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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 254669 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/10/22

Second race for both. Cox was sneaky with Giant Mischief, 9/22/22 1st race at Horseshoe 5.5 f dirt 1.04.63 Awarded E 69,E 101 here

Bumped hard start 6 lengths behind at the first call, checked 9/16 had to alter course, ran last half furlong in 5.43 for the win.

MSW $30,000  $475,000 purchase, Baffert did his usual at Santa Anita his horse 6f 1.09 change.

Cox has a string at Horseshoe , suggest looking for 2 year olds of his there!

reminds me of East Coast trainers slip 2 year olds into  Parx and Delaware, many times on a Monday

when its dark at top tracks, Fair Hill farm Workers like Graham Motion string can show up anywhere

Mostly at Laurel Park.

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

11/11/22

princeofdoc said...

I'm expecting Echo Again to run huge and be the favorite for the BC Juvy.....

I had him in one of my watches, ran 7th in the Iroquois and no works since late October.  Dunno what Asmussen is dong with him but pretty sure I will see him at Oaklawn soon in person.  

2 I am watching


Signator  that McGaughey has 
https://www.pedigreequery.com/signator2
Although the seeking the gold bms is a problem for me, but interesting that McGaughey trained Seeking the Gold.
Although Blame did okay in the BC Classic and Take Charge Brandi did well in the BC Juvie Fillies.    I just would not use this one in KY Derby except bottom of a super, they have good speed for the prep races though but in KY Derby usually turn out like Pants on Fire type.?

 

and 

King Elvis that Attfield has
https://www.pedigreequery.com/king+elvis3

This one I like a lot.  Esp. since canadian track horses often get ignored and/or don't make any lists. 



Sometimes we watch a horse we think will do something, like I "was" watching Above Suspicion at one point, the filly Mandella has, Farish breeding in 2019 and she turned out quite poorly, but I thought that when I looked at the pedigree anyway.   No idea what he is doing with her now-----working, but i think this one will remain in CALI unless he can turn her around. 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/11/22

You must not bet turf Horses very often, the 6 I looked at on message 1352 is the message you must have meant to
 address to me  and not message 1350.  I got emails asking me what you meant ,didn't make sense on message 1350.

I listed 6 horses of the 14 entered a day before the race on 1352 not knowing turf conditions with a mix of  gd, fm, yl. etc.

Race day it was a fm track and some Euros gd race types can run ok on fm.

Message 1358 I listed The Runups,
Message 1360  I listed my Pick and bet

10th  Keeneland - Friday, November 4th, 2022  8f turf

 $ 20 win #1 Victoria Park 6-1, Thats a Pick , can't bet the 4 at  9-5, hope the pick likes firm turf

He and 2nd place #4 Silver Knott had the shortest runups 2 of the tools I used to bet the Winner.

---

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

11/12/22

Mandela raced Beholder's baby girl today. She showed early speed, then stopped. Her mom did not win first out either, and Mandela said that she was a bit "fat", indicating that she wasn't completely fit.

Also, did you know that Flightline has a juvenile full brother named Olivier? He seems to have similar leg problems!

  • Edited November 12, 2022 6:26 pm  by  RAESFAN
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/12/22

I didn't know about Olivier and looked him up, Thanks. Stopped works in September until then his works were

positive. I don't know the Similar Leg problems Story. 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/16/22

2-year-olds: male or female Beyer Leaderboard thru 11/15/22
More than a Mile ( Not this good last year)
--
Cave Rock          SA: 1 1/16 Mile   104  Beyer
Forte                  Kee 1 1/16            100
Cave Rock         Kee  1 1/16             99
Nat. Treasure    Sa    1 1/16              97
Nat Treasure     Kee 1 1/16              95
Blazing Sevens  Kee 1 1/16              93
Forte                  Kee 1 1/16              92
Hejazi                SA   1 1/16              91
Loggins             Kee  1 1/16              91
--
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/18/22

Edit 11/25 bottom Paragraph.
2 year olds on our list racing 11/19/22
Churchill Downs race 6: 6.5 f MSW Dirt 
#3 Reagan Edit: Backed Up Something went wrong
-
Laurel Park Race 8 : 6f dirt.. all Opt CL $62,500
----
11/20/22
Del Mar Race 8: 7f Dirt Bob Hope Stks : 3 Bafferts in the race. 2 scratches, 5 runners
#2 Havnameltdown  won
--
Woodbine Race 6 : 8.5f AW MSW  Cancelled weather
#1 Whitewalker  May Foal Belmont Prospect, Takes awhile to get going 
stepping stone for later IMO
#2 King Elvis  Attfield trainer Win possible 
--
Edit Whitewalker raced Today At woodbine 11/25 race 6 finished 2nd , still on my Belmont List still takes awhile
to get going 3 wide whole race 2nd 1 length back , 2nd best to Curlins Ghost on the All weather.
King Elvis wasn't in this race 8.5f is like 6f for Whitewalker pedigree IMO.
  • Edited November 25, 2022 6:38 pm  by  smartyslew
Msg 1770.1372 deleted
princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

11/21/22

I noticed the same thing...cagey Cox!

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