A little surprised at the morning line......I think that both EQ and HM are too low at 3/5 and 3-1.....I expect EQ to go off at even money, and HM at 9-2.

I will be playing those with Hidden Stash, way too high at 20-1.  He'll be bet down, probably to 12-1, but he figures here, along with Rombauer, though I think the win will come from my top 2 choices, EQ and HM.  Rooting for HM!

 If EQ goes off at just even money...high chance to lose.

I wouldn't bet him at even money. Suspect. Board screaming.

Was 4/5 in last.

"When there's a lot of money on the table, strange things happen." 

smartyslew said...

Slip Highly Motivated in there. your 4 a,b,c,d, a/b/ c.e/d/ or  d e/ or slip him in a or b

not much front runners in here. I've wheeled 5 or 6 in Supers for $1 units similiar to

this cheap bet. 

 

Well I already said not using HM would be the hole in my ticket, but I think it might be "safe" for an exacta and I actually LIKE my ticket. 

The good thing about playing OP meet is that we have a scorekeeper in our 22-something group, and i've been able to see which kinds of wagers I do best at.  
 

Dogs, the favorite wins the BG about 60-something % of the time I think?   Art Collector (filly was 2nd fav),Vekoma, Good Magic.......Irap was a surprise because everyone ignored Sunland and he was there for his last 2 races so spent over a  month there, building LUNGS...(Romans was copying Mine That Bird perhaps with that high altitude training?) (everyone was on Trapwrit or McCracken that year.)  Irap paid big. 30+-1.
Then Brody's Cause was 2nd favorite, Carpe Diem was favorite, and so on.  

I had no idea what to do with the Tapeta horse because I really don't know Tapeta to dirt conversions, and if that would be different in cold season or warm season. 

What's good about this race:  we finally have some horses with some race recency and regularly scheduled works.  Trainers for #4, 3 and 9 have killer (but almost equal) stats for 2nd off the layoff.  

What's bad about this race:  It's the Bluegrass.  



 

smartyslew said...

Doxa is part of a joke

Somebody use to think Doxa covered both 1-s and 1-x.

Haven't seen that dunce around for a while but he usually comes out of the woodwork around now.  I only participate on 3 sites now, so I won't run into him.   I think everyone has had enough of his repetitive hawking.  He missed his calling in the carnival world.  

smartyslew said...

Doxa is part of a joke

Somebody use to think Doxa covered both 1-s and 1-x.

Haven't seen that dunce around for a while but he usually comes out of the woodwork around now.  I only participate on 3 sites now (with sane people)  so I won't run into him.   I think everyone has had enough of his repetitive hawking.  He missed his calling in the carnival world.  

Doesn’t look like a lot of speed signed on but if a few jocks start thinking about stealing it,things could heat up in a hurry

EQ was my pick in BC juvey.

In JANUARY the DogsUp Delta Kentucky Derby colt..

Really big on him to become 5 for 5 in B. Grass.

Colt was about 4/5 when he ran/won at your track in last.

Should ( must) be 3/5 this B Grass.

Point was not about winning. Nor price to take prohibitive.

If he closes at even money. 1 to 1.  Or more; becomes a tell tale board  that he could falter.

And colt is certainly one with points , that if he encounters a significant trouble line: Saez will wrap him up and save him for less than  30 days until reboot in Dby

I don't like betting low odds horses either but EQ has 40 pts and needs at least a 3rd to solidify a slot. I think he's a must use regardless. 

Using EQ, HS, HM and Untreated in supers.

Dogs, are you nocturnal? What are you doing up at 3:30 am? LOL

You know a lot of that was tongue in cheek. Saying that my point was if you really have a strong feeling

Take a Cheap dollar shot for giggles.

EQ is A horse for the course and I don't think they want to sit on the projected bubble with 

40 points.