This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.
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I'm moving as soon as I hit the big one!!
Yep not bad for BC I would think. I think Justify comes up short if he was to get in the same position Chrome got stuck in.
I think Hofburg will give the big horse all he wants! I still think his Derby was overlooked. Tapit going for 4 of the last 5 Belmont winning offspring. Broodmare sire Touch Gold won the race. I don't expect him to be too far off the pace unless it's ridiculous, which I wouldn't mind seeing.
Justify/Tenfold/Hofburg/Blended Citizen. Exacta Box. Tri Box. If I play that's the way I'm going, cheap.
I may just watch because even though I'd like to beat him, J. on the rail = wire job, IMO.
I'm going to try to beat him on the square. I still think his schedule has to take something out of him. His number in the Preakness was supposedly lower than in the Derby, and he was all out. Sure he looks good breezing, he's running 4 to 5 furlongs at a moderate speed. I think by furlong 10 or 11, he will begin to wilt. If not, then he beats me. It's a hunch, and I hope I get better than 9/2.
I have to admit that I was a bit distressed to hear that he drew the one but it’s been 20 years (Touch Gold) since one was a winning post (thanks Cindy!). http://www.horse-races.net/library/bel-winners.htm
It’ll be interesting to see if they send Indy to the front. That would seem to be his best shot, on the front, but do they try to get in front of Justify? Probably should wait until after the first turn unless they can get right beside him. Does Baffert have Florent try to block Castellano and Indy? This is going to get interesting.
I would expect to see Restoring Hope floating Noble Indy wide
Pretty much what I was picturing. But if everyone thinks it will they still do it? Yeah I’m sure they would lol.
Blinkers off for Noble Indy. Not sure if that helps him or not.
If you are worried about post position, especially at Belmont, then you don't think he is the best horse. Always kills me that people think the best horse should get the best post otherwise they are in trouble. If that is the case, they are not the best. If on Saturday, that rail is dead, then that would be a concern but cannot say now.
Baffert has ran interference with his other horse before, so that would not be new. But I would have thought he would have brought one of his SC guys for that. They do have a good spot for that though.