I never heard of that trainer before. Last race finished 2nd to a Cox /Godolphin I think Geroux was up

at a short distance for what both are bred for at Turfway AW

Paolo Lobo.......he gets all that nice South American blood most of the time, you are likely to see his horses be like (CHI) or (ARG) and such.  But yes, usually only runs at TP and AW.   Remember Gayego?  (won the AR Derby in 2005).   That was his horse.    He had IVAR(BRZ),  Imperador(ARG)......Irwin has nothing on him when it comes to going to South America for new blood. 

AR Derby new schedule is just so perfectly placed this year, exactly 3 weeks before the KY Derby.    Not too far out, not too close up.  Genius. 

He had a string at Southern Cal years ago and very savvy and every race he's in today he's scary

Lot of Respect for him.

Interesting to see Acatenango (Animal Kingdom’s damsire) in the pedigree 

In the Rebel I will do one box of the 4 Lasix free entrants  2 Powerful, 3 Red Route One, 6 Reincarnate
7 Confidence Game: Rain Or Shine 

I'll wait to see what the track Conditions look like before I make a bet Saturday.

Tough field.. On Paper.

 I edit and put more angles for the Rebel on Message 1648 this thread
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
best pedigree mud stats Sire only-----------    Sire        BMS AWD                                                                     
 Confidence Game   Starts   1913   % 21         7.1         7.5  
Giant Mischief                        1836   % 19         6.8         7.1
Talladega                                1836   % 19          6.8         6.4
Frosted Departure                 278    %  15         6.6         7.0
Powerful                                  146    %  20         7.1         7.5
Gun Pilot                                  121    %  22         7.3         7.6
Red Route One                       121    %   22         7.3         7.6
Reincarnate                              26     %  23          6.7         7.2
Verifying                                    19     %  21          6.8         7.3
Bourbon Bash                          11     %  18          7.2         6.7
Event Detail                              11     %   18         7.2         6.8
---------

it goes more than that,  gdm is full to AK bm

The slop sucks today.

smartyslew said...

Also at race time might do a mix from the L free and these

 

 On Our List Racing in The Rebel:5 entrants:1 Verifying, 4 Gun Pilot-rf, 5 Giant Mischief,6 Reincarnate
7 Confidence Game

that worked. :)  

Congrats.  

I've never not bet Confidence Game,  in any race since the beginning of his career........83% ITM, and he goes off at 18-1?  
I am not a big bettor so only made about $200 on single w/p on him. 

We don't need needles........horses don't need needles before every race. 

Thank you, Congrats to you, glad you had a good day, my data had a good day

Maybe it helped  others like it helped me ,lot of it worked for this field.

I was focused on numbers 1 thru 7, 8-11 I tossed,  then 2 of the 1-7 I had at the bottom
Reincarnation Wasn't on my win because of his 180 ft Runup in a Mile race but I used him
the first 2 raced 8.5 in last, 3rd and 4th 8f  in last.

of my spread. It doesn't get any better than that. The Winner received a 94 Beyer, so time will tell

how good this group  is and Red Route One was 19 1/2 lengths behind and was still Last after 6f
and was  One of 3 that hit the Historical Guideline I use for The Last Quarter  previous race of 25.40

or faster.24.93 the fastest of the 3, Verifying one of the 3 came in 4th, and Gun Pilot didn't hit the board.

The first 3 were the Fastest entered at the Distance of the race and all 3 are Lasix free.

A lot to like looking at the data.imo