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2021 Epsom Derby   European Racing

Started 6/1/21 by SameSteve G; 7291 views.
Gerh

From: Gerh

6/3/21

Final field of 12 for the Derby.Bolshoi Ballet is the only Aiden entry.I agree with you on Hurricane Lane.With no rabbits entered by Aiden,the early pace might not be too quick,which should help Hurricane Lane.I am not a huge Ryan Moore fan but Bolshoi should crack the top 3.I will also use One Ruler

In reply toRe: msg 8
SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

6/3/21

Glad to see that O'Brien's entries were pared down.  

Hurricane Lane is holding at 9-1 over on OddChecker.  That's a good price for that horse.  I would still take him at 5-1.

I don't get why Mac Swiney is getting so much play, stretching out and if his in/out career pattern holds, due for a clunker.  Maybe the punters are betting Dettori?

I think I'll keep it simple & back Hurricane for the win at 5-1 or higher.  Otherwise, I'll just watch.

Of course, the chalk would be no surprise.  

Good luck, Ger.

Gerh

From: Gerh

6/3/21

There is an interesting article in Bloodhorse about “the speed gene”.Sounds a little like dosage and it seems to be why Bolger thinks the distance will suit Mac Swiney.Ground could be a little quick for him

Gerh

From: Gerh

6/3/21

The Oaks looks to be a great race as well.I like Zeyaadah in there.Looks like too much too soon for Santa Barbara.Divinely has been taking money in the last week but Willow might end up being the strongest of Aiden’s.

Best of luck with your bets Steve

In reply toRe: msg 10
SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

6/3/21

Thanks.  I'll check it out.

In reply toRe: msg 11
SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

6/3/21

Does look like a nice edition of the race.

I think your pick is live & offering some value.

Saffron Beach is interesting to me.  Another stretchout on a 3rd back effort with competitive RPR.

I would need the full 11-1 or higher to put a flyer down on her.  20-1 would be better!  :)

Gerh

From: Gerh

6/3/21

I think she could finish third.Could get a little weary in the last furlong but worth a shot,especially if the price drifts up

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

6/3/21

I don't get why Mac Swiney is getting so much play

Galileo top and bottom.

 

I knew Galileo’s offspring had been really successful in this race in recent years and thought I would check out some recent winners’ pedigrees.  The last 10 winners all came from the Northern Dancer sireline, 5 via Galileo, 3 from a different Sadlers Wells, and 2 from Green Desert (Danzig), but only with a RAN in the bmsireline.  You have to go back 11 years to find a winner not from the ND line and guess who is in the bmsireline?  Sadlers Wells lol.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/3/21

Which Dam has 8 Stake  Winners and is a Rasmussen Factor in the 3rd Generation

in one of the entrants ?

2 of her sons won the Epsom !!!

ShaddyisBack

From: ShaddyisBack

6/3/21

thanks for putting this up. Although looking at these PP I dont see a lot you can use to separate these horses, other than speed figures

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