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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 350312 views.
Northof64

From: Northof64

4/24/23

I had another question so I just sent you a pm not to bother others and get off topic. North

cubs.fan

From: cubs.fan

4/26/23

Have you taken a look at Wild On Ice's dam? Might have the highest GSV in the field.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/26/23

yes a couple of hours ago Gsv scoring El Gran Senor a son Of Northern Dancer the only son

with a higher Gsv score than Northern Dancer  is on both sides 89.91 t0 89.58, BMS to Grand slam

everybody behind El Gran his S, BMS Dams score hi Gsv  His Dam is 79.42 , twice on the dam side

with El gran..... Slamitagain is 73.89 , there are other dams higher than that in the pedigree.

I haven't compared any of this crops Dams Scores, is that what you mean. ?

pianot

From: pianot

4/26/23

Remember way back a guy, I think his name was George, use to produce GSV numbs?

cubs.fan

From: cubs.fan

4/26/23

Yeah, comparing those among this crop. Jumped off the page when I look at him today. Don't remember seeing El Gran Senor a lot in Derby winning pedigrees, however.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/27/23

Runners with the last 1/8 run  time  faster then the previous 1/8 run time
subtract the last 1/8 time from the Final Quarter to get the previous 1/8 time 9f
I'm doing the contenders with final Q mile time of 25.40 or faster.
126 pounds to pack that last 1/8 going forward  in that last 1/8 mile
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Forte                        1/8   12.50  : 25.17 - 12.50 = 12.67 previous 1/8 time
Angel Of Empire        1/8   12.12  : 24.42 -12.12 =  12.30      "
Tapit Trice                1/8    12.38  : 24.85 -12.38 =  12.47    "
KingsBarns               1/8   12.11 real slow  Early  Faster estimate 9 3/16 race wire job
Raise Cain                1/8   12.44   : 25.13-12.44 = 12.69
Veryfing                   1/8   12.44   : 24.95-12.44 = 12.51
Reincarnate              1/8   12.57   : 25.39-12.57 = 12.82
Jaces Road               1/8                24.84    9 3/16   yes
Two Phils                  1/8  12.34     24.53-12.34= = 12.19 wired the field on AW
----
Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

4/27/23

Does this one really work?  It probably used to but the only derby winner in the last ten years or so that I think actually did this was Pharoah and that was only by a fraction of a second if that.  Might be better to pick who to leave out of the top spot lol?  The derby’s a little different for sure but I think most of those 9f preps are actually won between 6f and 8f.  There are exceptions of course, like this year’s Florida Derby.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/27/23

Preakness Stakes Future Wager
 
  No.  Horse  Morning line
   1  Angel of Empire   12-1 
   2  Blazing Sevens  50-1 
   3  Chase the Chaos  99-1 
   4  Confidence Game  50-1 
   5  Continuar  70-1 
   6  Cyclone Mischief  50-1 
   7  Derma Sotogake  10-1 
   8  Disarm  35-1 
   9  First Mission  15-1 
 10  Forte    4-1 
 11  Hit Show  30-1 
 12  Instant Coffee  50-1 
 13  Jace's Road  60-1 
 14  Kingsbarns  15-1 
 15  Lord Miles  60-1 
 16  Mage  30-1 
 17  Mandarin Hero  20-1 
 18  Practical Move  10-1 
 19  Raise Cain  60-1 
 20  Red Route One  50-1 
 21  Reincarnate  50-1 
 22  Rocket Can  50-1 
 23  Skinner  20-1 
 24  Sun Thunder  60-1
 25  Tapit Trice    6-1 
 26  Two Phil's  40-1 
 27  Verifying   15-1 
 28  Wild On Ice  80-1 
 29  All others     8-1
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/27/23

Edit canceled this message  ,multiple mistakes, 

Somebody had data for 2 horses posted, using info from 3 horses

Should know better

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/27/23

24.67  48.40 12.70  36.60  49.75 13.15 1/8  25.05 Q
                        23.90


 

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