smartyslew said...

Spend $ 1 on straight Super those 4 listed in order of your Exacta box.

Doxa,Doxa, Aspidistra 2f strength, 9f strength With 13c and 23b families.

Or dime Super box = $2.40.

2 longshots in my lineup and closers in a race with little speed make me think that is not a good idea to expect all 4 to hit. 

1-1/8th isn't classic distance, but I chose the horses as if it were.   Probably more about my wishful thinking in terms of good pedigrees for the Ky Derby and who I'd like to see in the gate than about this race in particular. 

Slip Highly Motivated in there. your 4 a,b,c,d, a/b/ c.e/d/ or  d e/ or slip him in a or b

not much front runners in here. I've wheeled 5 or 6 in Supers for $1 units similiar to

this cheap bet. 

Don't forget Doxa is 1-s conduit, Your first 2 are La Troienne 1x, Doxa is part of a joke

Somebody use to think Doxa covered both 1-s and 1-x.

A little surprised at the morning line......I think that both EQ and HM are too low at 3/5 and 3-1.....I expect EQ to go off at even money, and HM at 9-2.

I will be playing those with Hidden Stash, way too high at 20-1.  He'll be bet down, probably to 12-1, but he figures here, along with Rombauer, though I think the win will come from my top 2 choices, EQ and HM.  Rooting for HM!

 If EQ goes off at just even money...high chance to lose.

I wouldn't bet him at even money. Suspect. Board screaming.

Was 4/5 in last.

"When there's a lot of money on the table, strange things happen." 

smartyslew said...

Slip Highly Motivated in there. your 4 a,b,c,d, a/b/ c.e/d/ or  d e/ or slip him in a or b

not much front runners in here. I've wheeled 5 or 6 in Supers for $1 units similiar to

this cheap bet. 

 

Well I already said not using HM would be the hole in my ticket, but I think it might be "safe" for an exacta and I actually LIKE my ticket. 

The good thing about playing OP meet is that we have a scorekeeper in our 22-something group, and i've been able to see which kinds of wagers I do best at.  
 

Dogs, the favorite wins the BG about 60-something % of the time I think?   Art Collector (filly was 2nd fav),Vekoma, Good Magic.......Irap was a surprise because everyone ignored Sunland and he was there for his last 2 races so spent over a  month there, building LUNGS...(Romans was copying Mine That Bird perhaps with that high altitude training?) (everyone was on Trapwrit or McCracken that year.)  Irap paid big. 30+-1.
Then Brody's Cause was 2nd favorite, Carpe Diem was favorite, and so on.  

I had no idea what to do with the Tapeta horse because I really don't know Tapeta to dirt conversions, and if that would be different in cold season or warm season. 

What's good about this race:  we finally have some horses with some race recency and regularly scheduled works.  Trainers for #4, 3 and 9 have killer (but almost equal) stats for 2nd off the layoff.  

What's bad about this race:  It's the Bluegrass.  



 

smartyslew said...

Doxa is part of a joke

Somebody use to think Doxa covered both 1-s and 1-x.

Haven't seen that dunce around for a while but he usually comes out of the woodwork around now.  I only participate on 3 sites now, so I won't run into him.   I think everyone has had enough of his repetitive hawking.  He missed his calling in the carnival world.  

smartyslew said...

Doxa is part of a joke

Somebody use to think Doxa covered both 1-s and 1-x.

Haven't seen that dunce around for a while but he usually comes out of the woodwork around now.  I only participate on 3 sites now (with sane people)  so I won't run into him.   I think everyone has had enough of his repetitive hawking.  He missed his calling in the carnival world.  

Doesn’t look like a lot of speed signed on but if a few jocks start thinking about stealing it,things could heat up in a hurry

EQ was my pick in BC juvey.

In JANUARY the DogsUp Delta Kentucky Derby colt..

Really big on him to become 5 for 5 in B. Grass.

Colt was about 4/5 when he ran/won at your track in last.

Should ( must) be 3/5 this B Grass.

Point was not about winning. Nor price to take prohibitive.

If he closes at even money. 1 to 1.  Or more; becomes a tell tale board  that he could falter.

And colt is certainly one with points , that if he encounters a significant trouble line: Saez will wrap him up and save him for less than  30 days until reboot in Dby

I don't like betting low odds horses either but EQ has 40 pts and needs at least a 3rd to solidify a slot. I think he's a must use regardless. 

Using EQ, HS, HM and Untreated in supers.

Dogs, are you nocturnal? What are you doing up at 3:30 am? LOL