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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 114936 views.
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

9/18/21

So I'm watching Eclipse Award winner Classic Empire's babies this year.  Figured I'd pick a few sires to follow. He did his best racing in KY, so why not.... those soft eyes really get to me.  Not a derby list per se, just want something to root for.....not sure if CA has stamina problems but have to look at all the dams. 
Filly race today R4 Arlington, Harty's Wonderstruck was the favorite  (BMS is Shamardal, 2004 Cartier Champion 2-year old in Europe). I liked Sport Pepper (Classic Empire) (BMS First Samarai won G1 Champagne and Hopeful).    Sport Pepper won.  Dam is Le Mi Geaux,  inbred to Mr P's son, Fappiano (like Justin Phillip) but Rick Dutrow didn't do her justice.    I've had very good luck with the Samarai's but they seem to do better as they age.   

So following:

--Classic Moment (unraced; dam side victory party/leslies lady/tricky creek.....wonder what they will do w/this one)
--Beautiful Empire (unraced F; Oxley owner of Monarchos has good eye for horseflesh) putting in works; Colonel John) 
--Fragrant - Unraced; Graham Motion is training her at FH; gorgeous name for a gorgeous horse
--Classic Legend - unraced, Casse working at WO.  Long legs (BMS is Cherokee Run but this one does not look like a sprinter to me).
--First Empire  3-2-0-0
--Old Town Road 2-2-0-0 (Ward;  looks very powerful! (won maiden at same track as Classic Empire did). 
--Classical Romance 3-0-1-1
--Interstatedaydream 2-1-1-0
--Twenty Four Mamba 5-1-1-0
--Otomon Empire 3-1-0-0
--Ava K's Boy 2-1-0-1
--Classy Edition 1-1-0-0 (filly loves slop)(Pletcher trains, Lows owned.  Expensive)
--Mariah's Fortune 3-0-1-2
--Queen's Up 2-1-1-0
--Azamana Empire 
--Sport Pepper
--Mr Mac Quhae
--Classic Lynne
--Fishers - no idea what happened to this one that Chad Brown raced 1x

 

 

 

princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

9/18/21

Hidden Connection looked good winning the Pocahontas, but for the life of me, I could not understand the jock continuing to whip mid-stretch with such a large lead....

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/18/21

I hate it when they do that !

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/19/21

Results for Message 209 Iroquois Stks  we Had 5 entrants entered from our list
#8 Major General was First, 2nd not on our list was #1 Tough To Tame;by a neck
Drifted in the stretch cost 1st place, the next 4 was the rest of our list 3 3/4 lengths
separated  the first 6; 3rd #7 Red Knobs, 4th #11 Bourbon Heist, 5th #6 Stellar Tap
6th Guntown.   Pretty tight group, any of them could step up next time
Red Knobs and Bourbon Heist were coming  fast and hard. Note That when they stretch out
Good DD to do that. 

http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/instant.cgi?date=2021-09-18&track=CD&country=USA&race=9&type=inc&print=on

  • Edited September 19, 2021 12:16 am  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/19/21

Results for Message 210: Pocahontas Stks, 3 on our list are entered, 9-6-2, 
# 9 Hidden Connection ran away with the race won by 9 1/4 lengths, #3 Mama Rina big odds
was 2nd, Goddess Of Fire #2 was 3rd and on our list... http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/instant.cgi?date=2021-09-18&track=CD&country=USA&race=8&type=inc&print=on

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/19/21

Results for Message 211
Race 5 Gulfstream Armed Forces Stks : 4 on our list raced won by #4 Eldons Prince ,
2nd was No Nay Franklin, both are on our list, # 10 Credibility finished 4th, 
 The last one on our list #6 Eternal Rest bumped at 3/8 and retreated.
https://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/GP091821USA5.pdf
----
race 8 Los Alamitos: Baffert Took 1st and 2nd after 2 more scratches
1st 4 2nd 3, Rhetoric -scratched
---
Race 5 Churchill : The one on our list #9 Great Escape won the race

