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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 129607 views.
PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

10/12/21

I just noticed BB has Corniche, that means I'll be passing the Juv this year.  My biggest success in the last 6-7 years has been the Juv Classic double, with BB being involved in both, I'm not touching that or those races.  Are there any other races he is in (I'm assuming FM Sprint with Gamine)

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

10/12/21

Thank you Pianot, I hope so.

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

10/13/21

smartyslew said...

I've been under the weather and will not update this site until I get Better.

Really sorry to hear this --- rest up!   and hope you're back quick....not seeing you here is sort of like this: 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

10/13/21

I found time for one more cup of coffee, thanks

5 entrants on our list 2-3-10-12-15AE, < 14 Elite miler,  x = Turf pedigree A or A+ my data
Took me 2 days 15 minutes at a time when possible , Picqued my Interest, Hand it to the breeders
A great Pedigree group for the Turf. Now that's on paper I can't see what they look like.
There is value all over the place and who knows who the culls are or is it a blanket finish.
A good betting race go for it its the turf. 
----
E1 85 E2 85 /LATE 83 SPEED  85   PARS: 85 85/ 83 85, 3 closest to par
Diamond Wow ¯ 84 86/ 90        86    7f
Boxing Day        89 86/ 88        83    6.5f
Opalina             77 82/ 101      92       8.f
--------
Keeneland - Wednesday, October 13th, 2021 8th race
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Turf. Purse $200,000. JPMorgan Chase Jessamine S. (Grade 2). FOR FILLIES, TWO YEARS OLD. (04:44 PM) (16)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Kneesnhips 2 F 118 Graham James Amoss Thomas M.  30
2 x California Angel 2 back 1st 8f 2 F RF 118 Bejarano Rafael  Q 24.87 2 back Leonard, III George  30
3 x Turnerloose  1st 8f  Stk 2 F 120 Geroux Florent Q 24.98 Cox Brad H. 5-2
4 Ontheonesandtwos 1st turfer 2 F 118 Talamo Joseph Casse Norm W.  20
5 / Roughly A Diamond 2nd 7.5 f , 2 F 118 Saez Luis Nihei Michelle  30
6 Bhoma 1st turf 2 F 118 Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph McPeek Kenneth G.  20
7 / Rigby 1st 6f 2 F 118 Santana, Jr. Ricardo Maker Michael J.  20 
8 x Queen Judith 1st 6,f yl 2 F 118
...[Message truncated]
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Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

10/13/21

I posted those on Sat w/out PPs or odds yet.  Blissful and Haughty AE didn't make the gate as I thought

http://forums.delphiforums.com/horse_racing/messages/?msg=1770.280

In the Jessamine, I will probably root for Onetheonesandtwos, Queen Judith, Misthaven  
Longshot:  Roughly A Diamond.   
(I  liked Blissful and Haughty but both are AEs and won't get in? Will have to wait and see). 


I will keep my picks except move Ontheonesandtwos to longshot along with Roughly a Diamond.   
Then add California Angel & Boxing Day to Queen Judith & Misthaven.  Those are the only 4 I feel anything for?


I can't seem to get a bead on Opalina or Diamond Wow in my head. 

Anyone can win this, they are basically all green.  


 

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

10/13/21

And California Angel takes it!  $37.40

( am always ecstatic when Bejarano wins stuff) 

I thought Ontheonesandtwos ran pretty well too....maybe needs shorter. 
 

You "x-ed" them pretty well smartyslew. 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

10/13/21

Thanks, I had the 2-3 best pedigrees for stretching out, 14 elite miler and led then

I couldn't believe how good that California Chrome turf pedigree scored a perfect match

keep him off the dirt. Look for some of those others in here when they stretch out

This was a good prep for the field. 

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

10/13/21

Despite spinning wide into the stretch, I thought Dressed would run by them, but she hung late.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

10/18/21

10/1/21 starter list  updated 10/18/21 Edit
2 turn 2 yr old prospects for the fall and BC Juvenile races
Separate  from the other 2 yr old lists . 8 f and longer 2 turn prospects
Male list.
--
I missed some races and I'll list what I have when I feel good enough
Mostly 2 turn types, with some sprinters who might try stretching out.
I'll Keep a seperate list for filly's
--
Males
----
Achilles Heel (T)
Albahr (GB)(T) g1 last Q 23.29
American Sanctuary 2nd-s
Annapolis (T) 1st g2 8.5f 1.41.04
Bayside Boy (T) 1st g2 doncaster
Be Like Clint (AW) off the turf
Big Country  front runner dirt
Biz Biz Buzz (T) sprinter
Brit's  Wit  (T)
Bourbon Heist 4th g3
Call Me Midnight
Chancellor Bay RF 4th STK-checked bad
Chaotic Tempo (T) 1st MSW
Castle Star (IRE) 2nd g1
Classic Causeway-speed sprinter
Coinage  (T)  3rd STK
Commandperformance  2nd g1
Corniche  1st g1
Credibility (T)
Curbstone (T) 2nd Msw
Dakota Gold (T) 1st stk
Daunt (T) 1st Msw
Degree Of Risk (T)3-g1
Derecho Dandy(T)
Double Thunder 1st s
Dowaiac Chief (T)
Dr Perry
Dream of A Day (T) 1/16 5.73 MSW
Electrostatic (T) 1st MSW    last Q 24.98
Eldons Prince (T)
Epic Luck (T)
First Empire g1  4th
Flip The Script (T)
Fromanothamutha
Fort Washington (T)
General Ken (T)
Giant Game
Grafton Street (T) 2nd g1
Grael  (T)
Great Britain (T)
Gingrich (T)
Heaven Street (T)
He's A Angel (T)rf 5h
...[Message truncated]
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