I’ve got them somewhere, I’ll see if I can find them.

I went back to 2011-2021 (excluded 2020). I excluded horses that ran the same Brisnet figure at 8.5f and 9f, so maybe a little different.

This angle tosses three winners (I'll Have Another, Orb, and Nyquist) and Hot Rod Charlie.

Three O'Neills and a pace meltdown. Pretty solid angle, still.

Going Down like Everything else. Thanks

Best rpr:

121 Taiba

116 Epicenter

116 White Abarrio

116 Zandon

115 Messier

115 Mo Donegal

114 Morello

113 Early Voting

113 Charge It

112 Crown Pride

111 Smile Happy

111 Simplification 

111 Zozos

110 Tiz the Bomb

108 Cyberknife

107 Classic Causeway

107 Pioneer of Medina

106 Summer Is Tomorrow

104 In Due Time

103 Ethereal Road

103 Un Ojo 

102 Tawny Port

102 Barber Road

94 Happy Jack

Thank you!

I do that and the current year and always look for pretenders whose best numbers are 8f or less

now I look for their best Numbers are with Lasix and how many races are with L and the last few years

L every other race until they win 2 in a row first with L and second race without L .. Like ,Cyberknife this year for example
did that pattern help him win that race without L. Makes me wonder. Whose going to bet him without Lasix carrying 126

at 10f. It looked like he was using Lasix in that last work like his good races with lasix to me. Plenty of time for it to wear off.

see what he looks like next  work. The last work except for the speed didn't look good  to me with that work mate.

what was the purpose.

If this holds, then this year's elimination would include:

White Abarrio

Cyberknife

Simplification

Barber Road

Un Ojo

Charge It

Ethereal Road

Rattle N Roll

Maybe this angle doesn't pick winners, but it might help whittle down the field for exotics.

I actually think it is a decent list. Just remove the one or 2 you like and knocks out 5. Cyberknife talk, and charge it GREEN clears those 2 from list.

Yes for win, but in a Tri there's about 3.5 colts in that mix that could land for a piece. 

The play is to spend enough for a mother load Tri. but if pays Derby Tri $300 for $2. Tri you get your money back + $9.

Tabia could run like last year's Santa Anita winner then no board hit in the Derby.  Colt beat 5 runner field in Santa Anita and no compression. 

Winner history...

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Santa_Anita_Derby

Very helpful, thanks......now, to predict the best number going forward, and why.  I like Smile Happy to run his best number, mostly due to his progression.  But I am also curious about the Japanese horse, though the training methods are certainly different.....4 works the last 12 days, and the most recent one quite fast initially.

I'm also thinking Zandon progresses, and maybe Mo

See post 96 here. Regarding UAE Derby winner. Also in the Kentucky Derby official site read all