I'm inclined to toss Mo Donegal from the Win spot, looking for value

1) He has repeatedly had trouble getting out of the gate cleanly: "step slow st; off step slow; bumped break; slow break". That won't help in a 20 horse field

2) ridden by Irad, he will be overbet to Win.

Right now i have whittled down to 6 E/P type runners and 2 S types. With only 1 E type signed on (Early Voting) hoping the list of E/P's stick around down the stretch w/1 of my 2 picking up a piece ITM.

"Analysis paralyisis" at its finest!!!

Raced 4 times since late December with 3 of those 1 1/16 or longer so good foundation. Improving figures with every race. Broke through the starting gate and ran on but reloaded and still ran 3rd in la derby. Fairgrounds has produced some good longshots in the past and if you like ZoZos don’t you have to like Pioneer? Could be this years Bluegrass Cat. How did I do? Need more? :) North

So far it's Summer Is Tomorrow. Too much sprinter/miler pedigree. I know he ran well in the UAE Derby, but that was against a questionable field.

A possibility for clunking up the exotics though.

You are right with improving figures. I had to watch his "worst" race (finishing 4th in the Risen Star). Sure, he was beaten by monster Epicenter, but it was a crowded 2-3-4 finish next to two other deep closers in a race that had an upbeat pace. I'm wondering if he would have more in the tank if he ran 2nd flight, but then again he is not shown to have that extra gear. He seems to be more of a front-end grinder.

If the Bris pp's are correct Summer ran 5 2/10 slower than Epicenter at the same distance. Definate throw out!! I think he ends up near the rear of the pack possibly last place...just sayin'

I don’t really care for his breeding any more than Raes but if the front end is holding up derby day and he gets on the right lead in the stretch I could see him hanging on for a piece.  It’s possible anyway lol.

As of right now, I am only considering two for the W spot depending on works, post and field.  So 18 others is too many to go over.

Oldbettowin said...

I love Early Voting but it looks like they might wait for the Preakness.  If they could get him to slow down just a little….

The fact that they've been so-so about him running made me lose a bit of faith.  I really don't know what to think now.