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Belmont Posts   General Discussions

Started 6/7/22 by pianot; 7251 views.
sovereign1

From: sovereign1

6/7/22

It should work now. You just need to find the race.

pianot

From: pianot

6/7/22

Good but I got the info. thanks

DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

6/7/22

Said Steve...DogsUpWired said:

The soil at the Big Sandy is not as Churchie D's.

Even I knew that Dogs.

Yes; and so does the connections and the colt's hooves that they have 2 wins only at Churchie D.

DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

6/7/22

The Derby winner took a long time to move up to the exercise pony for /to meet company. And trainer said that Rich Strike would likely go back to his stall and sleep. That he's tired.

No shadow roll on pony as used to running in AM when the sun is low in the East in Elmont,NY.

pianot

From: pianot

6/7/22

Yeah think I saw that in the seabiscuit movie.

GioPonti

From: GioPonti

6/7/22

Guess they forgot to tell in this Bloodhorse aricle:

"Steve Miller Carrying On the Legacy of Dosage"

From Dec-2019.

It says three were added in 2016, including Galileo, with another six in Oct-2019 ...

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/7/22

The Shadow Roll  means the Pony is live for a frisky horse and he has been wearing one 

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/8/22

DogsUpWired said...

No shadow roll on pony as used to running in AM when the sun is low in the East in Elmont,NY.

Every photo I've seeen of the pony "Stormy" show a shadow roll.  Including one an owner at Belmont sent me. 

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/8/22

PISTOL9 said...

Anyone who is looking at dosage today does not understand it.   The most recent prolific sire, Tapit, born in 2001, is not rated.   They stopped doing the ratings so no new ones will be identified.   Until that happens, it is a waste of time to look at it or consider it

Only the anti dosage people think that.  And I know you are not anti dosage.   And you are right that many will not understnad it.  But all theories of matings are hypothetical anyway.  If you follow True Nicks or even ANZ Bloodstock (who is still doing the dosage for horses in aust, asia etc.)  and steve miller is doing the N. A. ones.    The point of any breeding system will always be hypothetical, UNTIL horses prove they run to their breeding on the track.   (and they often do)

Conversely, I imagine that is why anyone who even uses even uses the word "dosage" or "cmp" would be someone who knows their way around a pedigree chart, and already understands the numbers in the sire dosage (as well as the mare cmp/profile, put forth by Bill Lathrop in Modern Conduit Mares.)   They know how they are what they are.    

But, really, anyone who doesn't bother to try to figure out any system by asking "What happened to make that figure what it is?", whether that be BSF, dosage, Thoro-graph, etc.   is someone who isn't going to look past being spoon-fed a bunch of numbers.   Don't you think?  We all know people who use BSF as pretty much their sole capping method and those who will assume tapits alway win long races or those who only look at PPs and therefore only see the same data everyone else sees (trainer stats, etc.)  .  ANY system is going to be followed incorrectly by low effort types, who never really beat this game anyway, because you have to use a LOT of factors, 

As Randy Moss pointed out, sometimes it's a case of "Beyer Beware" and since OP is my home track, I remember following this saga: 

https://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2008/apr/11/looking-figures-20080411/

But Moss didn't toss the beyer system out on it's ear, ----  calling it a waste of time ---- it's not for those who are willing to do DD (due dilligence) 

Most laughable was Andy Beyer gave Blame/Zenyatta a 111 in the Classic;  in his world, you realize that makes them sort of like chopped liver compared to his figures for other Classic winners before them.   Beyer was very intent on putting Zenyatta's talents into what he called "proper perspective. "    ROTFL   Yet, many of us know that Zenyatta wasn't chopped liver, and either was Blame,  and will laugh at him forever about this.  

?
This is why many people compute their own speed figures, and many people who know their way around a pedigree chart can fill in the blanks when it comes to horses who are not yet chefs, for instance

All the DRF people laughed at mariana hawn's idea about large heart / x factor.  I read a now deleted or gone perspective from one of her "coworkers" there basically calling her a  nutcase in so many words.   Some groups of people are sort of threatened by new theories that might throw them off the top of the pyramid or something. 

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