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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 112143 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-20

His female families says be belongs if he shows he has talent/

His sires Linebreeding I find interesting topped with Nasrullah and Forty Niner

I don't see that very often ,the percentage for Blood and Agr is pretty good imo !
Forty Niner carries Princequillos large Heart and is bred to Lucky Lucky Lucky who 

carries Princequillos Xfactor thru Pocahantas same as Forty Niner to get the 3rd Dam

Mahdooda 6e. lot to like with that cd 0.20 winning from off the pace.
Blushing Groom has Rahy and Candy Stripes one on each side that's a positive imo 

I think Gulfstreams Tapeta is going to play a role this year, preparing the 3's.

CREDIT EVENT C, 2019 DP = 1-0-9-0-0 (10) DI = 1.22   CD = 0.20

Horse Inbreeding Stats Crosses Lines Blood% Influence AGR
NASRULLAH 7S x 7S x 8S x 8S x 9S x 9s x 8S x 8S x 9D x 7D x 8D x 8D x 8d x 6D x 7d x 8D x 8d x 7D 18 8 
...[Message truncated]
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RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Jan-21

Looks like distance should not be a problem either with that dosage.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-21

Yes, keep that stalking style and finish strong. He needs that fitness, with Brown

he could put him on turf instead of dirt. I would like to see a shot on dirt..

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Jan-21

Chad just had two run at Tampa Bay on the turf. Both firsters. The even money favorite,  Napoleonic  War, a War Front colt, out of a Street Cry mare, managed a dead heat win after a slow start, and the 3rd place finisher Unexpected Outcome, an MTR colt, out of a Galileo mare, was wide throughout. Those two will probably stay on the turf, while Credit Event should get a shot on the dirt.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-22

Smile Happy is a P/N with a Dam loaded with Non Phalaris Sires and Mares within 5 generations
IMO this is a Brilliant Mating by the Breeder  Run Happy (speed)/ Pleasant Tap 1x 2nd Bc classic to Api  10f
2nd Bc Sprint 6f, won 2 g1 @ 10f, 3rd in the derby to Unbridled, ITM 17 graded races, 1st or 2nd in 13 graded races
6f - 10f.
-
on the Dam Side in the 5th generation there are 16 lines of Sires and Mares 12 of them are non Phalaris types
this makes Smile Happy special in todays window of time. 9 N/P Chefs on the dam side within 5 generations
some more than once, Major elite Stamina to go with Sire Run Happys speed.
Smile happy is set up to be a elite runner or a Chef De Race or both. 10 lines 1x thru to La Troienne doesn't hurt
within 5 generations, 4 positions of stamina N/P chefs on the dam side and 1 stam chef P/N Nijinsky CS on the sire side.
-
I don't know what this says about carrying 126 pounds on the first Saturday in May. He was foaled in February.
Animal Kingdom in 2011 was the last P/N to win the derby. Smarty Jones 2004 P/N, War Emblem 2002 P/N
Giacamo 2005 The only N/P type to win the derby in the 21st Century.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-23

Check out this Turfers MSW win at one mile by 14 lengths on dirt E 82), he's a monster

on turf, Can probably beat most of these on dirt, 8-1 right now on the futures

is he going on the TC trail is the Question, I suggest using in the Exactas instead

for the win if you play the futures, He has a  E 107 on turf. I really like him on turf.

Tiz The Bomb 

https://www.equibase.com/profiles/Results.cfm?type=Horse&refno=10577165&registry=T

  • Edited January 23, 2022 12:29 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-23

Lecomte: beyer

Call Me Midnight  88
Epicenter  88
Pappacap  87

-------------------
Beyer 3 yr old 8f and longer 2022 Leaders thru 1/22/22

Adare Manor(f)  8f  92
Simplification 8f  90
Call Me Midnight 8.5 F  88

Epicenter  8.5 f   88
Newgrange  8f    88
Pappacap  8.5 f    87

Constitutionlawyer  9f  85
Armagnac  8.5 f       83

Oviatt Class  8f     83
Charge It  8f  83
Rockefeller  8f    83

Strike Hard  8f   83
Volcanic  8f  83

--
This will change when the Heavyweights start Running !

  • Edited January 23, 2022 10:55 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-23

Pool 2 Entry's  with a derby nick or long nick of a derby winner (A Sire line and Bms Sire line marraige)

1 Chasing Time  2018 winner

5 Dash Attack  2015, 2000 winner

8 Giant Game 2021, 1999 winner

9 High Oak  2014, 2013 winners

10 Jack Christopher 2009 winner

15  Rattle N Roll    1995 winner

16 Simplification   2015 winner

18 Smile Happy P/N  1997, 2004 

21 Varatti   2020    winner

A strategy might be boxing from this list with # 24 all other 3 yr olds

in a Exacta box.

