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Belmont Stks DogsUp Delta Details   Triple Crown

Started 5/21/18 by DogsUpBigE; 7816 views.
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

5/23/18

DogsUpBigE said...

As did Assmussen, for less experienced jockey Santana with NYRA leading jock Irad Ortiz Jr aboard Creator 2016; with win at the very wire. By a credit card.

I would not underestimate Santana.  He is really really good. 

4 races ITM at Pimlico on Friday, 2 were wins; 
5 races ITM at Pimlico on Preakness day, 3 were wins.  

Your guy Castellano:  1 win, 2 place, 1 show. 

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

5/23/18

SameSteve G said...

Enticed = Price horse.

Well you guys know I like Enticed.  I would be thrilled if he runs.....head held high!

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

5/23/18

Ree~Card-oh is my favorite at large rider in the US.. He once brought in a substantial ticket riding the front and back ends of a pick 3, both mile grass with Song Bird cold in the middle of the sandwich. Dogs @ Saratoga. I noted recently he still gets angry about race outcomes and his riding ..but in front of the trainer. 

The guy is a real gentleman.

Preakness day I did not overlook him, yes. The biggest pay off through the Preakness was 7.80.

Still maintain that I will not Overanalyze long ball distances where senior seasoned money riders get there first.  

As always (d)

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

5/23/18

Castellano is arguably one of the best jocks to ride a horse as to what he knows it can do and what he can do with a runner as a race unfolds. Knows the potential strategy and running style of opponent runners and jockeys. All the big gun jocks know how to ride a horse. 

JJ knows when to ride a horse.

My best to you. (d)

In reply toRe: msg 24
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

5/23/18

And in case nobody has heard, My Boy Jack is not running in the Belmont Stakes.  He's going to turf in the Grade 1 Belmont Derby in July. 

"The Wynn Las Vegas' latest 
Belmont Stakes odds listed My Boy Jack as an 8-1 co-third choice."  

Really?   8-1 co-3rd choice?   sheesh.  Thank god for parimutuel betting, wished he had stayed in and taken a lot of $$

 

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

5/23/18

Was just sayin' Santana was riding against all those big money riders and he got ITM more than they did on Preakness Day.

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

5/23/18

I read that defection coming and it really is a disappointment and as they say: Not in a good way.

He would have been way over bet and as I mentioned above here had little chances of success with the predictable fractions on a dry track.  

cubs.fan

From: cubs.fan

5/23/18

Yeah, seriously. At this point, I just hope we get a close to full field. We might need to turn to the Turn-Tos for value in the Belmont.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

5/24/18

Enticed is a horse I didn't like for the Derby. I commented at the time that he doesn't seem to like being in close quarters. I saw that in a couple of his losses. However, in a small field, on a track with those sweeping turns, he could be very effective. He is probably the biggest of the horses that ran in the Derby, even taller than Justify. Some of the biggest blowout wins were accomplished by large horses like Secretariat, Risen Star, Easy Goer, and Point Given to name a few off the top of my head.

SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

5/24/18

I doubt Enticed can win but I do think he's live for a piece of the action unless, of course, what I thought at the end of The Wood comes to pass & the distance will be his undoing.  I'm leaning towards using him at this stage.

I made a mistake when Tonalist won by short-changing him out of the Peter Pan & I don't want to do that again with Blended Citizen.  I'm leaving him in the mix even though my visual impression was that he didn't look like he wanted 3 more furlongs when he won the PP.

Smarty's breakdown has influenced me to keep him in at this stage.

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