https://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/CD091821USA5.pdf

--

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/19/21

Woodbine 9/19/21
This is a Wide open Race and lets see If the Locals can beat #5 Wild Beauty Tracks leaders, Best bet could be
#2 Pizza Bianca Only entry with a Route and won closing and his speed number 87 Is a Route
Top 2 speed numbers Eminent Victor 89, 5f, Diabolic 88, 6.5 f, 
Top 2 IMO 5-2 for this race :
#5 big fitness advantage 9-3 could be on the lead, never raced beyond 7f. Long Shot #1 Ready Lady 10-1 . 7f in last.
5 and 1 should be tracking , 2 closing a good turn of foot, 
----
Race 8: 6 on our 2 yr old list :1-2-3-6-7-9 and #5 is from Europe 5-2 M/L
STAKES. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $400,000. Natalma S. (Grade 1). FOR TWO-YEAR-OLD FILLIES. (05:06 PM) (10)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Ready Lady  P6 2 F 121 Wilson Emma-Jayne Attfield Roger L.  10-1
2 Pizza Bianca  S 2 F 121 Rosario Joel Clement Christophe 4-1
3 Guileful  E5 2 F 121 Husbands Simon P. Squires Nathan  15-1
4 Royal Engagement ++ EP8 2 F 121 Hernandez Colby J. Hamm Timothy E.  8-1
5 Wild Beauty (GB)Tracks Leaders 2 F 121 Dettori Lanfranco Appleby Charles  5-2
6 Baksheesh  S3 2 F 121 Kimura Kazushi Casse Mark E.  20-1
7 Diabolic (IRE)  P6 2 F 121 Gallardo Antonio A. Casse Mark E.  3-1
8 Mrs. Barbara  ++EP 5 2 F 121 Hernandez Rafael Manuel
...[Message truncated]
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  • Edited September 19, 2021 3:27 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/19/21

4 Albahr (GB)( Front runner speed) 7-5  from GB and  #8 First Empire 5-2,  These 2 favorites are the speed in the race
Albahr won Last at 8f turf  Irish Championship ,First Empire 6.5 f, # 3 Grafton Street  10-1 huge favorite in last
off the turf and didn't handle it, 
 I'm Setting the table in these 2 yr old races for others to do their  own Due dilegence.
SORRY FOR THE MESS I DON'T HAVE TIME TO FIX IT.
-
 
Woodbine - Sunday, September 19th, 2021 Race 9:field of 9 ,5 on our list 1-2-5-6-7
STAKES. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $400,000. Summer S. (Grade 1). FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS. (05:39 PM) (9)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Dripping Gold  P4 2 C 122 Rosario Joel McGaughey III Claude R. 9-2
2 Luckman  S4 2 C 122 Wilson Emma-Jayne Casse Mark E.  20-1
3 Grafton Street S4 2 C 122 Hernandez Rafael Manuel Casse Mark E.  10-1
4 Albahr (GB)( Front runner speed) 2 G 122 Dettori Lanfranco Appleby Charles  7-5  M/L
5 Heat Merchant S3
 
2 G 122 Boulanger Gary Biamonte Ralph J.  15-1
6 Degree Of Risk     EP 8             2 C v 122 Stein Justin Harty Eoin G. 8-1
7 Souper Legacy EP6 2 G 122 Gallardo Antonio A. Casse Mark E.  15-1
8 First Empire  E8 2 C 122 Husbands Patrick Casse Mark E. 5-2 
...[Message truncated]
View Full Message
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/20/21

results for message 218 race 8: 9/18 woodbine 1 Mile Turf  Natalma Stks  Grade 1.

My top 2 ran 1-2 , Wild Beauty #5 closed after 6f and closed the last Q 23.66

after pinballing out of the gate  and in 6th place when she showed her turn of foot like her Sire Frankel. #2 Pizza Bianca Right behind the winner in 7th and followed her to the Wire and Finished 2nd, Eminent Victor closed for 3rd. I set the table for this race and if you did your own DD

You might of had the winner, exacta, and the Tri . Win and your in race. 2 yr old fillies turf.

https://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/WO091921CAN8.pdf

  • Edited September 20, 2021 5:59 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/20/21

Results for message 219 :STAKES. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $400,000. Summer S. (Grade 1). FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS.
Win and your In race.

#4 The chalk from Europe,: Albahr (GB) Won going away after a slow start, Grafton Street bounced back
from his bad slop race, and finished 2nd, Degree Of Risk 3rd,the only one on our list ITM.

First Empire had the lead and gave way before the 7f mark.

https://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/WO091921CAN9.pdf

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