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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 190469 views.
RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

2/2/22

I hear you. I tend to lose nuance when it comes to labor issues, though. Like you said, at one point you could get your hands cut off and get nothing. Labor demanded more, and received workers comp. We got shorter work days and weeks, better pay so out kids didn't have to work. Then salaries didn't keep up, and wives had to go to work, whether they wanted to or not. When that didn't help us keep up, we began to incur large debt.

Now out kids are experiencing some difficult times. At the same time we are not teaching them to how deal with crises. They have these great expectations, while lacking the resources or the mental toughness to deal with great obstacles. I know I am hard on them, but only because I care so much. I hate when I see some of those kids I coached, drop out of our program, because I know that a significant percentage of them will end up in jail or dead. I deal with inner city and poor children quite a bit, and I feel invested in their futures.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

2/2/22

Emmanuel has had everything his way thus far. Being my More Than Ready who is at the latter part of his stud career, I would love nothing better than for him to produce a winner of a TC race. I am afraid of getting too high on this horse, only to be disappointed. He is in pretty good hands, but I need to see him run a little harder having started so late. He will probably have two more starts before a possible Derby start. I hope as he will probably head to the stakes ranks, he is able to get the kind of preparation he will need for that 10f grind.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

2/2/22

Emannuel is playing catchup and that has many positives in my view between now

and May as long as he can stay healthy and no setbacks.

I agree with you ,running 1/16 mile in that race and he used less energy

and we don't have Dr. Romans data measuring energy used and I found that useful

in the preps ,but like you it's in our head and I make notes of it ,my memory isn't like it was.

I know you know others have shown low energy efforts and energy used is important

to gauge in the 9f races as the group matures and at that time its isn't just the ones today

that  use less energy it can be any of them stretching out as they get older and race by race

in April and late March 9f and 9 3/16 f. Battle tested and going in the right direction.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

2/2/22

Oh Winter you are so Woke and its contagious coming from you !

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

2/2/22

This race will be Important to see if Tiz The Bomb belongs on dirt

I haven't seen the entries, this has been reported and I'm excited if these 3 

are part of the field..

Meanwhile, the first Kentucky Derby qualifier of the Gulfstream championship meet is set for Saturday, with Mo Donegal, Giant Game, and Tiz the Bomb the top contenders in the Grade 3, $250,000 Holy Bull. About eight 3-year-olds are expected to enter.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

2/2/22

edit results.  winner In Due time beat Americon Icon by 5 lengths, after that one tired after 6f urlongs, 

Iron Works 3rd.  Graphic Details scratched, probable for Swale Stks 2/5/22.

 In Due time awarded E 100 for the win ,American Icon  90,

2/4/22   Race 9 Gulfstream Park allowance op Claiming $75,000 3 yr old's  8f dirt
Check and see how they do. Or this might be helpful to make a bet.

#3 American Icon 7/5  Saez/ Pletcher is on our Elite List to Stretch out
#1 Graphic Detail  9/2  Castellano / Mott  might be best at this distance and ? for 2 turns

#6 Iron Works  7/2  I Ortiz /Pletcher is scored as a Sprinter type who could win at this distance 8f

edit Graphic Details is cross entered in Race 5 Swale Stakes 7f dirt  6 entrants  on 7/5/22

  • Edited February 5, 2022 3:56 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

