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belmont stakes contenders updated conduit   Triple Crown

Started 5/22/18 by smartyslew; 5405 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/8/18

i didn't do the cmp stamina number again this year. 

some would add that number to the horses cd number and divide by 2 or use the number of that total.

i have in the past and i know you have seen it before add the cmp index number and the cd together for distance.

and divide by 2 . average below 1.00 was good. today with these numbers maybe a little higher.

toss the highest number for the win.

the stamina formula number had a average of .79 for derby winners.

i can't remember the belmont number .

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/8/18

using the dosage points or looking for classicity for 0-0 stamina pts is different.

use the cd and cmp index number together it is better than the cmp and dosage together 

i found out the hard way with research.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/8/18

free drop billy BS   cmp 10-4-0-10-5 speed 14 stamina 15 index 1.20

his b is a 10 and his p is 5 with that 14/15 looks like balance the formula for the index is real high because of his B
that alone is a high index for the belmont winner. Check the BICSP for the break down.

restoring hope B  cmp 10-5-0-6-5  speed 15 stamina 11 index 1.56

1.56 index i think would be a new record both of these with the 0  in the middle (C) are mostly sprinters

justify B is higher than his p but hes a front runner and has carried his speed 10f

and is the only one in the field with a winning cmp conduit for the belmont. 

had to stop , i  erased justify by accident and couldn't remember it. J

ustify      cmp       10-3-4-6-7 speed 13   stamina 13   index 1.13,  triads 17-13-17   ( that is positive) very balanced

Msg 991.41 deleted
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/9/18

i think i said  1.56 index i think would be a new record both of these with the 0  in the middle (C) are mostly sprinter

i thought i sent you the bc sprint data back in the day when we were doing the bc races and that was long time ago.

you said as I don't see how that, plus his DI = 1.74 CD = 0.42  indicates a sprinter?  i never said anything like that,

did you get the email i sent you about free drop billy.

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/9/18

yes, i got it, I deleted my post here so never mind.  And thank you.   :)

I need to learn more about reading profiles.  

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/9/18

luv you to!!!
Good luck today

In reply toRe: msg 1
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/9/18

added the cmp furlong distance for each horse
from Bill Lathrops formula
--
Justify      cmp       10-3-4-6-7 speed 13   stamina 13   index 1.13,  triads 17-13-17   ( that is positive)
1h noontime  conduit winner yes  furlong distance 11.5 

hofburg  IS  cmp      12-4-1-5-10 speed 16  stamina15  index   1.12 triads 17-10-16  (high in the wings B & P) balance  2d dazzling no=derby winners yes,  furlong 11.5
----

bravazo C  cmp     6-3-4-6-6  speed 9  stamina  12  index .86  triads  13-13-16
A 10 no   furlong  12.6
_-

tenfold I   cmp   7-5-2-5-6  speed 12 stamina 11  index 1.11  triads 14-12-13
3n no , family yes furlong 11.6
_

Blended citizen BC  cmp  8-6-3-7-7 speed 14 stamina 14  index 1.04  triads 17-16-17 ( balance & positive) 9e no, family yes   furlong  11.83
-

vino rosso  C cmp 5-2-5-7-6  speed 7  stamina 13 index .71 triads 12-14-18
-2f  no  furlong 13.4

free drop billy BS   cmp 10-4-0-10-5 speed 14 stamina 15 index 1.20  triads 14-14-15
4m no family yes  furlong 11.3
-

gronkowski  P   cmp 7-3--0-3-11  speed 10 stamina 14 index  .68  triads 10-6-14
9f  no, family yes  furlong 13.66
-
restoring hope B  cmp 10-5-0-6-5  speed 15 stamina 11 index 1.56 triads 15-11--11
11 no family yes  furlong 10.27
-
noble indy  cmp 9-3-4-4-6 speed 12 stamina  10 index 1.25 triads 16-11-14
1L no, family yes  furlong 11.04
--
In reply toRe: msg 45
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/16/18

message 45 I added the cmp furlong distancefor each horse from the cmp guru's formula
gronkowski and vino rosso had the 2 furthest distances. (top 4 , 11.5 furlongs or better)

gronkowski  P   cmp 7-3--0-3-11  speed 10 stamina 14 index  .68  triads 10-6-14
9f  no, family yes  furlong 13.66  2nd place
--
vino rosso  C cmp 5-2-5-7-6  speed 7  stamina 13 index .71 triads 12-14-18
-2f  no  furlong 13.4  4th place
--
Justify      cmp       10-3-4-6-7 speed 13   stamina 13   index 1.13,  triads 17-13-17   ( that is positive)
1h noontime  conduit winner yes  furlong distance 11.5   WINNER
____
hofburg  IS  cmp      12-4-1-5-10 speed 16  stamina15  index   1.12 triads 17-10-16  (high in the wings B & P) balance  2d dazzling no=derby winners yes,  furlong 11.5   3RD
----
In reply toRe: msg 19
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/16/18

from message 19 top 4 for stamina number
--
justify  13, gronkowski 14,hofburg 15, vino rosso 13, 
---

 top 4 conduit classification
-

justify CS, Gronkowski P, Hofburg IS, Vino rosso C
--

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