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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 353044 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/3/23

Forte did you see how dirty he was, That is a sign of a Warrior imo and the rush the last 1/32

Kudos to the Jock . 

Mage a Apollo late to the party Saez jock . is this his choice for the Derby ???  Followed Forte and

passed him after the 6f call and circled the field 5 wide got the lead at the mile Passing Cyclone Magic

with Forte 2 1/2 lengths behind who won by a length, Cyclone Rated  finished 3rd 4-5 wide the last Q

3 lengths behind Forte.

And another timing screw up, sounds like they need to get rid of timing beams.

I see Randy Moss still does the Beyers for Gulfstream and he and His computer

are involved in finding stuff.confused

also I try to remember how a horse does that races with front wraps #7 Il Miracolo 98-1, broke hard to the left

and stopped the 6 horse Nautical Start ,I bring this up to point out its a negative more times than naught

especially the ones wrapped up like a mummy.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

4/3/23

Forte is a beast, no doubt! You’ll get no argument from me. I think he wins the Derby. I also believe that his best competition may come from the horse he defeated, who ran a pretty impressive race in his own right. I think his move was premature, and running that hard around the turn, may have cost him.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/4/23

Derby Point Leaders 4/8/232
L lasix, FW Front Wraps, 9 of 18 L free
-----
1 Forte                  190
2 Angel Of Empire  154 L 3 back
3 Two Phils            123 
4Derma Sotogake  100
5Kingsbarnes         100 L 2,3
6Practicle Move        60  FW 2 back
7Rocket Can            60
8Confidence Game   57
9 Raise Cain            54
10 Wild On Ice        50  L &FW
11 Tapit Trice          50   L 2
12 Mage                 50  L 2 back
13 Reincarnate        45
14 Jaces Road         45   fw
15 Cyclone Mischief 45   L 3 back
16 Major Dude        40
17 King Russell       40  L
18 Disarm              40  L2 back
19 Sun thunder      34  L 4 back
20 Red Route One   33
21 Instant Coffee    32
22 Continuar          30
23 Funtastic Again  30
--
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/4/23

Forte rf,1x(6) conduit class. BPT La Troienne 13c(10) Violence/ Blame (T)  2^
2 stam chefs in 5 gen, La Troienne 4 crosses in a PP, Princequillo 2 crosses in a PP, 13 reines
lots of influence  Storm Cat (4sx4d( Mr P), 4s x5 d 4 crosses) Nor Dan 4x5 6 crosses) look at blood % close
FORTE C 2/3 2020 DP = 4-4-5-1-0 (14) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.79) 9 generation linebreeding
Horse Inbreeding Stats Crosses Lines Blood%
...[Message truncated]
View Full Message
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/5/23

smartyslew said...

Kudos to the Jock

Jock had to "ride him" the entire race, lots of work, but also hard on the horse. 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/5/23

I didn't see the jock use his whip the last part of the race moving by horses in a hand ride

I thought kudos for that guy.

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/5/23

smartyslew said...

I didn't see the jock use his whip the last part of the race moving by horses in a hand ride

I didn't say the jock whipped him.  (certainly nothing close to the way Irad flogged Known Agenda, he actually looked like he was "punching him" his hand was levelling such strong blow....I counted 8-9 on Known Agenda .... that was brutal). 

I said he had to "ride him" (Forte) the entire race.  This didn't look anything like the FOY though.  


I watched Big Brown do it running 22 and 3 first Q when he "took over".  Like just galloping along fast like he was able to do w/out a lot of effort as he had that running style. 

Just saying Forte  is a horse who worked hard to win this, being a stalker/closer type from an outside post, part of that is understandable, but who also might be called on to run 3 TC races in a row w/very little rest in between, and I have no doubt this had to have taken something out of him 5 weeks before the TC races begin in a race where he did not need points.   Maybe Irad and owners etc. needed/wanted a thicker wallet.  That may come back to bite them. 
 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/5/23

I said
Forte did you see how dirty he was, That is a sign of a Warrior imo and the rush the last 1/32
Kudos to the Jock .I thought kudos for that guy.
When I mentioned not using the whip in part was referring to what I said above, 
In my view he wasn't laboring home that part of the race and I thought he looked relaxed
nothing to do with what you said  except he didn't whip him for that part of the race
and I should of mentioned the whip and didn't also I watched the replay a little while ago 
I missed how slowly he came out of the gate.
PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

4/5/23

I saw the PPs for BG Sun Thunder coming back from LaD, no surprise there but was surprised to see Flo on him.  I think he just needs 20 to be safe could possibly get by with 10.  I wouldn't pick him to win since big points not needed and the quick turnaround.

Edit 4/6:   of those needing points, the 3 for me.  Good horse needs the points more than others.

  • Edited April 6, 2023 11:58 am  by  PISTOL9
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/5/23

Blue Grass--------------Derby Points
---------
1 Tapit Trice             50  clinched with top 5
2 CLear The Air         5 cross entered  Wood
3 Verifying               14  clinch with win
4 Classic Car Wash   26 Clinch top 2 finish
5 Hayes Strike          7  clinch with a win
6 Scoobie Wando      8 clinch with win
7 Sun Thunder        34 needs top 3
8 Blazing Sevens     16 clinch top 2 spots
9 Major Blue
10 Raise Cain          54 clinched top 5 place
11Mendlessohns
 
Wood
------
1 Dreamlike
2 Shadow Dragon     13  clinch with win
3 Knox
4 General Banker     24 clinch top 2 
5 Slip Mahoney        20 clinch top 2
6 Clear The Air          5 Cross entered
7 Arctic Arrogance   16 clinch top 2 
8 Lord Miles              5 clinch with win
9 Crupi
10 Uncle Jake
11 Classic Catch      
12 Mr Swagger
13 Hit Show               20 clinch top 2
-
Santa Anita
------------------
1 Don't Get It
2 Dazzlemesilver
3 Geaux Rocket Ride    20 clinch top 2 
4 One In Vermillion       5 clinch with win
5 Practical Move           60 clinched
6 National Treasure
7 Skinner                        15 clinch top 2 spots
8 Mandarin Hero (JPN)
9 Low Expectations     20 clinch top 2 spots
-------
TOP