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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 115031 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/9/21

9th race today Kentucky Downs for 2 yr old turf sprinters
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2  entrants on our list #5 Red Danger P2 6-1, 
Early pace last race 1st in this field  97 , P2 rating suspect
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#7 Detroit City  E 5  10-1 Strong finish in last wired field
last race Late pace bris 1st in this field  88, is truly E5 imo my pick for fun
3-5-7-10 live imo , # 10 Filly Wes Ward took to Ascot.
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STAKES. 6 1/2 Furlongs Turf. Purse $500,000. Global Tote Juvenile Sprint S.. FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. (04:50 PM) (10)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Zip It Scotty  EP 3 2 G 118 Gomez Agustin Jazdzewski Jon
2 Baytown Warrior   E6 2 C 120 Whitacre Brandon McEntee Paul
3 Masseto (GB) 7-2, 1st USA ***Respect Live 2 C 120 Gaffalione Tyler Casse Mark E.
4 Vodka N Water   S3 2 C 118 Santana, Jr. Ricardo Asmussen Steven M.
5 Red Danger    P2 2 C 120 Saez Luis Lynch Brian A.
6 Pure Panic  EP5 2 C 120 Ortiz Jose L. Maker Michael J.
7 Detroit City  speed  E 5 2 C 120 Beschizza Adam Sisterson Jack
8 Bonus Appreciation  E5 2 C 120 Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph Asmussen Steven M.
9 Romancer   E5 2 C 118 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Asmussen Steven M.
10 Kaufymaker  E6 2 F*** 117 Velazquez John R. Ward Wesley A.
  • Edited September 9, 2021 2:46 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/9/21

Results for message 194 :Red Danger one of 2 on our list, won the Race
Kicked in gear after 4f good finish.
Detroit City the other one on our list was Scratched after fractious at the Gate
I would of  loved to see him run in this race.
4 live ones came in 1st,3rd,one scratched,5th.
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Let me know if this message  helped anybody play this race.
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# Horse A/S M/E Wgt PP St 1/4 1/2 Str Fin Jockey Odds
5 Red Danger 2 C 120 5 3 51/2 4hd 21 13/4 Saez Luis 2.60
9 Romancer 2 C b 118 7 6 71/2 62 32 1/2 23/4 Ortiz, Jr. Irad 6.50
10 Kaufymaker 2 F b 117 8 5 31/2 21/2 1hd 31 1/2 Velazquez John R. *1.80
8 Bonus Appreciation 2 C 120 6 2 8  71 1/2 4hd 45 3/4 Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph 39.20
3 Masseto (GB) 2 C 120 3 8 62 51/2 51 51 3/4 Gaffalione Tyler 2.40
4 Vodka N Water 2 C b 118 4 4 21/2 1hd 68
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  • Edited September 10, 2021 12:02 am  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/11/21

4 fillies are on our list that are entered 2 Koala Princess E6  6-1,5 Cavalier Cupid  P5 15-1,
9 Mystic Eyes  E6  5-1, 12 Lady Danae  S 0, 3-1, I think all 4 are live for this field. Suggest maybe pick out one
EP type to go with these 4 for exotics if your that type, Suggest for Win don't bet less than 3-1.
Be careful Pletcher will get bet down.
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9/12/21. Race 7 Kentucky Downs 6.5f Turf: Ainsworth Stks, 2 yr old Fillies
1 Mollie Kate  E 6, 30-1 2 F o 120 Geroux Florent Ennis John
2 Koala Princess E6  6-1 2 F 120 Rosario Joel Delacour Arnaud
3 J L's Rockette E6 20-1 2 F 120 Alvarado Junior Mott William I.
4 Offaly Fast  EP 7   30-1 2 F 120 Pedroza Marcelino Collum Niall
5 Cavalier Cupid  P5 15-1 2 F 122 Landeros Chris Nagle Sarah
6 Flip My Id  P4  15-1 2 F b 120 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Maker Michael J.
7 Take The Backroads EP7  12-1 2 F 120 Graham James Amoss Thomas M.
8 Poppy Flower  EP5   4-1 2 F 120 Ortiz Jose L. Ward Wesley A.
9 Mystic Eyes  E6  5-1 2 F 120 Velazquez John R. Pletcher Todd A.
10 Townplace  EP 3  30-1 2 F 120 Beschizza Adam Walsh Brendan P.
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  • Edited September 11, 2021 10:30 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/12/21