I put a Quarter win bet on #16 Simplification for giggles last look 55-1

  • Edited January 23, 2022 2:11 pm  by  smartyslew
Msg 1770.452 deleted
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-24

updated 1/24/22

10/1/21 starter list  updated 
2 turn 2 yr old prospects for the fall and BC Juvenile races including turf prospects
Separate  from the other 2 yr old lists . 8 f and longer 2 turn prospects
Male list. I've  added the female list and not finished with it yet. when finished  Turf and dirt Prospects
are about equal this year in numbers. More turf races in California, . Also more Euros shipping to race here.
Males
----
Achilles Heel (T)
Albahr (GB)(T) g1 last Q 23.29
Annapolis (T) 1st g2 8.5f 1.41.04
Armor (T) sprinter
Bayside Boy (T) 1st g2 doncaster
Be Like Clint (AW) off the turf
Ben Diesel
Big Country  front runner dirt
Biz Biz Buzz (T) sprinter
Brit's  Wit  (T)
Bourbon Heist 4th g3
Call Me Midnight
Chancellor Bay RF 4th STK-checked bad
Chaotic Tempo (T) 1st MSW
Chasing Time
Castle Star (IRE) 2nd g1
Classic Causeway-speed sprinter
Commandperformance  2nd g1
Corniche  1st g1
Curbstone (T) 2nd Msw
Dakota Gold (T) 1st stk
Daunt (T) 1st Msw
Degree Of Risk (T)3-g1
Derecho Dandy(T)
Don't Swear Dave (T) sprinter
Dowaiac Chief (T)
Dr Perry
Dream of A Day (T) 1/16 5.73 MSW
Early Voting
Electrostatic (T) 1st MSW    last Q 24.98
Eldons Prince (T)
Epic Luck (T)
Fast Draw Munnings
First Empire g1  4th
Flip The Script (T)
Fromanothamutha
Fort Washington (T)
G Munning elite sprinter
General Ken (T)
Get Back Goldie (T)
Giant Game
Grafton Street (T) 2nd g1
Grael  (T)
Great Britain (T)
Gingrich (T)
Hall Of Dreams (T)  rf 5h
Happy Jack
Heaven Street (T)
He's A Angel (T)rf 5h
Heston 
Howling Time
Ignitus  sprinter
In Dreams    elite sprinter/miler
Jack Christopher
James Aloysius (T)
Judge Davis
Keepcalmcarryon
King Of Hollywood (T)
Kiss The Sky (T)
Kiddie Holiday Aw
Law Abiding (T)
Lemieux  (AW)
Limited Liability 1.42.06-3rd g2
Mackinnon (T) 1st stk
Major General  rf  3L
Make It Big
Martini'nmoonshine (T)
Maseta  (T)
Midnight Worker 3rd s
Misbehaved
Mo Donegal
Modern Games (IRE) (T) 1str 3
Mr Creed
My Mane Champ (T)
Octane  rf   1x
Ohtwoohthirtyfive (T) Q 22.31, 11/27, 2nd central prk.
Overstep
Oviatt Class 3rd g1
Pappacap 2nd g1
Paratus (T)
Parquetry (T)
Pharaoh's Prophecy (T)
Picota (T) 3rd stk
Pinehurst
Play Action Pass (T)
Rattle And Roll
Ready To Purrform (T) 1st STk
Red Run
Resilient Courage (T)
Rich Strike + claimed, won by 17 lengths $30,000
Rockefeller rf 2s
Rocket One (T)
Royal Spirit (T) 2nd stk
Russian Tank (T) 5h
Set The Tone (T)
Shipsational
Shut Up Michael (T)  sprinter
Silver Surfer (T) 2nd stk
Simplification  rf
Sister Lou Ann (T)
SlipStream (T) sprinter g3 1st
Speaking Scout (T)
Spin Wheel (T)  1st dirt 9f msw 11/27
Standup Comedienne
Stolen Base (T)
Street Vendor (T)
Stride (T) 2nd Stk
Sweeping Giant (T) bad trip
Sy Dog (T) 1st central park last 3/8 in 29.14
Tejano Twist Sprinter
The Minkster AW
Tiger To Remember Msw
Timbuktu (T)
Tiz The Bomb  (t) 1st g2
Tommie Bee (T) 8.5 5.42 1/16 MSW
Trademark
Trafalgar
Travel Smart (T)
Trobairitz (T)
Unanimous Consent (T)
Unpredictable
Verbal (T) last Q 24.50 XX 2 RF
Vivar (T)
Western River
Wicket Fast (T) 5.85 1/16  MSW
Xy Time (T)
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