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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started Jul-2 by smartyslew; 35436 views.
RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Sep-17

Woodbine features some "win and you're in" races this weekend. The Woodbine Mile, the Natalma, and the Summer, have often been players in there respective BC races.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-17

Thanks, Raes,

I received a flyer 4 gr ones Saturday And Sunday and I think they mean 2 each day

all on turf.I haven't checked it out yet.

In reply toRe: msg 205
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-18

Iroquois Stks
---
This is a well bred group with 4 entrants racing 8f or more everybody else is stretching out.
The 4 are #4 Strike Hard P4,# 7 Red Knobs P2,  #9 Guntown EP5, # 10 Husband Material E6-off 87
I like Guntown the best from this group moving way up in class 24.00 last Q, Strike Hard 24.80 Last Q
---------------------
Most of the rest have a few Blue bloods who are stretching out for the first time 5 are on our list.
I like Stellar Tap a speed ball winning at 7f, imo the speed of the Speed, These 3 will be on my ticket
leaning to Guntown 9-2 1st, Stellar Tap 3-1 ML 2nd, Strike Hard 10-1 3rd,with /11, 8, for exotics
Asmussen Has the 2 I like, Closer Guntown with a 8f race, speed Stellar Tap 3-1, With other speed
in the race. 
---
Churchill Downs - Saturday, September 18th, 2021 Race 9: 5 on our list 3-6-7-8-11
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $300,000. Iroquois S. (Grade 3). FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. (10:11 PM) (11)
P Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Tough To Tame  EP8 2 C 118 Doyle Sophie Davis Christopher 20-1
2 Lucky Boss   EP8   7f     off 78 2 C 118 Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph McPeek Kenneth G.  10-1
3 Roger Mcqueen x E8  7f 2 C 120 Beschizza Adam Rivelli Larry   10-1
4 Strike Hard  P4          8f   91 24.8 LQ 2 C 118 Reyes Leonel Williams Matthew J.  10-1
5 Magnolia Midnight  EP4 2 C 118 Lanerie Corey J. Stewart Dallas   12-1
6 Stellar Tap x  E6   7f 2 C 118 Santana, Jr. Ricardo Asmussen Steven M.  3-1 ML
7 Red Knobs x  P2     8f   76 2 C 118 Graham James Romans Dale L.   20-1
8 Major General x  E6 2 C 118 Castellano Javier Pletcher Todd A.  4-1
9
...[Message truncated]
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  • Edited September 18, 2021 8:13 pm  by  smartyslew
In reply toRe: msg 209
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-18

Not very much speed in this race and its wide open the #4 or # 10 might try to steal it suggest 
have one in your exotics. I'll play 2-11-6-9/ add 4 or 10 maybe both
3 on our list are entered 2-6-9, nobody has a route race on dirt.  3-6-8 have raced routes on turf... 2-11-6 are good Pedigrees for stretching out IMO.
--
9/18 8 th Race,  STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $300,000. Pocahontas S. (Grade 3). FOR FILLIES, TWO YEARS OLD. (09:39 PM) (11)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Code For Success  S4 2 F 118 Bejarano Rafael Oliver Victoria H.  20-1
2 Goddess Of Fire  P6 2 F 118 Castellano Javier Pletcher Todd A.   6-1
3 Mama Rina  EP4 2 F 118 Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph McPeek Kenneth G.  12-1
4 Ontheonesandtwos  EP6 2 F 118 Santana, Jr. Ricardo Casse Norm W.     5-2
5 Majestic D'oro  S4 2 F 118 Garcia Martin Walsh Brendan P.   8-1
6 Maxine Machine  S 2 F 118 Geroux Florent Cox Brad H.      6-1
7 Kneesnhips  S2 2 F 118 Graham James Amoss Thomas M.  8-1
8 Miss Chamita  S2 2 F 118 Romero Gregory Douaihy Michel     30-1
9 Hidden Connection P6 2 F 118 Gutierrez Reylu Calhoun W. Bret   9-2
...[Message truncated]
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In reply toRe: msg 210
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-18