1-4-5-6-7-9-13 1st turf race, #8 Tizplenty blazing early speed early on dirt,1st turf last, 3rd place in 5 f race showed speed to 1st call  flattened out.
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2 fillies on our list are entered In this race 14 entered, 12 racing, # 3 Dressed  8-1, #12 Street Tapper  5-1
My pick is #3 Dressed (MTR)  Won last on Aw )(off Turf) by 5 lengths @ 8.5 f, The only one in the field cutting Back in Distance._
_____
Sunday, September 12th, 2021 RACE 5  Kentucky Downs
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. 6 1/2 Furlongs Turf. Race 5: FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD
PP   nmbr Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1       2 Devine Charger  P2 2 F   6-1 122 Mena Miguel Blair Jordan
2       3 Dressed      EP4 2 F   8-1 120 Rosario Joel Catalano Wayne M.
3       4 Tap Dancing Lady  p2 2 F 120 McKee John Kahles Ronald
4       5 Little Lucerito 2 F 113** Canuto Thiago Fernandez Kelly A.
5       6 Trade Secret 2 F 122 Saez Luis Asmussen Steven M.
6       7 Mariah's Candy 2 F 120 Garcia Martin Gelner Scott
7       8 Tizplenty  E7 2 F   7-2 M/L 120 Santana, Jr. Ricardo Asmussen Steven M.
8       9 Taylor's Secret 2 F 120 Albarado Robby Gelner Scott
9       10
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  • Edited September 12, 2021 2:22 pm  by  smartyslew
RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

9/12/21

Dressed and Koala Princess continue MTR’s success with his juveniles at Kentucky Downs, with a couple of eye catching scores today!

Msg 1770.199 deleted
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/12/21

Message 196 results: Did anybody take my suggestion and add one EP type to go with
the 4 I thought was  Live. If you picked Wes Ward's  # 8 Poppy Flower EP5, and put him
with the 4 I liked and used those 5 , 4 of them filled the super, 2-9 had the Exacta with 
2 Koala Princess winning, I set this message up so others could use my info and then
use it to help do your own due diligence. 
Please let me know if this helped you cappin this race, 

2
PP 2
Koala PrincessJoel RosarioArnaud Delacour
$12.00
$5.60
$4.40
9
PP 9
Mystic EyesJohn R VelazquezTodd A Pletcher
-
$6.60
$4.60
8
PP 8
Poppy Flower
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/12/21

Results for message 197 : The horse I picked  to win #3 Dressed pd $10.20 for the win'.
I thought The fittest in the field with the 2 previous races, Another strong finish.
let me know if this helped  cap the race.
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3 Dressed 10.20 5.20 4.00
11 My Dawn 10.20 7.20
13 Pipeline Girl 5.20
Pedigree:  3 - Dressed, Dark Bay or Brown Filly, 2, by More Than Ready - Almada by Lonhro (AUS)

http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/instant.cgi?date=2021-09-12&track=KD&country=USA&race=5&type=inc&print=on

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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/12/21

They were fit and ready and  Dressed nick MTR/ Lonhro was probably positive In Australia,

Didn't hurt to have Rosario, all week he ran on the best part of the turf,

wide early in the meet, then real wide, then on the rail today.

People cuss  him at times,  but on the turf he knows the best part of the turf

Guy's like Bejarno who was in the S. Cal Colony knows this and beat him to the spot

a couple times this week, like jv and jj did in New York on the turf years back.

all savvy jocks fighting for the racing title.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

9/12/21

Joel is the man! I was concerned in both races. I don’t know why. He won both going away, I believe without using the whip. Those two fillies were much the best, getting rail skimming rides that opened up for them. Add Bubble Rock and Consumer Spending, and MTR could be loaded in the filly juvy races. Don’t forget Ready A.P., Ready Lady, and Plus Chic, who I haven’t given up on too.

The colts, on the other hand, need to step it up. Only James Aloysius and possibly Ready For the Lady, look like they have a shot. JA hasn’t worked since his debut.

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