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Belmont Posts   General Discussions

Started 6/7/22 by pianot; 7529 views.
In reply toRe: msg 76
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/10/22

Looks like sonny's agent couldn't drum up more than 2 rides for him, other than his derby mount.  1 mount on Fri in a maiden on turf @1-1/16th.  And 1 mount at 6F on Sat at 6F.   Both compliments of Oscar Barrera.   Not suprised, knowing the colonies in NY. 

SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

6/10/22

There are three horses I would enjoy seeing hit the wire first.  Rich Strike, Barber Road and Nest.

In fact, I may make one play.  5 dollar exacta box of those 3.  Just to have a little action. 

pianot

From: pianot

6/10/22

Hope u knock it dead!

PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

6/10/22

Early betting looking like the Preakness, no real big bombs.  WTP 8-1 Nest 4-1 Mo 2-1.  First two I have planned to use to be ITM  16-1 is highest odds,  I'll put some bets down but not as much if odds are spread out like the Preakness which caused me to back off there as well.

In reply toRe: msg 79
cubs.fan

From: cubs.fan

6/11/22

No interest in We the People anywhere near the 2-1 ML, so I guess I'm going back to Skippy for the win with the hope that Franco puts him no worse than third early and he grinds his way to the wire first.

PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

6/11/22

If WtP stays up mid single digits(8-1 last night), I will include him on more tickets. Kinda like EV at Pimlico who floated up.  Race pace seems to always go opposite what I think.  KD way faster PRK way slower.  So this one will probably be way too fast if it goes against my expectations

I really liked Skippy in his last two, but not here.  Going into the first turn at Pimlico, the jock had option to go inside or real wide and choose real wide which I thought was a mistake.  It does not matter here as none will be too wide.  He does have a lot of 10-a but I still think he is weaker overall for 12f.  Both he and MoD have quite a bit of ff3 which I always like, but am going against here.  7&3 are my top pedigrees but both those have some weaknesses as well.  

Looks like I am going against most of the top chalk but tough not to have chalky horses in the races with small fields  P5

5-4-2-2-7,1,3

sovereign1

From: sovereign1

6/11/22

Where are you getting the live odds?

twoshots

From: twoshots

6/11/22

Mo Donegal has also been lasix-free for all of his races, according to the PPs.

sovereign1

From: sovereign1

6/11/22

Barber Road, Rich Strike and Nest as well. A nice lasix-free ex and tri box.

In reply toRe: msg 85
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/11/22

My write ups on Creative Minister and Golden Glider stand and hope they help somebody rather than hinder. 
http://forums.delphiforums.com/horse_racing/messages/?msg=2014.37 
http://forums.delphiforums.com/horse_racing/messages/?msg=1935.24

 I also like Nest and Rich Strike (not really sure about Rich Strike yet.  My main concern is Sonny's ability to ride at Belmont against NY riders who know that track well, no reflection on horse himself)

(5,3,7,4) ex or tri box


GG is based on my penchant for canadian blacktype. Just can't discount Ghostzapper and Baby Zip (2005 Kentucky Broodmare of the Year and a Reine-de-Course), 3rd dam Passing Moon who produced Touch Gold and Canadian TC winner With Approval).    Plus he's been at been at BEL the longest, is acclimated,  and Casse has won this race.  Seems like a good basis for a longshot bomber.

(After I watch the post parade, I may swap out Rich Strike for Mo Don or Barber Road if I see anything untoward, but not sure either has the correct breeding for this)

WeThePeople will be absent from my exactas and trifectas. No surprise there. 

Best other longshots of the Day: 
R6:    Morello
R8:   I really like Change of Control.   Other longshots:  Gear Jockey, Filo Di Ariana 
R10:  Tokyo Gold  30-1

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