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2021 2 year olds Handicapping
Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 126880 views.
From: smartyslew
May-19
Thanks I know Empire Maker and Tiz the Law skipped the Preakness and both finished 2nd in the derby.
And Secret Oath of course. From: smartyslew
May-19
4 Northern Dancer, 5 Mr P entrants
1st & 4th Mr P, 2nd &3rd Nor Dancer
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Nor Dancer Sire line
Simplification, Creative Minister, Happy Jack,
Simplification, Creative Minister, Happy Jack,
Epicenter
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Mr P, Nor Dan, Seattle Slew at least one in the Sire or Bms position
2 of these 3 is better .
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Di 4.00 and up:
Secret Oath 8.60 24 dosage pts neutral
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Secret Oath 8.60 24 dosage pts neutral
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Di 2.00-2.99:
Fenwick 2.50., Happy Jack 2.38 positive
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cd points over 1.00:
none
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Bris improve numbers Positive
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Early Voting 86 91 111 last 3 races
Skippylongstocking 77 85 94 107
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(close) Epicenter 90 93 98 101 101
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Equibase Improving Numbers or not backwards positive
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Skippylongstocking 93-96-101
Creative Minister 84-88-108
Early Voting 79-81-102
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Skippylongstocking 93-96-101
Creative Minister 84-88-108
Early Voting 79-81-102
Armagnac 60-83-92
Epicenter 79-95-97-97-97-97-105
Epicenter 79-95-97-97-97-97-105
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Beyer improving Numbers positive
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Creative Minister 76-82-93, Early Voting 76-87-96
Armagnac 55-83-93
Skippylongstocking 79-88-91
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Variant equaled or better positive
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Creative Minister last race 94 +2 92 beyer
Secret Oath missed last 2 races 94 beyer last
Secret Oath missed last 2 races 94 beyer last
Early Voting last 0 variant +8 96 beyer
Skippylongstocking 104 zero variant 91 beyer
89 +3 88 beyer
Epicenter Last Derby 89 -3 100 beyer,
104+5 , beyer 102
101 +3 98 beyer
Equaled or beat Variant next 3 races beyer 88-87-80
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Cmp s/s index 1.00 or less positive
all but Creative Minister
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a high cmp stamina number of 1.06 or higher must have
20 dosage points. negative
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the ones below 1.00: 20 dosage pts or more positive.
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Fenwick 28 pts, Happy Jack 22 Pts
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Graded Stks winners positve
-Simplification 4 gr races 1 g2 win
-Simplification 4 gr races 1 g2 win
Secret Oath 4 gr races, g1 win ,g3 win
Early Voting 2 gr races g1 2nd,g3 win
Epicenter 4 gr races 2 g2 winsg1 2nd, g3 2nd
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Epicenter 4 gr races 2 g2 winsg1 2nd, g3 2nd
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No graded stakes races negative
Creative Minister
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reine 5 gen & tff 10 positiveCreative Minister 12, Happy Jack 17,
Fenwick 13, Secret Oath 10
Fenwick 13, Secret Oath 10
Early
...[Message truncated]
- Edited May 23, 2022 11:59 am by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
May-21
Preakness Stakes
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pedigree and historical guidelines on the track scoring
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1 Early Voting 14
2 Epicenter 13
3 Skippylongstocking 12
4 Secret Oath 11
5 Armagnac , Creative Minister 10
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Performance on the track scoring very close
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1st Epicenter
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1st Epicenter
2nd Early Voting, Creative Minister
3rd Simplification, Secret Oath, Skippy
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From: smartyslew
May-22
How Message 1148 did in the Preakness
Performance on The Track did the best
easily The Tri in 1st 3, and the super with the next line.
I had a very Good Preakness and the BES / Preakness I had 9 with all.
Did this help anybody ? Let me know.-
pedigree and historical guidelines on the track scoring
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1 Early Voting 14-1st
2 Epicenter 13-2nd
3 Skippylongstocking 12
4 Secret Oath 11-4th
5 Armagnac , Creative Minister 10- 3rd
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Performance on the track scoring very close
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1st Epicenter 2nd
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1st Epicenter 2nd
2nd Early Voting-1st, Creative Minister-3rd
3rd Simplification, Secret Oath- 4th, Skippy
- Edited May 23, 2022 12:01 pm by smartyslew
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