2/3/22

12/25/21  top 2022 Kentucky Derby wannabe's listed A thru Z
I have none of the 2 yr old turfers on this list at this time.
That can change if they try the dirt and show promise to be competitive
tail female families are listed first. Update 2/2/22
--
4j Chasing Time
9f Classic Causeway 2nd ken jockey club
3m Commandperformance
1x-Corniche
6e Credit Event
16g Double Thunder rf 1x
 21a  Epicenter
19c Giant Game  rf 2d
4r Gilded Age  rf 2 s
1l Home Brew
1e Jack Christopher
8h Key Point
4c Major General rf 3L
2f Mannix rf 2d
12b Messier
3g Mo Donegal
4m Octane  rf  1x
13 Overstep 
1x- Oviatt Class
2h Pappacap
16g Pinehurst
17b Rattle N Roll
10a Rockefeller rf  2s
4m Slow Down Andy
6d Smile Happy 1st Ken. Jock. Club
42  Strava
1n Zatip 
------------------------------
Waiting in the Wings
-
12b Affable Monarch
16h American Icon
4r A P's Secrets
6a All In Sync
A4 Armagnac
15d Blackadder
3i  Bourbon Heist
22c Cajuns Magic
1x California Frolic
14f Call Me Midnight
22c Charge It
9c Constitutionlawyer
22cCourvoisier  rf- Belmont list
8h Cyber Knive
21a Deans List
12b Doppelganger
4m Emmanuel rf
 21a Epicenter
1L  Figlio Del Re
6e Franklin One Star
21a Freelancer rf 2s
 7f God Of Love (AW)
...[Message truncated]
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  • Edited February 4, 2022 2:04 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

2/3/22

Elite Projected 3 Year olds for 2022.> updated 1/24/22  page 1 from post 459 update 2/2/22
-----------------------------------------------
name, distance, stam. Chefs,Prince.,LaTroienne, L. Heart, (top Families)  Trainer, Tff, Reines Mares

Corniche yes,2 stam,,P,L, 0 LH,(10 1x, 12-13c,6 16c,4 9c,)   x      Bob Baffert 1x, 12r
Jack Christopher yes 0 stam,P,L,1 LH,(6 1x,5 1e,4 9b,4 16a,9b,) x Chad Brown 1e,8r
Smile Happy yes 5 stam,L,3 LH, ( 10 1x,6 6d,5 4k,4 3o, rf) x    Ken McPeek 6d,11r

Emmanuel yes,1 stam,P,L,1 LH, (10 1x,6 4m,5 2d,4 16h,4 16g,)      x Pletcher 4m,16r 

Giant Game yes 1 stam L,1 Lh,(11 1x,7 12c,6 19c,5 8c,4 2d,) rf x Dale Romans19c,11r
Octane yes,1 stam, P,L,4 LH,(6 1x,6 4m, 6 8f,5 13c,4 9f,) rf        Carlos David 4m,18r
...[Message truncated]
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  • Edited February 3, 2022 2:23 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

2/3/22

projected elite 3 yr olds for 2022 page 2, 1/26/22, update 2/2/22 From message 460, edit White Abarrio was left off by mistake
 
Newgrange ? 2 stam, L, 1 Lh,(6 2o,5 13c,5 9b,5 1g,4 6d,4 8h) Bob Baffert 2o, 7r
Tang yes 3 stam P, L, 6 LH,( 9 13c,8 4m,6 1s,4 3l,) 2 rf     Chris Clement 1s,12r
Armagnac yes,3 stam,P,L,5 LH, (15 13c,6 a4,4 3l)
Bob Baffert              a4,14r
...[Message truncated]
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  • Edited February 23, 2022 2:40 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

2/3/22

2/5/22 Aqueduct race 8 Withers 9f
--
2 in This race on our elite 2 turns list #1 Constitutionlawyer**, #3 Smarten Up a closer
1 on the Wannabe list #4 Gilded Age , 1 on our early 2 yr old list in Oct. #9 Early Voting  3-1
1 on our waiting in the Wings #5 Courvoisier 5-2-2-1, 4 routes, on Belmont list rf with Tapits tff 3o
won Jerome in last after 4 mdn races ,bred for 12f & 4 yr old season Dangerous on the improve EP8 type
**Moving up in class from Mdn 80
My picks, in order 1 Constitutionlawyer 7-2, 2 5 Courvoisier 9-2, 3 4 Gilded Age 10-1, 4 3 Smarten Up 10-1
Early Voting  3-1, leaving off my ticket, only one race in December.MDN 80
--
2/5/22 aqueduct race 8 withers stks g3 9f  10-4-2-1 derby points
 
r
1x EP 4Constitutionlawyer (KY) 7-2 3/C E 91 9f mud J Lezcano 118 R Handal
2 EP 6  Grantham (KY)  10-1 3/C E87 8.5f
...[Message truncated]
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  • Edited February 5, 2022 12:54 pm  by  smartyslew
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