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2021 2 year olds Handicapping
From: smartyslew
May-14
the 3 from the Florida Derby run differently and the element problems and 2 of them forwardly placed
in the Derby and Simplification not, Finishing 4th here and Epicenters style with good splits
Suggest to me the first 4 in the Derby got good rides and or good trips or both. they earned It imo
I like it if a horse can run each split 25.40 or faster when they grow into the 9 furlong splits and or part of growing
only one slow Quarter in a race sometimes is needed because of the pace.. Jenny Rees couldn't figure out how to
do Final Quarter times in 8.5f , even 9f races and others not mentioning any names when Dr Romans formula works better and final 12.70 1/8 final and 25.40 final Quarters are more accurate in hundreds and not using fifths and 13 Final 1/8 is a joke.
They used those numbers and struggled because they were not good a math and came up with 13 second final 1.8
and gave up on final q times. and now many use that systemin or 5/16 time or 3/8 time.
- Edited May 14, 2022 9:46 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
May-14
from Message 1111 How they did in the Peter Pan today
Winner We the People wired the field: won by 10 1/4 lengths
| 233, :471, 1:111, 1:353, 1:481 (:23.66, :47.24, 1:11.25, 1:35.63, 1:48.27) |
23.66, 23.58,24.01, 24.38, 12.64 Last 1/8 , 1.48.27 final, Last Q 24.83
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Pars 91 97/89 speed 97 None Peter Pan G3
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run style E races won 38% EP 42%P 12% S 8%, no EP entered
Post bias Rail 19%, 1-3 19%, 4-7 14%, 8+ 0.00
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Early Pace :
Late Pace 99 Western River 94 Electability 92 Complete Agenda 92 Golden Glider 89 State Planning 87 Set Sail 71 We the People 50 Cooke Creek
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Last Quarter 25.40> faster : Electability(E5) 8f- 24.98 L, We The People(E) 2 back ,last g1,8.5f- 24.27-L,
Western River (So) 8.5 f,25.00 Lb, , Cook Creek (P4)N/A 2 bad off tracks No L BG last
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Only Mdn winner: Set Sail, Complete Agenda, Western River,
Cooke Creek 2 G3 71,86,
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Box these 4 or wheel: Set Sail (pedigree play) We The People WON, Golden Glider-2nd, Electability 3rd with Cooke Creek
underneath
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$10 per 50 cent unit cost $12.
- Edited May 14, 2022 10:20 pm by smartyslew
From: Oldbettowin
May-15
I must not be good at it either because I just got RS’ final Q in the Jeff Ruby at 24.99. Of course I didn’t even look at him before the derby so it wouldn’t have mattered.
- Edited May 15, 2022 2:09 am by Oldbettowin
From: RAESFAN
May-15
Dangerous style for the Belmont! If he can set a moderate, fairly uncontested pace, he could easily hit the board!
From: smartyslew
May-15
the Lasix used Runners carrying 126 pounds and their Last Q time
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17-29.37,18- 31.93,19 33.16
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19 Pioneer Of Medina *L 33.16
From: smartyslew
May-16
Finally a race he didn't get in to trouble, He needs to do that again with that good action displayed in this race.
Will Pratt be on him ?
From: smartyslew
May-16
Preakness Post Position 5/21/22 Pimlico
| ost | Horse | Trainer | Dosage | Jockey | M/L Odds |
| 1 | Simplification | Antonio Sano | 1.22 | John Velazquez | 6-1 |
| 2 | Creative Minister | Ken McPeek | 1.91 | Brian Hernandez Jr. | 10-1 |
| 3 | Fenwick | Kevin McKathan | 2.50 | Florent Geroux | 50-1 |
| 4 | Secret Oath | D. Wayne Lukas | 8.60 | Luis Saez | 9-2 |
| 5 | Early Voting | Chad Brown | 1.00 | Jose Ortiz | 7-2 |
| 6 | Happy Jack | Doug O'Neill | 2.38 | Tyler Gaffalione | 30-1 |
| 7 | Armagnac | Tim Yakteen | 1.57 | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 12-1 |
| 8 | Epicenter | Steve Asmussen | 0.60 | Joel Rosario | 6-5 |
| 9 | Skippylongstocking | Saffie Joseph Jr. | 3.00 | Junior Alvarado | 20-1 |
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- Edited May 16, 2022 6:40 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
May-16
5/20/22 Pimlico : Black Eyed Susan : Looks like a Betting Race
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From: smartyslew
May-17
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Long Nick: Storm Cat/ Fappiano Shackleford 2011 2f
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Long Nick : Nor Dan/ Bold Ruler Louis Quatorze 1996 3m
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Nick: Curlin/Seattle Slew, Exaggerator 2016 3g
Nick: Mr P/ Seattle Slew, Funny Cide 2003 6d
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Long Nick : Mr P / In Reality, Smarty Jones 2004 1x
conduit Preakness Winner :9b Idle fancy Hill Prince 1950
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Long Nick: Storm Cat/ Fappiano, Shackleford 2011 2f
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Long Nick : Smart Strike/ North. Dancer , Curlin 2007 19c
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