two more 2 yr old  stks races  today

9/18 race 5 Gulfstream 2 yr olds Armed Forces Stks 1 mile Turf 8 entries
4 entries from our list: I like # 10 Credibility 3-1
 #3 No Nay Franklin 8-1, #4 Eldon's Prince 2-1, #6 Eternal Rest 12-1, #10 Credibility 3-1
-------
Race 8 Los Alamitos 2 yr olds Beta Bob Stks . sprinters 6.5 furlongs dirt, 6 entrants,
3 on our list are Beta Bobs #1 Rhetoric 9-5, #3 Montebello 2-1, #4 Enbarr 7-5
-
$41,250 to the winner, $13,500 to second, $9,000 to third, $4,500 to fourth, $3,000 to fifth, $1,500 to Sixth, 
*$50,000 to the winner.. way to go Beta Bob nice payday
_________________________-
Race 5 Churchill Msw 2 yr olds 7f ; 10 entered , one on our list 
#9 Great Escape 4-1, He is my pick.
  • Edited September 18, 2021 2:36 pm  by  smartyslew
In reply toRe: msg 211
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Sep-18

So I'm watching Eclipse Award winner Classic Empire's babies this year.  Figured I'd pick a few sires to follow. He did his best racing in KY, so why not.... those soft eyes really get to me.  Not a derby list per se, just want something to root for.....not sure if CA has stamina problems but have to look at all the dams. 
Filly race today R4 Arlington, Harty's Wonderstruck was the favorite  (BMS is Shamardal, 2004 Cartier Champion 2-year old in Europe). I liked Sport Pepper (Classic Empire) (BMS First Samarai won G1 Champagne and Hopeful).    Sport Pepper won.  Dam is Le Mi Geaux,  inbred to Mr P's son, Fappiano (like Justin Phillip) but Rick Dutrow didn't do her justice.    I've had very good luck with the Samarai's but they seem to do better as they age.   

So following:

--Classic Moment (unraced; dam side victory party/leslies lady/tricky creek.....wonder what they will do w/this one)
--Beautiful Empire (unraced F; Oxley owner of Monarchos has good eye for horseflesh) putting in works; Colonel John) 
--Fragrant - Unraced; Graham Motion is training her at FH; gorgeous name for a gorgeous horse
--Classic Legend - unraced, Casse working at WO.  Long legs (BMS is Cherokee Run but this one does not look like a sprinter to me).
--First Empire  3-2-0-0
--Old Town Road 2-2-0-0 (Ward;  looks very powerful! (won maiden at same track as Classic Empire did). 
--Classical Romance 3-0-1-1
--Interstatedaydream 2-1-1-0
--Twenty Four Mamba 5-1-1-0
--Otomon Empire 3-1-0-0
--Ava K's Boy 2-1-0-1
--Classy Edition 1-1-0-0 (filly loves slop)(Pletcher trains, Lows owned.  Expensive)
--Mariah's Fortune 3-0-1-2
--Queen's Up 2-1-1-0
--Azamana Empire 
--Sport Pepper
--Mr Mac Quhae
--Classic Lynne
--Fishers - no idea what happened to this one that Chad Brown raced 1x

 

 

 

princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

Sep-18

Hidden Connection looked good winning the Pocahontas, but for the life of me, I could not understand the jock continuing to whip mid-stretch with such a large lead....

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-18

I hate it when they do that !

In reply toRe: msg 209
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-19

Results for Message 209 Iroquois Stks  we Had 5 entrants entered from our list
#8 Major General was First, 2nd not on our list was #1 Tough To Tame;by a neck
Drifted in the stretch cost 1st place, the next 4 was the rest of our list 3 3/4 lengths
separated  the first 6; 3rd #7 Red Knobs, 4th #11 Bourbon Heist, 5th #6 Stellar Tap
6th Guntown.   Pretty tight group, any of them could step up next time
Red Knobs and Bourbon Heist were coming  fast and hard. Note That when they stretch out
Good DD to do that. 

http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/instant.cgi?date=2021-09-18&track=CD&country=USA&race=9&type=inc&print=on

  • Edited September 19, 2021 12:16 am  by  smartyslew
In reply toRe: msg 210
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-19

Results for Message 210: Pocahontas Stks, 3 on our list are entered, 9-6-2, 
# 9 Hidden Connection ran away with the race won by 9 1/4 lengths, #3 Mama Rina big odds
was 2nd, Goddess Of Fire #2 was 3rd and on our list... http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/instant.cgi?date=2021-09-18&track=CD&country=USA&race=8&type=inc&print=on

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