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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 190255 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-16

2-year-olds: male or female Beyer Leaderboard thru 11/15/22
More than a Mile ( Not this good last year)
--
Cave Rock          SA: 1 1/16 Mile   104  Beyer
Forte                  Kee 1 1/16            100
Cave Rock         Kee  1 1/16             99
Nat. Treasure    Sa    1 1/16              97
Nat Treasure     Kee 1 1/16              95
Blazing Sevens  Kee 1 1/16              93
Forte                  Kee 1 1/16              92
Hejazi                SA   1 1/16              91
Loggins             Kee  1 1/16              91
--
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-18

Edit 11/25 bottom Paragraph.
2 year olds on our list racing 11/19/22
Churchill Downs race 6: 6.5 f MSW Dirt 
#3 Reagan Edit: Backed Up Something went wrong
-
Laurel Park Race 8 : 6f dirt.. all Opt CL $62,500
----
11/20/22
Del Mar Race 8: 7f Dirt Bob Hope Stks : 3 Bafferts in the race. 2 scratches, 5 runners
#2 Havnameltdown  won
--
Woodbine Race 6 : 8.5f AW MSW  Cancelled weather
#1 Whitewalker  May Foal Belmont Prospect, Takes awhile to get going 
stepping stone for later IMO
#2 King Elvis  Attfield trainer Win possible 
--
Edit Whitewalker raced Today At woodbine 11/25 race 6 finished 2nd , still on my Belmont List still takes awhile
to get going 3 wide whole race 2nd 1 length back , 2nd best to Curlins Ghost on the All weather.
King Elvis wasn't in this race 8.5f is like 6f for Whitewalker pedigree IMO.
  • Edited November 25, 2022 6:38 pm  by  smartyslew
Msg 1770.1372 deleted
princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

Nov-21

I noticed the same thing...cagey Cox!

princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

Nov-21

Thanks, I always appreciate being pointed toward a horse that often gets overlooked.....

Now I have one for you and Rob...

POST TIME

utr trainer, Brittany Russell, primarily trains at Laurel Park and Pimlico, occasionally ventures out to SAR, or CD, by Frosted.....has won first two impressively.  Let's see where placed next, do watch replays

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Nov-25

Will check out Post Time.    Not dinging trainer for track she runs at mostly,  though she has only won one graded stakes and that was a G3 at BEL in 2021.  I look at her more like a claiming trainer type.   I like the broodmare sire and dam, but both seemed to be a late developers. 

Would like to see this MD bred in next race, which is hopefully a stakes race.   Had a lot of trouble in last and seems very bold for being green.  That's a good sign.

Bad sign is the jockey, his 3rd mount in 6 years ad first win since........2016.  That probably won't cut it in a better stakes. He was good back in 2005-2013.  

There are only 2 stakes races left for 2 y.o.  at Laurel for 2022, and both are 7F sprints. 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-25

Edit Spun Intended Kicked Butt ,Harlocap 2nd. check the Chart. 2-7-9 are Bafferts
# 4 Spun Intended Is on our List M/L Fav 5-2,2nd to Fort Warren in last. Baffert has 3 in here,
2 Justify's. # 9 A firster 3-1 Harlocap racing against runners , buzz horse
11/26. Del Mar race 6 :2 yr olds MSW 6.5 f Dirt,  Firsters 1,2,3,6,9
Del Mar - Saturday, November 26th, 2022
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. 6 1/2 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(Purse $87,500 For Horses That Qualify For Maiden Dirt Bonus). (03:00 PM) (9)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Calm Sea 8-1 2 C 120 Herrera Diego A. Papaprodromou George
2 Barnstorming 5-1 2 C 120 Hernandez Juan J. Baffert Bob
3 Smoose 20-1 2 C 120 Maldonado Edwin A. Howey Quinn
4 Spun Intended  5-2 2 C 120 Smith Mike E. Glatt Mark
5 Johannes  5-1 2 C 120 Baze Tyler Yakteen Tim
6 Vegas Burner 6-1 2 C 120 Frey Kyle Papaprodromou George
7 Texthelegend  12-1 2 C 120 Vazquez Ramon A. Baffert Bob
8 Tall Boy 12-1 2 C 120 Rispoli Umberto Mora Leandro
...[Message truncated]
View Full Message
  • Edited November 26, 2022 7:28 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-25

Churchill Downs tomorrow 11/26/22 first post 1pm ET 12 race card all two year olds

11 on the dirt, 1 Turf race Allowance race 6, 8f.. 4 stks races : race 7 Fern Creek stks for fillies

Race 9 Ed Brown Stks: Males, Race 10 Golden Rod Stks G2 Fillies the 2 Favorites 1 and 4 are Into/ Mischief/ Tapits

Race 11 Kentucky Jockey Club G2.

https://www.equibase.com/static/entry/RaceCardIndexCD112622USA-EQB.html

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-26

Churchill Downs tomorrow 11/26/22 2 year old race day, Here is entrants  from our Projected classic distance list
none of the 12 races are classic distance races, and every race has entrants bred for the distance of the races imo.
The entrants from our list are using their class to finish a head of these types and have a good race on the journey.

Race 3 : #2 Victory Information 9-5  , Race 5 : #7 Point Proven 5-1

race 6 :  #5 Worthington  3-1,

race 8: #3 Tres Soles 6-1, #5 Hit Show 3-1, #10 Ten Days Later 8-1

Race 11: #1 Curly Jack 3-1, #9 Cyclone Mischief 8-1

--

Aqueduct race 5: (T)  #10 General Jim  7-2
-- 
 

  • Edited November 26, 2022 4:07 pm  by  smartyslew
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