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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 252929 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Mar-24

Who is Racing this weekend  that is on The Beyer Leader Board might help showing who is improving.
March 5 is the last day someone made the Leaderboard 20 days ago.
Worcester Racing Favorite Mdn. is on here twice 6.5 f 96, improves longer 8.5f 98
is what you want to see with a 3 yr old , stretching out numbers better than shorter sprints.
Henry Q the big buzz horse at Sunland speedway 93, shows the variant for the track, He might
win Tomorrow and be the real deal ,93 is at the bottom of the leaderboard .
------------

3-year-olds: male or female Beyer Leader Board
through 03/23/2023 
HORSE TRK DATE DIST BEYER FIGURE
Hard to Figure SA 04 Feb 1 1/16M 100
Newgate SA 04 Feb 1 1/16M 100
Practical Move SA 04 Mar 1 1/16M 100
Hejazi SA 15 Jan 6 1/2F 99
Forte GP 04 Mar 1 1/16M 98
Worcester SA 04 Feb 1 1/16M 98
Bishops Bay FG 18 Feb 6F 97
Verifying OP 14 Jan
...[Message truncated]
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Mar-24

I use the leaderboard for one of my gauges

Look how many Leaders raced at Santa Anita, really

Only 2 on the Board Worcester and Henry Q are racing in these 4 preps

this weekend.  Say what, Worcester UAE, Henry Q Sunland, My take is

right now there isn't much out there in the 3 American Preps, How good are the Lightly

Raced Horses, I suggest take a good look who might jump up.
Worcester 98 at Santa Anita is suspect to me for the race at Dubai. IMO
4 cookie cutter Baffert's  work out and awarded a 98 beyer.

----

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Mar-24

smartyslew said...

I think we are old enough to remember how many times Baffert has done this

with a front Runner on that cement, they are not Mine that Bird pacing his energy out

at a high elevation for fitness with tf family 23b that wins derbys.

Fort Bragg is going to the Florida Derby instead so he is scratched.

I think Runaway Ghost was a 23-b.  Actually a lot of horses with very nice pedigrees have won this race, like Firing Line.  Quite a 4m's as well.  

I can see just about any horse winning this except the Wild On Ice horse.  While it's true Baff has won 2 of these for Pegram. 

How did Henry Q go from Doug O'Neil to Todd Fincher?  O'neil won this race last year with Slow Down Andy.  Did Fincher get the horse off a claim or what?  

I can see a horse other than Henry Q and Hard To Figure winning this.   One In Vermillion, How Did He Do That, Low Expectations and all look interesting for different reasons to me.  

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Mar-24

3 Lasix free, #4 Funtastic, 8 Congruent, 10 two Phils,
Never Raced AW:Major Dude(T),Makers Candy, Baby Billy(T),Escapologist (T),Two Phils, Point Proven
---
Field AW Record ** 12-9-3-0 , 6 entrants, Interesting, Congruent 94,Wadsworth 90,Funtastic Again 89
Scooby Quando 89,Event Detail 89 L, BlueBirds Over 83 L) 1st 4 listed here Lasix free Race *****
----
Races in A row on the Improve : Major Dude 86T 87T 89T 94T, Funtastic Again 79, 86 89,
Two Phils 83 84 93 93 94,
-----
 Point Proven:Front Wraps in only,Win93 9f MDN,followed by2 races with Lasix82 & 77, beaten Favorite twice bad)
--
only win is MDN :#2-3-5-6-9-12.
 12th Race Turfway Park - Saturday, March 25th, 2023
STAKES. 1 1/8 Mile Synthetic. Purse $700,000. Jeff Ruby Steaks (Grade 3). FOR THREE-YEARS-OLDS. (06:25 PM) (12)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1L Major Dude P3      94 T g3 8.5f  L5 &7 Back 23.29  47.84 1128 34.32 39.85  5.53 last Q 23.18 T                                      Ortiz, Jr. Irad Pletcher Todd A.
2L Scoobie Quando P4  89 Aw S AW  3-1-2    23.87  47.05  12.05    38.04  43.72
5.68  25.34 A
Machado Luan Colebrook Ben
3L Event Detail P1 8.f  85 A Mdn L AW 2-1-1 23.92  47.13  11.84    37.86  26.02Q Rodriguez Walter A. Lobo Paulo H.
4 Funtastic Again E5   89 AW S     Aw 2-2,   24.09   48.12   12.67    37.05  24.38Q
...[Message truncated]
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Mar-24

I haven't decided who I will bet to win the Ruby Steaks.
I know I will have the 3 Lasix free on my ticket, #4 Funtastic, 8 Congruent, 10 two Phils,
MaJor Dude with that turn of foot on turf, Wadsworth and maybe Scoobie Wando.

DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

Mar-24

Saturday 24th

Doug @ Dubai Saturday ...2 runners run 1-2 $800,000 in purses. 

5 Ah Jeez 1 1/16M d
Stake (UAE Derby Group 2)
2
$ 1,000,000   Gafflione TLC (Mark Davis)
MEY 5 Tall Boy 1 1/16M d
Stake (UAE Derby Group 2)
12
$ 1,000,000   Buick Calumet Farm
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Mar-24

Heard thru the grapevine Mark Davis has a very nice horse. 


I asked above in this topic but nobody answered.... do you know if the O'Neil horse Henry Q went to the Sunland trainer on a claim or did owner transfer him or what?  it's pretty recent.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Mar-25

For the UAE I like Cairo the 2nd youngest in the field trained by O Brien and love his Pedigree and Hope

he gets enough points to qualify for the Derby and matures more by Derby Day and gets it done

The Japanese Horse I like is Dura Erade and I will have those 2 on top
---------

Ruby Stakes I like Funtastic Again a front runner and Major Dude a screaming turn of Foot
closer on turf hoping he takes to A. With Two Phils a presser who when he makes his move
puts pressure on the leaders  even eyeball to eyeball early with them first time A.
Congruent and Wadsworth, Scoobie  Wando. first 2 will be on top.
---------------------------
Sunland Derby Pass, Louisiana Derby I'll do later.

Good Luck !!

--

DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

Mar-25

The owner of record Henry Q is throughout the same as tomorrow: Del Mar Group.

Doug's brother Dennis bought horse at auction. In name  O'Neill later bought the horse. Accounting purposes and for the record, likely.

Assumption: O'Neill member of D M Group. Dennis likely.

Doug was trainer throughout races. As a matter of fact Henry Q's 1st time out, the colt ran against a Reddam + Mario runner. 

Next 2 races had Dettori up, Doug trained.

Best guess is Doug (Dennis) had to turn over to Fletcher due to Reddam being their bread and butter and team success and future. 

And what if they had to compete with their own team Reddam and Mario. They make up the other half.

Kindah turning over your corner store cause you're on the Board of Walmart.

The Del Mar Group in 2nd yr and 26 have left a gate total.

Just $270K earned.

Doug uses rider in here often; Maldonado 

Kinda cheesie silks.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Mar-25

If you have a Twin Spires Account betting is open for Dubai races now.

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