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ChiefsCrown said...As of right now....i have 8 for usage in my verticals or 40% of the field. Going to whittle it down to 4 in the next 2 weeks for a decent size super/box.
Not every horse in your 8 is a win contender. Boxing assume they are.
8 sounds good to me if you are distributing them correctly into tiers. 6 or 8 is a good number of horses for the superfecta, IMHO.
Oldbettowin said...I love Early Voting but it looks like they might wait for the Preakness.
Plenty of derbies and stakes races where he could do very well, not just the Preakness.
I’d still like to see him in the derby lol. He’s not my top choice but he has Buckpasser not only in a passing position but he’s in his tail female. He’s #5 on my list of most likely to carry the large heart gene. Funny enough, another one you mention is 2nd on my list, Un Ojo. A couple that don’t look good there, at least not for the win imo are Crown Pride and Epicenter.
I'm inclined to toss Mo Donegal from the Win spot, looking for value
1) He has repeatedly had trouble getting out of the gate cleanly: "step slow st; off step slow; bumped break; slow break". That won't help in a 20 horse field
2) ridden by Irad, he will be overbet to Win.
Right now i have whittled down to 6 E/P type runners and 2 S types. With only 1 E type signed on (Early Voting) hoping the list of E/P's stick around down the stretch w/1 of my 2 picking up a piece ITM.
"Analysis paralyisis" at its finest!!!
Raced 4 times since late December with 3 of those 1 1/16 or longer so good foundation. Improving figures with every race. Broke through the starting gate and ran on but reloaded and still ran 3rd in la derby. Fairgrounds has produced some good longshots in the past and if you like ZoZos don’t you have to like Pioneer? Could be this years Bluegrass Cat. How did I do? Need more? :) North
So far it's Summer Is Tomorrow. Too much sprinter/miler pedigree. I know he ran well in the UAE Derby, but that was against a questionable field.
A possibility for clunking up the exotics though.
You are right with improving figures. I had to watch his "worst" race (finishing 4th in the Risen Star). Sure, he was beaten by monster Epicenter, but it was a crowded 2-3-4 finish next to two other deep closers in a race that had an upbeat pace. I'm wondering if he would have more in the tank if he ran 2nd flight, but then again he is not shown to have that extra gear. He seems to be more of a front-end grinder.