 L, -10, -4 L, +2,even
17 Classic Causeway  -23 quit,-4,-1,+4, even,
18 Tawny Port  +1, +3,-5, +7,-2
19 Zozos   +2,+2, -2   Bad post
21 Rich Strike  -1,+2,+2, -14  *FIRST* Within 1 or better last 3
--
 
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Msg 1098 of 1247
In reply toRe: msg 1097
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

May-10

Preakness possible's
--

Preakness possibles
Rich Strike
Simplification
Happy Jack
Early Voting
Skippylongstocking
Un Ojo
Creative Minister
-
Undecided
-----
Epicenter
zandon
-
 
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Msg 1099 of 1247
In reply toRe: msg 1098
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

May-10

Off Topic :
Look at the Placement for these 2 Linebreeding Blood, influence, AGR, Different Sire lines
different Grade, Rich Strike Very Similiar to  Enable The Great Mare
-Enable ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------                                       xx                                                                                                                                           Blood     influence    AGR

SADLERS WELLS 3S x 2d Galileo, Concentric 2 2 (1) (1) 37.50% 2x3 41.72%
NORTHERN DANCER 4S x 3D x 6D Sadlers Wells, Nijinsky 3 2 (2) (0) 20.31% 3x4 24.68%
NEARCTIC 5S x 5S x 4D x 7D  Northern Dancer, Icecapade 4
...[Message truncated]
View Full Message
 
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Msg 1100 of 1247 to smartyslewsmartyslew 
In reply toRe: msg 1097
Northof64

From: Northof64

May-10

Late to the show after an extended weekend. Spent the races at Canterbury so could finally bet again. Cashed quite a few but mostly chalky except for a nice exacta and trifecta in race 3 on Saturday Congratulations Smarty!!! You deserve it!! We appreciate all your dd and willingness to share. Now time for you to take the trifecta triple crown. Good luck. 

 
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Msg 1101 of 1247 to Northof64Northof64 
In reply toRe: msg 1100
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

May-10

Thanks North, I didn't think of that one, good one, I'll try.

Sounds like you paid for your trip and really had a good time. Good luck to you .

Is Canterbury North Of 64 , maybe Northwest.

 
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Msg 1102 of 1247 to smartyslewsmartyslew 
In reply toRe: msg 1101
Northof64

From: Northof64

May-10

A little north and a lot west from me. Im an hour north of green bay. Still no otbs open in wisconsin. 

 
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Msg 1103 of 1247
In reply toRe: msg 1099
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

May-10

SmartySlew

Smarty = Smarty Jones tail female family 1x Conduit La troienne BPT classification

Slew = Seattle Slew tail female family 13c  Conduit Frizette BPT  Classification

Conduit Mare Aptitude B= brilliant (,Speed, I Intermediate,, C =Classic, S= Stout,  P= professional  stamina

T=transcendent mares are DoubleClassified as  B/P can carry their speed B+I a distance of ground to S +P (5 - 12f)

My 2 favorite tail female families 1x and 13c  I love to see both in a pedigree.
The Conduit for both Derby winners are classuified BP for their tail female families

that is my handle on here . Smartyslew.

Seattle Slew 13c (BP) Smarty Jones  1x (BP)

--

 
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Msg 1104 of 1247 to Northof64Northof64 
In reply toRe: msg 1102
ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

May-11

An hour north of Green Bay/.....BRRRRRRR!!! How do you handle the winter months?

I'm around 10 miles north of Buffalo and barely make it the cold.

Packer fan i take it.

 
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