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Kentucky Derby 2022 DogsUp Diary   Triple Crown

Started 12/2/21 by DogsUp; 44514 views.
TexSquared

From: TexSquared

Apr-19

By coming out and saying he's going to bet a lot on the favorite (which will lower its odds) that means everybody will try to beat the favorite..  So if the favorite wins, he gets a bigger payout than he would if he just kept his mouth shut...

Could also be a dutch strategy -- he's betting on both the favorite and Smile Happy and if either hits he wins huge

ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

Apr-20

Yeah....I wanted the cats to win also!

ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

Apr-20

Dogs....off topic, just read Midnight Bourbon passed away in his barn at Churchill Downs from some sort of gastrointestinal illness at age 4.

Sad news to say the least. I always seemed to use him in exotic bets.

What no one wants to hear before the derby!

twoshots

From: twoshots

Apr-20

If he bet futures on Smile Happy, it doesn’t seem to have affected the pool much. SH dropped from 8-1 to 6-1 in the 3rd pool, but nothing dramatic that I can see.

TexSquared

From: TexSquared

Apr-20

I'm thinking that $3 million (assuming he isn't lying) was spread across the future pool as well as several bookmakers both onshore and offshore. 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Apr-20

In a interview he said he makes all of his bets locally that helps his local customers

and the local economy, no way does he bet in Nevada . I have no clue who that is thru

Somewhere in Texas.

DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

Apr-20

Warrior athlete equine. 

I supported Steve when he went through that draconian undercover PTEA sham.

Tbreed racing is a zero some game for some horses 

Still waiting for Spring weather in Upstate NY. And rain Derby week (d)

In reply toRe: msg 201
DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

Apr-20

I believe Tex  has got it squared right. 

Mattress Mogul with that much cash to bet would Dutch the bets. 

SEE: Dutch calculator. Below 

It is advisable to Dutch a significant horizontal bet in the last leg 

https://www.aceodds.com/bet-calculator/dutching.html

ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

Apr-20

Early derby f'cast....rain?

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