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Kentucky Derby 2021 DogsUp Diary   Triple Crown

Started 2/28/21 by DogsUp; 54467 views.
Gerh

From: Gerh

4/17/21

Marcelino Pedroza has the mount in the derby

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/17/21

I watched the video on Tom Brady "before" the Super Bowl.

And I encourage racing dudes and dudesses to dig for anecdotal information on Derby horses. It's called  Data mining.

Here is the exercise.

https://youtu.be/JqPOwy_EuvU

Who's gonna win the Super Bowl.

  • Edited April 17, 2021 8:41 pm  by  DogsUp
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/17/21

DogsUp said...

$40 horse beat me in pk 5 @ OP

Oh, I have a worse story for today.  I ahve a "lucky superfecta" I play occassionally for a number of years. 

I don't do oaklawn much on Saturdays as it's my unlucky day there. 

My lucky superfecta came in on a race there today and paid over $4800. 

:)   Gambling!  Horses!

Ticketman

From: Ticketman

4/17/21

BOL bro on the Derby this year ...

I like Sainthood a bit ....

I don't like EQ .... I have him 3rd or out of the money ....

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/17/21

So tell us why you dont' like EQ.   Easy to toss that out w/no explanation.  I see people toss out the "chalk" every time there's a big race.  

Surely there are specific reasons you don't like him.   

Only thing I like about him is that he's a model of consistency. 

The touts must be "talkin up"  Sainthood, since very few select brought him up 2 weeks ago...... I guess it was when they found out he could work on dirt?   His races already showed that ability and was game as heck when he ran on dirt.    

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/18/21

Tis better to have bet and lost..then to never have bet at all. 

I was in transit for the 5th last leg. And I didn't Dutch my ticket knowingly the 4 runners I had paid well with the 2 fav gals out in 4th bymping up the tic. I wouldn't have Dutched a $40 horse. Yet the 5 pick/my 4 horses was substantial. 

That feature had to KO 80 to 90 % of tics.

In reply toRe: msg 117
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/18/21

Yes Obesso in @ about 85/1.

Lookin at Lee was in then out then back in the KDY.

The current streak of favorites winning Derby goes back to Orb in 2013. He was followed by Cal Chrome, American Pharoah, Nyquist, Always Dreaming, and Justify. American Pharoah and Justify won the Triple Crown. Nyquist entered the Derby undefeated.

And fav Maximum Security won but DQed. 

2012 I'll Have Another.

I think there was a streak where 20 favs didn't Win. 

In reply toRe: msg 118
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/18/21

Past Derbs winners in top flight of 3 at 4 furlongs.

Think this crop will see 3 at 4fl have those 3 finish in top 4

Like American Pharoah

https://youtu.be/3814_3XpmTc

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/18/21

DogsUp said...

Like American Pharoah

https://youtu.be/3814_3XpmTc

thanks for posting that. I often don't watch enough ex KY Derbies.   

I can't help this nagging feeling that EQ is Dormund.  

Anyway, ever notice watching Pharoah from the back his butt goes really far upwards into the air when he runs, I think that was his "engine" which was very powerful.  I think I'm going to start looking for that upward swing he had.   

Ticketman

From: Ticketman

4/18/21

Morn Winter ...

I just like his female side of his pedigree ....

There a few things I don't like ..... his CMP Numbers

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