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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 352957 views.
Msg 1792 of 2666
In reply toRe: msg 1791
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/17/23

Horses on our List Racing Saturday  3/18/23 
Race 8: Gulfstream Park 3 yr olds  Hutchesons Stakes 6f dirt 7 entrants.
 
#3 Super Chow WON
-----
Race 9: MSW 9f Turf rail at 49 ft. 10 entrants, + 3 AE, well bred entrants
#1 Spinzar  15-1    3RD PLACE
----
 
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Msg 1793 of 2666
In reply toRe: msg 1792
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/17/23

3 Year old  races of interest 3/18/23
----------------------------------------------
Aqueduct Park
Race 9: Fillies Cicada Stks  6 f Dirt 6 entries
Race 10 : MSW 7f Dirt  10 enhtries
------
Fair Grounds
Race 5 Fillies MSW 1 mile Turf 8 entrants, 8 AE  rail at 34 ft.
Race 7 MSW 8.5f : 11 entrants
--------------------
Gulfstream
race 8 Hutcheson Stks 6f ,7 starters 

race 9: MSW 9f Turf 10 entries + 3 AE   Rail at 49 ft.
----------------
Laurel Park
Race 8 : Fillies Beyond The Wire Stks 8f Mile dirt 7 entrants
race 9 Private Terms Stks 8.5f dirt ,8 entrants,
---------------------------------
Santa Anita 
race 7:  Fillies China Doll Stks 8f Turf 7 entrants  Rail at 10 ft
race 10 : Fillies MSW 6.5 f dirt  7 entries
----
 
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Msg 1794 of 2666
In reply toRe: msg 1793
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/18/23

---

3 Lasix Free: 2 Instant Coffee, 3 Curly Jack,11 Jaces Road, I suggest any entrant with
Lasix used 2 races in a row has a good shot of his speed numbers jumping up, most of
the trainers last year only used Lasix twice during the TC season CyberKnife Needed that
boost 2 races after that  lasix races. I see Single Ruler and Baseline Beater used Lasix 3 times already
12 th race Fair Grounds - Saturday, March 25th, 2023
STAKES. 1 3/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $1,000,000. Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby (Grade 2). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS.
*Derby Curse, can win this race
PP Horse A/S  run up   Wgt Jockey Trainer
1L2 87 Shopper's Revenge EP 4 3 C    60 122 Santana, Jr. Ricardo Asmussen Steven M. br/nd curse*
2 96 Instant Coffee P2 EP5 3 C    50 122 Saez Luis Cox Brad H.           Nd/ BR curse*
3 85 Curly Jack EP 5  Miler type 3 C    40 nick 122 Morales Edgar Amoss Thomas M.
4L1 88 Sun Thunder S0  3 C    40 nick 122 Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph McPeek Kenneth G.
5 L1 91 Disarm P6 3 C    60 nick 122 Rosario Joel Asmussen Steven M.
...[Message truncated]
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Msg 1770.1795 deleted
Msg 1796 of 2666
In reply toRe: msg 1794
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/19/23

Kentucky Derby Championship Series (16 races)
Date Race Racetrack Distance 1st (Points) 2nd (Points) 3rd (Points) 4th (Points) 5th (Points)
Feb. 18 Risen Star Fair Grounds 1 1/8 Miles Angel of Empire (50) Sun Thunder (20) Two Phil's (15) Tapit's Conquest (10) Single Ruler (5)
Feb. 25 Rebel Oaklawn Park 1 1/16 Miles Confidence Game (50) Red Route One (20) Reincarnate (15) Verifying (10) Bourbon Bash (5)
March 4 Gotham Aqueduct 1 Mile Raise Cain (50) Slip Mahoney (20) General Banker (15) Eyeing Clover (10) Clear the Air (5)
March 4 San Felipe Santa Anita 1 1/16 Miles Practical Move (50) Geaux Rocket Ride (20) Skinner (15) hejazi (10) Fort Bragg (5)
March 4 Fountain of Youth Gulfstream Park 1 1/16 Miles Forte (50) Rocket Can (20) Cyclone Mischief (15) Mage (10) Shadow Dragon (5)
March 11 Tampa Bay Derby Tampa Bay Downs 1 1/16 Miles Tapit Trice (50) Classic Car Wash (20) Classic Legacy (15) Prairie Hawk (10) Lord Miles (5)
March 25 UAE Derby Meydan Racecourse 1 3/16 Miles (100) (40) (30) (20) (10)
March 25 Jeff Ruby Steaks Turfway Park 1 1/8 Miles (AW) (100) (40) (30) (20) (10)
March 25 Louisiana Derby Fair Grounds 1 3/16 Miles (100) (40) (30) (20) (10)
March 26 Sunland Derby Sunland Park 1 1/8 Miles (50) (20) (15) (10) (5)
April 1 Florida Derby Gulfstream Park 1 1/8 Miles (100) (40) (30) (20) (10)
April 1 Arkansas Derby Oaklawn Park 1 1/8 Miles (100) (40) (30) (20) (10)
April 8 Wood Memorial Aqueduct 1 1/8 Miles (100) (40) (30) (20) (10)
April 8 Blue Grass Keeneland 1 1/8 Miles (100) (40) (30) (20) (10)
April 8 Santa Anita Derby Santa Anita 1 1/8 Miles (100) (40) (30) (20) (10)
April 15 Lexington Keeneland 1 1/16 Miles (20) (8) (6) (4) (2)
(T) = Turf           (AW) = Synthetic
Race dates and distances to be announced by host track; date based on recent historical placement
* Did not accrue points because trainer is suspended by CDI from competing in 2023 Kentucky Derby
@ Did not accrue points because horse raced with Lasix
 1
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Msg 1797 of 2666 to GerhGerh 
In reply toRe: msg 1058
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/20/23

yes I remember that.

