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Kentucky Derby 2020 DogsUp Diary   Triple Crown

Started 2/3/20 by DogsUp; 24620 views.
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Aug-18

Hi Winter..it was just an update for All.

And a rare Dog's short data post.

Hoofnote: The jockey quarantine issues to Derby and return to home track becomes a factor of up to 10 to 15%.Same goes to substitute riders who would face scenario.

Msg 1406.252 deleted
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Aug-18

ChiefsCrown said...

ogs!.........Rock Hard Ten? C'mon man, RHT can't even touch the breeding of TTL.  Not jumping of the Tiz bandwagon. Maybe he won't win but if you leave him off your tickets i'm thinking its a big mistake.  Other than last years debacle, the 5 prior favorites fared up to their odds.

Unless an injury derails my picks sticking w/Tiz, 1000 Words, Ny Traffic. trifecta. Might use Enforceable to clean up the super.

I wouldn't leave Tiz off my ticket but I don't think he has to go first. 
I think Enforceable can run 2nd....reminds me a little bit of Firing Line.  

Of course I have to play my infamous homebred exacta box, but there aren't many homebreds this year...only 3.   

Art Collector
Major Fed
Finnick the Fierce

Looks like it would pay well for a $10 exacta. 


 

In reply toRe: msg 253
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Aug-18

Just for "Super" clarification..My comment was about Others..most All other bettors using Tiz The Law.

My vertical ticket in the Derby will include Tiz The Law.

Reference to Rock Hard Ten was not about his PPs or breeding.

Dogs is a Rock Hard Ten. 

Husker (Birdman506)

From: Husker (Birdman506)

Aug-19

DogsUp said:

Ten cent ..10 cent Super. And Single one horse in 1st.. Must Win. The number of combinations. 1×19x18x17×16=93,024 20 combinations is 20 time that 1,860,480.

My point is that what you are showing is not a superfecta.  That would be 1 x 19 x 18 x 17 = 5,814 combinations.  Your wager is for the top five finishers, not the top four.

https://www.americasbestracing.net/gambling-calculator

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Aug-19

Correct. Reader is reading the play and understand the math.

Sometimes the band singer sings some wrong words. When dancers look at him he says..hey they are listening. 

If we ever meet..I'm buying. "You get the tip.

ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

Aug-20

Sorry Dogs....thought you implied an analogy between RHT and TTL for derby favoritism!!!

ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

Aug-20

Love all 3 of those colts. My issue with FTF is his post position. He has to get an outside post so he can scan the field going into the clubhouse turn. If he draws inside i don't think he fares well. Seems like he'd be apt to cock his head to the right looking at the runners. Just an opinion. That being said i would love to see him get ITM!

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Aug-21

Yes I do get going with the double meanings of using racing and language.

Just set up my drums at the Beer Factory in a college town 40 miles from my Country Home. I guess I can Justify my Funny Cide here because Dogs is Always Dreaming.

I'm just a funny, sweet guy with a side dish of Charismatic. Laid back don't keep my nose to the Grindstone. Not a drinker so there's no Go for Gin.

The Super or the Tri in a 20 field is a Genuine Risk. So one had to Spend a Buck to hit. Racing is a Foolish Pleasure. A Genuine Risk.

But the Kentucky Derby is the race of the year. And I'll Have Another.

Dogs' a Rock Hard Ten.

  • Edited August 21, 2020 5:43 pm  by  DogsUp
ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

Aug-23

Good one Dogs........at some time you must have been an english teacher? LOL

I totally enjoyed that response.....Good luck 13 days from now!...Cash some!

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