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Future pools   Triple Crown

Started 1/24/21 by smartyslew; 4230 views.
In reply toRe: msg 31
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/3/21

4 Into Mischief, 3 Tapits in pool 4

021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Official Field - Pool Four
# Name Pool 1
Final Odds
Pool 2
Final Odds
Pool 3
Final Odds
Pool 4
M/L Odds
Pool 4
Final Odds
  1 Caddo River 27-1 13-1 15-1 15-1
  2 Candy Man Rocket - - 35-1 30-1
  3 Collaborate - - - 30-1
  4 Concert Tour - 16-1 17-1 20-1
  5 Dream Shake - - 28-1 30-1
  6 Essential Quality 8-1 8-1 8-1 7-2
  7 Freedom Fighter - - 52-1 30-1
  8 Greatest Honour - 40-1 9-1 6-1
  9 Highly Motivated 18-1 24-1 37-1 20-1
10 Hot Rod Charlie 34-1 40-1 35-1 30-1
11 Hush of a Storm - - - 50-1
12 Keepmeinmind 19-1 19-1 25-1 30-1
13 Life Is Good 5-1 7-1 7-1 4-1
14 Mandaloun - 42-1 16-1 15-1
15 Medina Spirit - 24-1 25-1 30-1
16 Midnight Bourbon 59-1 26-1 41-1 30-1
17 Prevalence - - 14-1 20-1
18 Proxy - - - 20-1
19 Risk Taking - - 25-1 30-1
20 Roman Centurian - - 41-1 50-1
21 Rombauer - - - 50-1
22 Spielberg - 47-1 - 20-1
23 The Great One - - 38-1 50-1
24 Mutuel field (all other 3-year-olds) 6-5 9-5 3-1 10-1

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

3/4/21

Damn.. The Great One + Collaborate are already on the radar. Connections will wak the best of 2 proportionately in this pool. 

Math now: IF one bet $20 EQ at 7-2 win = $50.  Versus May Derby bet $1 Exacta wheel..EQ all @ $1 exactly only has to come back $90 for same @$1. With chances for more

In reply toRe: msg 34
TexSquared

From: TexSquared

3/4/21

Always worth a look, compare the Derby future pools with the Euro bookmakers:

Kentucky Derby Betting Odds

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/6/21

Greatest Honour is the most Popular bet at 12-1 over there

Prevalence at 16 -1  is 5th most popular, and I haven't looked at him yet
so much more to learn. Thanks Tex.

top 5 popular bets:  83 percent have bet on these top 5 listed. 17 % all others

Greatest Honour (12/1) Life Is Good (10/1) Essential Quality (8/1) Concert Tour (12/1) Prevalence (16/1)

Greatest Honour  43.75 % of the bets,

In reply toRe: msg 36
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/8/21

IMO top Pedigrees : Essential Quality, Greatest Honour, Life Is Good

Prevalence, Proxy P/N(Tapit), Concert Tour , X= top Contenders,

N/P Midnight Bourbon, P/N Proxy, 21 others all P/P in Pool
4 Into Mischief, 3 Tapits Sires in pool 4. look em up,  

021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Official Field - Pool Four
# Name Pool 1
Final Odds
Pool 2
Final Odds
Pool 3
Final Odds
Pool 4
M/L Odds
Pool 4
Final Odds
  1 Caddo River  21a     8f 96 27-1 13-1 15-1 15-1 E 8      16-1
  2 Candy Man Rocket  A4  14 13c - 35-1 30-1     E/P 8    71-1
  3 Collaborate L  20b    8.5f 93 - - - 30-1 /        EP 4    29-1         
  4 Concert Tour  b  3c   7f  97 - 16-1 17-1 20-1 X   N           EP 6     17-1             
  5 Dream Shake  Lb  3h.  8 13c 6.5f 90  - 28-1 30-1 S4       71-1 
  6 Essential Quality b 1x 8, 9 13c, 8.5f 98    8-1 8-1 8-1 7-2 X    N      EP 4   5-1     
  7 Freedom Fighter  b  1n   7f 96 - - 52-1 30-1 E6      84-1
  8 Greatest Honour  8f   12f, 8.5 97 - 40-1 9-1 6-1 X      N     S 0       6-1      
  9 Highly Motivated  7a  6.5f 102 18-1 24-1 37-1 20-1 X        N      P6     36-1       
10 Hot Rod Charlie  b 11 d.  8.5f 93 34-1 40-1 35-1 30-1
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DogsUp

From: DogsUp

3/8/21

The pool Today pretty much shakes out to what now appears the likely top 3; maybe 4. With what we know.  And fits my ticket construction if the race was today. 

princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

3/8/21

Prevalence taking an interesting route.....entered this week in an ALW one turn mile at GP.  Trying to understand strategy, probably wants him to show his stuff, win by 8 in a short field, but then hamstrung for the Derby, unless enters him next in the final 9f. prep, perhaps at OP in the Ark Derby?

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/8/21

Sounds like the Preakness strategy. orders come from the Sheik. (my Guess)

In reply toRe: msg 41
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/28/21

Derby points leaders from the Field # 24 future bets. For Future Players Bet 24 for the Win
Strategy or use in The Exacta or maybe both. Could have enough poinjts to get in .
How many are on your Watch list?
-
Like The King 104,Known Agenda 102, Rebels Romance 100,Soup And Sandwich 40,Sainthood 40,
Panadol 40, God Selection (JPN) 40, 
-
There is a good case for others that were left off this week. I suggest they change their selection commitee.
--
2021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Official Field - Pool Five
# Points Pool 1
Final Odds
Pool 2
Final Odds
Pool 3
Final Odds
Pool 4
Final Odds
Pool 5
M/L Odds
Pool 5
Final Odds
  1 Big Lake - - - - 50-1 suspended
  2 Caddo River   10 27-1 13-1 15-1 16-1 30-1
  3 Collaborate  0 - - - 29-1 30-1
  4 Concert TourX  50 - 16-1 17-1 17-1 9-2
  5 Crowded Trade  20 - - - - 30-1
  6 Dream Shake   10 - - 28-1 71-1 50-1
  7 Essential QualityX  40 8-1 8-1 8-1 5-1 3-1
  8 Greatest Honour X80 - 40-1 9-1 6-1 4-1
  9 Helium   50 - - - - 30-1
10 Hidden Stash  22 - - - - 50-1
11 Highly MotivatedX   10 18-1 24-1 37-1 36-1 30-1
12 Hot Rod Charlie  110 34-1 40-1 35-1 53-1 6-1
13 Hozier  20 - - - - 30-1
14 Mandaloun  52 - 42-1 16-1 17-1 30-1
15 Medina Spirit  34 - 24-1 25-1 39-1 20-1
16 Midnight Bourbon  66 59-1 26-1 41-1 52-1 30-1
17 O Besos  25 - - - - 50-1
18 Prevalence x  0 - - 14-1 29-1 20-1
19 Proxy  34 - - - 41-1 30-1
20 Risk Taking  10 - - 25-1 42-1 30-1
...[Message truncated]
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