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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 114281 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-15

Has he ever had a MTR ?

The female families suggest better on the Turf !

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-16

Elite Projected 3 Year olds for 2022.> updated 12/23/21  page 1 from post 406
-----------------------------------------------
name, distance, stam. Chefs,Prince.,LaTroienne, L. Heart, (top Families)  Trainer, Tff, Reines Mares

Corniche yes,2 stam,,P,L, 0 LH,(10 1x, 12-13c,6 16c,4 9c,)   x      Bob Baffert 1x, 12r
Jack Christopher yes 0 stam,P,L,1 LH,(6 1x,5 1e,4 9b,4 16a,9b,) x Chad Brown 1e,8r
Smile Happy yes 5 stam,L,3 LH, ( 10 1x,6 6d,5 4k,4 3o, rf) x    Ken McPeek 6d,11r

Emmanuel yes,1 stam,P,L,1 LH, (10 1x,6 4m,5 2d,4 16h,4 16g,)      x Pletcher 4m,16r 

Giant Game yes 1 stam L,1 Lh,(11 1x,7 12c,6 19c,5 8c,4 2d,) rf x Dale Romans19c,11r
Octane yes,1 stam, P,L,4 LH,(6 1x,6 4m, 6 8f,5 13c,4 9f,) rf        Carlos David 4m,18r
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  • Edited January 23, 2022 3:02 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-16

projected elite 3 yr olds for 2022 page 2, from post 407
---
Newgrange ? 2 stam, L, 1 Lh,(6 2o,5 13c,5 9b,5 1g,4 6d,4 8h) Bob Baffert 2o, 7r
Tang yes 3 stam P, L, 6 LH,( 9 13c,8 4m,6 1s,4 3l,) 2 rf x Chris Clement 1s,12r
 
Armagnac yes,3 stam,P,L,5 LH, (15 13c,6 a4,4 3l,,
x Bob Baffert              a4,14r
Wharton yes,2 stam,P, L,1LH,(10 13c,8 4m,7 21a,6 1x,4 19) x Bob Baffert 1x,13 r
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  • Edited January 23, 2022 3:09 pm  by  smartyslew
RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Jan-16

He had a three year old last year named Showpower, a 500K yearling purchase that has never run. I remember many years ago, he had a filly that started out promisingly, but she died suddenly. Don't remember the details.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Jan-20

I saw a nice one at Gulfstream today from Chad Brown. Credit Event, by Not This Time, out of a Candy Ride mare, debuted with a three length win over the artificial surface, at a mile and 70 yards. He completed the race in 1:41 and change. I need to see if he can replicate that on the dirt.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-20

His female families says be belongs if he shows he has talent/

His sires Linebreeding I find interesting topped with Nasrullah and Forty Niner

I don't see that very often ,the percentage for Blood and Agr is pretty good imo !
Forty Niner carries Princequillos large Heart and is bred to Lucky Lucky Lucky who 

carries Princequillos Xfactor thru Pocahantas same as Forty Niner to get the 3rd Dam

Mahdooda 6e. lot to like with that cd 0.20 winning from off the pace.
Blushing Groom has Rahy and Candy Stripes one on each side that's a positive imo 

I think Gulfstreams Tapeta is going to play a role this year, preparing the 3's.

CREDIT EVENT C, 2019 DP = 1-0-9-0-0 (10) DI = 1.22   CD = 0.20

Horse Inbreeding Stats Crosses Lines Blood% Influence AGR
NASRULLAH 7S x 7S x 8S x 8S x 9S x 9s x 8S x 8S x 9D x 7D x 8D x 8D x 8d x 6D x 7d x 8D x 8d x 7D 18 8 
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RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Jan-21

Looks like distance should not be a problem either with that dosage.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-21

Yes, keep that stalking style and finish strong. He needs that fitness, with Brown

he could put him on turf instead of dirt. I would like to see a shot on dirt..

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Jan-21

Chad just had two run at Tampa Bay on the turf. Both firsters. The even money favorite,  Napoleonic  War, a War Front colt, out of a Street Cry mare, managed a dead heat win after a slow start, and the 3rd place finisher Unexpected Outcome, an MTR colt, out of a Galileo mare, was wide throughout. Those two will probably stay on the turf, while Credit Event should get a shot on the dirt.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-22

Smile Happy is a P/N with a Dam loaded with Non Phalaris Sires and Mares within 5 generations
IMO this is a Brilliant Mating by the Breeder  Run Happy (speed)/ Pleasant Tap 1x 2nd Bc classic to Api  10f
2nd Bc Sprint 6f, won 2 g1 @ 10f, 3rd in the derby to Unbridled, ITM 17 graded races, 1st or 2nd in 13 graded races
6f - 10f.
-
on the Dam Side in the 5th generation there are 16 lines of Sires and Mares 12 of them are non Phalaris types
this makes Smile Happy special in todays window of time. 9 N/P Chefs on the dam side within 5 generations
some more than once, Major elite Stamina to go with Sire Run Happys speed.
Smile happy is set up to be a elite runner or a Chef De Race or both. 10 lines 1x thru to La Troienne doesn't hurt
within 5 generations, 4 positions of stamina N/P chefs on the dam side and 1 stam chef P/N Nijinsky CS on the sire side.
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I don't know what this says about carrying 126 pounds on the first Saturday in May. He was foaled in February.
Animal Kingdom in 2011 was the last P/N to win the derby. Smarty Jones 2004 P/N, War Emblem 2002 P/N
Giacamo 2005 The only N/P type to win the derby in the 21st Century.

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