Horse Racing Forum

Hosted by Cindy Dulay (CindyDulay)

This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.

  • 480
    MEMBERS
  • 25687
    MESSAGES
  • 1
    POSTS TODAY

Discussions

Fla Derby   Triple Crown

Started 3/21/21 by Plus2lbs; 3760 views.
princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

3/26/21

To be honest, I never really understood the comment "doesn't have to win" in the Derby preps.....sure, he'll still qualify if he doesn't win, but why would he not run his best?  The only thing I could imagine would be not taking any chances weaving through traffic and pushing him to win, but if he gets a clear path, he certainly could still win.

I don't think he has been pushed in his previous two, so I think he is capable of much more...

princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

3/26/21

Hi Ravi,

Are these your selections in order per pedigree analysis?  Quantum Leap being the best bred?

Pedigreestar

From: Pedigreestar

3/26/21

No they are not best pedigree to least. As per the numbers given in equibase logically from top to bottom as per Pedigreestar Analysis Best Pedigree can be for Sigiloso. But I have observed many times Pedigree is not active for certain period of time hence horse is not performing.   

Pedigreestar

From: Pedigreestar

3/26/21

If Sigiloso comes in the  money within first 4  and within 4 lenths to the winner then pedigree may be active and should be watched for future will improve for sure.

In reply toRe: msg 12
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/26/21

Because of Meds I  haven't bet to many races the last couple years and I haven't
Bet most of these preps, didn't bet last week not betting the preps this weekend
so don't confuse me with somebody on here that are Cappin These races,and compare it to me. If I do
start cappin I'll let you know and I have a toolbox full of tools that most on here use.
Here is a tidbit for the Florida Derby, I noticed First timers with no Lasix are low percentage
plays for the Prep winners, doesn't mean they can't win, odds are low.
5 entrants firsters might help for the win.  45% of field 
-----------------------------
Florida Derby First timers with out Lasix:
-----------------------------------------
Quantum Leap Last 2 L, L, Only win on Lasix, brk Mdn. in last
-
Southern Passage last 3 ,L L L, only Win 4 back ,no Lasix, slop, no wins 21,
-
Known Agenda last Lb, won by 11, Pletcher desperate only med race of 5, red Flag
6 entrants race written for ToD, imo
--
Soup And Sandwich 2 for 2, L, L, Sprint Number 8 pts higher than Route
field of 3 in last, field of 6 in 1st
--
Collaborate 2 races 1-1-0-0, Brk Mdn Last ..L, L
---
---
RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

3/26/21

I am going with Spielberg for the win. I agree with whoever said he doesn't care for SA surface. If you look as his dry dirt form everywhere else, he is actually a nice runner. Soup and Sandwich is my live longshot. I will box those two with the favorite.

In reply toRe: msg 22
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

3/26/21

Here are the Bris Pars  For the Florida Derby

Greatest Honour 2 back, nobody else comes close to the pars.
doesn't mean its a one horse race

--------------------------------------------

Bris Pars : Florida Derby
E1  94 E2  103  LATE 93 SPEED 103   
----------------------------------------
E1 94 E2  103   Late 99  Speed 103> Greatest Honour 2 back Holy Bull 8.5 f
-
Plus2lbs

From: Plus2lbs

3/27/21

Way to go Chief..

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

3/27/21

Goooood going.

All NYRA colony jocks on the board.

This crop is limited. 

In reply toRe: msg 26
RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

3/27/21

Known Agenda ruined my exacta. I really didn’t like him here.

TOP