 
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Msg 1798 of 2666
In reply toRe: msg 1797
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/20/23

Message 697 this thread>>. Last year 2022 Louisiana Derby

From: smartyslew, 1st Epicenter, 2nd Zozos, 3rd Pioneer Of Medina 4th Rattle N Roll

3/22/22

Louisiana Stakes 3/26 Fairgrounds
--
E1 E2/LATE SPEED PARS: 91 97/ 89 Speed *97, Epicenter*98
---
Ave Dist Pace  Speed : Epicenter 102 102 87 96,Zozos 75 75 111 94, Pion O Med. 93 93 87 91   Came in Like clockwork
Ave Race Rating: Rattle N Roll  118,Epicenter 116,Call Me Midnight 116,Pion Of Med 115   That's Not Bad
------
Prime Power :Epicenter 142.6 Rattle N Roll 138.5 Pioneer of Medina 134.5  1st,4th,3rd
Class: Epicenter 119.5 Rattle N Roll 118.0 Zozos 117.6  1st,4th 2nd,
--
Early:100 Epicenter 98 Pioneer of Medina 90 Rattle N Roll , 1st 3rd, 4th
Late:111 *Zozos 102 Call Me Midnight 100 Curly Tail ,  *2nd
--------
%Races Won E 40 %, EP 23 %,P 19 %, S 18 %   Epicenter won  E8**** 
----
12th Race - Fair Grounds - Saturday, March 26th, 2022
STAKES. 1 3/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $1,000,000. Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby (Grade 2). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. (05:44 PM) (9)
PP Horse A/S Wgt Jockey                    SPD dis GR Trainer
1 Silent Power S     only mdn win                        L last 3  3 C 122 Melancon Gerard  84 7f   S Gelner Scott  50-1
2 Zozos  EP 5                 43 days off                    1st no L 3 C 122 Geroux Florent  94 8.5f  OC Cox Brad H.   8-1
3 Call Me Midnight S    63 days off   1st g3        7 no L 3 C 122 Graham James  94 8.5 f g3 Desormeaux J. Keith  6-1
4 Curly Tail  S1        only mdn win                    L last 2 3 C 122 Hernandez Colby J.  92  8.5 f mdn Stewart Dallas   30-1
5 Kupuna  P4           only mdn win                  L last 2 3 C 122 Gutierrez Reylu 90 8.5 f  OC  Calhoun W. Bret   8-1
6
...[Message truncated]
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Msg 1799 of 2666 to smartyslewsmartyslew 
In reply toRe: msg 1798
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

3/20/23

smartyslew said...

Last year 2022 Louisiana Derby

Last year Brisnet PPs had the trifecta in perfect order.  Epicenter, Zozos, Pioneer of Medina.  Just like that.

 
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Msg 1800 of 2666
In reply toRe: msg 1798
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/20/23

Last year Beyer Leaderboard this time of year. Louisiana Derby winner Epicenter 98

thru 3/19/22 Beyer speed figures  for 3 yr olds, mostly route races...  ** one turn mile, no 2 turn races yet

 
Messier SA 06 Feb 1 1/16M 103
Epicenter FG 19 Feb 1 1/8M 98
Forbidden Kingdom SA 05 Mar 1 1/16M 98
White Abarrio GP 05 Feb 1 1/16M 97
Morello AQU 05 Mar 1M  ** 96
Simplification GP 05 Mar 1 1/16M 96
...[Message truncated]
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Msg 1801 of 2666
In reply toRe: msg 1800
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/20/23

Message 1632 this thread Risen Star , the splits Suck big time

No body ran the last Q in 25.40 or faster, that is not a good prep

and on Lasix ,Single Ruler raced with lasix 3 times already. Suggest looking for troubled trips in Last.

The rest of the field is a waste of time. first 5 finishers listed
Risen Star splits
---------------------------2f --- 4f ------6f-------8f----------9f 
Angel of Empire         24.54   48.61  13.11    38.63         51.47  25.60 Last Q
L                                          24.07  24.50    25.52        12.84 1/8
_________________________________________________________________
Sun Thunder            25.36    48.93   13.44   38.52         51.67  25.69  Q
L                                         23.57   24.51   25.08         13.15 1/8
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Two Phils                24.34    47.81    12.62   38.53         52.02   26.45  Q
NO L                                  23.47    24.81   25.91         13.49 1/8
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tapits Conquest      24.77   48.94     13.54   38.53         52.12   26.19 Q
L                                      24.17     24.60   24.99          13.69   1/8
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Single Ruler           25.27   48.83     14.04   39.83         52.52     25.59 Q   8 wide turn
L                                      23.56     25.21   25.79         12.69     1/8
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
On The Lead : Determinedly2f 23.34 ,4f 47.50, Harlocap 6f 1.12.21,Sun Thunder 8f 1.38.52
Angel Of Empire 1.51.47
 
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