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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 109073 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/2/21

Your Welcome Dogs, As long as they are doing as many gimmick bets

why not a pick 6 for these 6 races instead of 3 doubles or why not both!

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/2/21

Tough pickin, Exacta and tri bets ,with hard pickin keys .

Who you Picken for the Classic ? I think it will be a 3 year old.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/2/21

You got this race right. love the turfers in this crop !good luck

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

11/3/21

I am leaning towards a Max Player upset. In his last two races he has totally changed his running style, with spectacular success. I don't expect him to get near the lead with the pace scenario I expect, but I think he can be closer than usual, and get the jump in a race that falls apart. I know he can get the distance.

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

11/3/21

ALL..A teaser in sports betting is when player gets more or less points to cover if he in combination also bets the under/over. Two things have to happen.  Same wager amount total $ bet and return for eliminating some risk. 

Likewise there are many cards where the 6 is not hit and yet the 5 or 4 pays ransom doll-ors.

Also some tracks the 6s are a dollar bet and 4 + 5s are fiddie cents.

Going the 50 cents allows use of more runners. And if card comes up right not using a leg that is a 2 or 1 horse race.

There are some races where the tri or bet say comes up so short; I say if you don't have it, you can't stay and play some more.

In a pick 4 with likely horses and a using a bomb or 2/ or more in each leg one gets more spread for Piñata ticket.

This 2 day BC quality of proven horses; a spread on just 2 races Double could come back a negative payout. So doubles have to hard(er).  Yet to wheel..would be 1 horse in 1 leg with the other leg the calculated leg. *one can see the DD Will Pays of course.

And the advantage of catching say 2 long horses in 2 legs in a pick, as RIP Steve M would say.."You have to get paid for your handicapping."

And again the great multiplier.. there are say 4 times the runners in the 4 than 2. Betting the bomb in a leg or 2 of 4 eliminates many with the short spread in legs.

Dogs construct whereas if the ticket runs soft might make a few bucks, yet if my ticket produces 'handicapped long ball runners my usual smile goes G1.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/4/21

Thanks with all of that.

Dogs good luck this weekend and I hope your DD pays off.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/4/21

10/1/21 starter list  updated 11/4/21
2 turn 2 yr old prospects for the fall and BC Juvenile races
Separate  from the other 2 yr old lists . 8 f and longer 2 turn prospects
Male list.
I haven't done much the last 3 weeks
----
Achilles Heel (T)
Albahr (GB)(T) g1 last Q 23.29
American Sanctuary 2nd-s
Annapolis (T) 1st g2 8.5f 1.41.04
Armor (T) sprinter
Bayside Boy (T) 1st g2 doncaster
Be Like Clint (AW) off the turf
Ben Diesel
Big Country  front runner dirt
Biz Biz Buzz (T) sprinter
Brit's  Wit  (T)
Bourbon Heist 4th g3
Call Me Midnight
Chancellor Bay RF 4th STK-checked bad
Chaotic Tempo (T) 1st MSW
Castle Star (IRE) 2nd g1
Classic Causeway-speed sprinter
Coinage  (T)  3rd STK
Commandperformance  2nd g1
Corniche  1st g1
Credibility (T)
Curbstone (T) 2nd Msw
Dakota Gold (T) 1st stk
Daunt (T) 1st Msw
Degree Of Risk (T)3-g1
Derecho Dandy(T)
Double Thunder 1st s
Dowaiac Chief (T)
Dr Perry
Dream of A Day (T) 1/16 5.73 MSW
Dubawi Legend (T)
Electrostatic (T) 1st MSW    last Q 24.98
Eldons Prince (T)
Epic Luck (T)
First Empire g1  4th
Flip The Script (T)
Fromanothamutha
Fort Washington (T)
General Ken (T)
Get Back Goldie (T)
Giant Game
Glounthaune (T)
Grafton Street (T) 2nd g1
Grael  (T)
Great Britain (T)
Great Max (T)
Gingrich (T)
Heaven Street (T)
He's A Angel (T)rf 5h
Heston 
...[Message truncated]
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/4/21

fillies  thru 11/4/21
-------
Aint Easy 1st g2
Already Charming (T)
Always Connected (T) sprinter
All Luck
Averly Jane (T) sprinter
Blissful (T)
Bubble Rock (T) sprinter
Buff My Boots 
Cachet (T)
Cairo Memories (T)
California Angel (T)1st G2
Cecilita (T)
Classic Lynne (T)
Classy Edition
Consumer Spending (T)
Curbs And Cones  Sprinter
Daisy Bee (T)
Desert Dawn
Determined Star (T)
Diamond Wow (T) Miler 2nd G2
Distinctlypossible  2nd g1
Dressed (T) G2
Echo Zulu  24.2 last Q
Eda
Electric Ride 2nd g2
Eminent Victor (T) 3rd g1
Famed
Fortunata Tensio (T)
Full Focus
Gal In A Rush (T) sprinter
Gimme Mo Baby(T)
Golden Sights sprinter
Grace Adler bad trip
Hals Dream (T) turn of feet
Haughty (T)
Helens Well (IRE) (T)
Hello You (IRE) (T)1st g2
Hemmerle  (T)
Hidden Connection
Jaccaci (T)
Juju's Map  1st g1
Koala Princess (T)
Kinchen (IRE) (T)
Kneesnhips (T)
Lady Milagrow  (T)
Lia Marina (T) sprinter
Liams Dove (T)
Macadamia (FR) (T)
McKulick (GB) (T)
Mi Negrita
Mise En Scene
Misthaven (IRE)(T)
My Zip Zip Miler
Nest
Opalina (T)
Openthegate (T) 
OutFoxed 
...[Message truncated]
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DogsUp

From: DogsUp

11/4/21

BET MINIMUMS

$1.00 - WIN, PLACE, SHOW, DAILY DOUBLE, EXACTA, PICK 6, SPECIAL DAILY DOUBLE
$0.50 - TRIFECTA, PICK 3, PICK 4, PICK 5, SUPER HIGH 5
$0.10 - SUPERFECTA 

I'm actually playing deeper exotics not exactas. Cost for using more runners to light up ticket are 50 cents vs $1 for exacta.

Hoofnote: There are new conditions for some exotic payouts this year.

  • Edited November 4, 2021 7:05 pm  by  DogsUp
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/5/21

This is all I Have time for. Essential Quality to win the classic.

Juvenile Race: Males
8.5 f dirt
Boxing 6 :
 5 Double Thunder, 3 Oviatt Class,12 Corniche,10 Commandperformance, 2 Jasper Great ,
7 Giant Game,
 Longshot to win #5 Double Thunder  20-1*,

What's Baffert Doing with Corniche and Pinehurst, is he sending one or both.
--------------------------------------------------------------
Race 8 : Juvenile Fillies Turf 8f: My darts landed on these 4, 
Win Bet : #10 Helens Well  30-1,
 play Exotics :10-Helens Well 30-1, #8 Sail By 20-1, # 9 Koala Princess 6-1,
# 5 Bubble Rock 8-1
|------

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