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American Derby and Dwyer Stakes 7/2/2022 Handicapping
From: Wintertrian
Jul-2
American Derby
Churchill Downs STAKES Race 7
Purse $200,000. (Includes $25,000 – KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). For Three Years Olds. One And One Sixteenth Miles.
| P# | PP | Horse  |
Virtual Stable |
A/S | Med | Jockey | Wgt | Trainer | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
1
|
Fowler Blue (CA) |
3/G
|
S Leon |
118
|
D F O'Neill | 15/1 | ||
|
2
|
From: Wintertrian
Jul-2
Am interested to see how longshot Kitodan does in this race. He can run on synth, turf, and dirt but not sure about dirt at "this" distance. I do love omni-surface horses, though, like Einstein, they are often just a cut above.
Kuchar (uncle mo) if he remains in condition is a pretty formidable colt, IMHO. Doesn't give in easily. Watched him a few times at Oaklawn. Also like Red Run (Gun Runner) but doesnt seem to be performing up to his breeding. McLauren Vale and Rattle n Roll will take the $$. Rattle n' Roll might win this.
Like the chalk, Charge It, in the Dwyer.
Got a stable notification on Graham Motion's Zatip for July 1, thought he was a total shoe -in for the win at 7F, (Laurel R8) noting his after-burners in the stretch in his previous 7F maiden at Keenland. Unfortunately I missed the race and missed playing him. .
- Edited July 2, 2022 5:01 am by Wintertrian
From: pianot
Jul-2
I might try Double Clutch in the American. Turf to dirt angle.
Just scratched. Oh well.
- Edited July 2, 2022 11:39 am by pianot
From: RAESFAN
Jul-2
I like Charge It, but considering the fact that the second place finisher probably covered the mile in close to 1:40, I will temper my excitement over his Dwyer performance. He was really good, but 23 lengths? Who was in that race?
From: smartyslew
Jul-2
Wow, Look at the Rockin Chair Jockeys in this race and the name of the Horses, If I remember, later to see
how this field does in future races if they ever race again. At 7 Furlongs his lead was 10 lengths , It doesn't seem right.
| # | Horse | A/S | M/E | Wgt | PP | St | 1/4 | 1/2 | 3/4 | Str | Fin | Jockey | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charge It | 3 C | 118 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 13 | 110 | 123 | Velazquez John R. | *0.60 | |
| 5 | Runninsonofagun | 3 G | 119 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 41 | 31 1/2 | 2hd | 22 1/4 | Carmouche Kendrick | 15.80 | |
| 3 | Fluid Situation | 3 C | 118 | 3 | 2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 21/2 | 32 1/2 | 3no | Castellano Javier | 8.80 | |
| 4 | Unbridled Bomber | 3 C | f | 118 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 53 1/2 | 512 | 41 1/4 | Ortiz Jose L. | 17.20 |
| 2 | No Sabe Nada | 3 G | 122 | 2 | 3 | 41/2 | 31/2 | 48 | 44 1/2 | 530 1/4 | Alvarado, Jr. Roberto | 42.25 | |
| 6 | Nabokov | 3 C | 118 | 6 | 1 |
From: smartyslew
Jul-3
Rewatched it, JV misjudged the finish line standing up Early LOL.
enjoyed the splits and the action and Rhythm of Charge It, Nice work out.
The others in the Race didn't deserve their p-urse.
From: Gerh
Jul-3
The last two times Kitodan ran I used him in exactas and didn’t have the second place horse.Yesterday I played him WPS and he finished 4th
From: smartyslew
Jul-3
That's a Wow looking at the race as a workout from many, A hand ride with smooth Action,
JV stood up early before the wire, 2nd place Horse Stumbled at the Start, Charge It wins by 23 lengths,
I wonder what number the Race Guru's gave the 2nd place Horse.