This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.
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smartyslew said...the best pedigree in this bunch for the Belmont with that Tapit P/N pedigree
Out of all the TC races, for The Belmont in particular, I believe "mentality" is one of the most important components for this race.
I mean, you watch Secretariat's Belmont and it's just NOT about physicality or breeding...... at all. He had this incredible mentality.
Tapits are often nutcases as we know. Ask Steve Asmussen.....he'll tell ya. And he's pretty "good" with Tapits. LOL (I did actually have this convo with him on a slow day once......)
Guess for now we are "stuck" with Rombauer, Hidden Agenda, Rock Your World, Rebel's Romance---and I don't mind really. If the Japan horses come over for that, watch out though. There are some amazeballs over there.
Concert Tour by about 4 lengths in front of Super Stock. That should be sufficient to make him one of the derby favorites.
I think the Lexington will be a little closer, with Proxy edging out Swiftsure.
Just a reminder about who needs what. CT is in the race to run interference for Baffert's other horse so he can make sure to get 2 in the gate at CDX.
Hosier can run 1st, 2nd, or 3rd, that's all he has to do.
On the other hand, Caddo River, Get Her Number, Super Stock and Last Samari need to run 1st or 2nd. No other placing will get them to Knetucky. These guys will be *trying hard*.
I am not putting CT first because he doesn't need to run his heart out here right before the KY Derby.
I am playing CT for first here, not worried about how he doesn't need it, rather I think he is that much better than the others, especially his stablemate. Yes, Hozier would be an easy toss for the Derby, but I don't think he'll fare well today. I like the others for the tri, especially Caddo and Get.
I like Swiftsure here.....and then to go on and be a major competitor in the Preakness, possibly even on the undercard on Derby day.
I have no idea really. I’m just looking forward to seeing which one blinks first, Concert Tour or Caddo River.
Concert Tour ran exactly as I thought he would.........3rd. I had a couple tickets and he was 3rd on every one.
Asmussen wanted to get a horse into the Derby and Caddo River (my guy for the AR Derby) will get enough points.
I don't really like Caddo River for the Derby though.......to me, he is the perfect Preakness horse. (but CT isn't going to win the KY Derby either).
Santana and Geroux, the Oaklawn riders, were't going to go quietly into the night. They ride there day in and day out.
Best of all, the tickets paid well w/out CT in the win/place
unfortunately I cannot read your tickets.