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2022 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 171312 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/16/22

Finally a race he didn't get in to trouble, He needs to do that again with that good action displayed in this race.

Will Pratt be on him ?

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/16/22

Preakness Post Position 5/21/22 Pimlico

ost Horse Trainer Dosage Jockey M/L
Odds
1 Simplification Antonio Sano 1.22 John Velazquez 6-1
2 Creative Minister Ken McPeek 1.91 Brian Hernandez Jr. 10-1
3 Fenwick Kevin McKathan 2.50 Florent Geroux 50-1
4 Secret Oath D. Wayne Lukas 8.60 Luis Saez 9-2
5 Early Voting Chad Brown 1.00 Jose Ortiz 7-2
6 Happy Jack Doug O'Neill 2.38 Tyler Gaffalione 30-1
7 Armagnac Tim Yakteen 1.57 Irad Ortiz Jr. 12-1
8 Epicenter Steve Asmussen 0.60 Joel Rosario 6-5
9 Skippylongstocking Saffie Joseph Jr. 3.00 Junior Alvarado 20-1

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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/16/22

5/20/22 Pimlico : Black Eyed Susan : Looks like a Betting Race

---

From the rail out, the field for the Black-Eyed Susan is: 13 entrants
Divine Huntress, 15-1; 
Missy Greer, 20-1;
Miss Yearwood, 20-1; 
Midnight Stroll, 15-1; 
Beguine, 12-1; 
Luna Belle, 9-2; 
Distinctlypossible, 6-1; 
Candy Light, 20-1; 
Interstatedaydream, 6-1; 
Adare Manor, 5-2; 
Radio Days, 12-1; 
Favor, 8-1;  
Morning Matcha, 30-1. 
----
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/17/22

2022 Preakness 5/21/22 Race 13: by post position
-
Name, Bris Classification, tail female family number
Conduit Classification , Sire/Bms rf =Rasmussen Factor
Nick or Long Nick Sire/Bms line
-
Nick = Preakness winner Sire/Bms Lines
-
1 Simplification EP4  16g (IS)Storm Cat/ Candy Ride rf,
Long Nick: Storm Cat/ Fappiano  Shackleford 2011 2f
-
2 Creative Minister P1 8d (B)  Storm Cat/ Tapit
Long Nick : Nor Dan/ Bold Ruler Louis Quatorze 1996 3m
Real Long Nick: Northern Dancer/ Bold Ruler Summer Squall 1990 3L
-
3 Fenwick E4 1t (IP)  Curlin/ Malibu Moon
Nick: Curlin/Seattle Slew, Exaggerator 2016 3g
Nick: Mr P/ Seattle Slew,  Funny Cide 2003  6d
--
4 Secret Oath (F) S2  9f (BP) Arrogate/ Quiet American
-
5 Early Voting  P/N E8 9b (B) Gun Runner/Tiznow
Long Nick : Mr P / In Reality, Smarty Jones 2004 1x
Long Nick : Fappiano/ In Reality, Real Quiet 1998 4d
conduit Preakness Winner :9b Idle fancy Hill Prince 1950
-
6 Happy Jack S2  3o  (S)  Oxbow/ Tapit rf
----
7 Armagnac E5  A4 (BP) Quality Road/ Lemon Drop Kid
-----
8 Epicenter EP5  21A (IP) Storm Cat/Candy Ride
Long Nick: Storm Cat/ Fappiano, Shackleford 2011 2f
--
9 Skippylongstocking EP3  10a (BS) Curlin/War Chant
Nick: Smart Strike/ Danzig , Lookin at Lucky 2010 9f
Long Nick :  Smart Strike/ North. Dancer , Curlin 2007 19c
Long Nick: Mr P/ Nor Dancer, Hansel  1991 2w
Conduit Preakness Winner 10a Court Dress Charismatic 1999
---
pianot

From: pianot

5/17/22

So with this, you suggest this data has Skippy as one to really look at? Has a  nice work recently.

  • Edited May 17, 2022 6:10 pm  by  pianot
princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

5/17/22

I like Adare Manor....

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

5/17/22

Nah.  He’s 20-1 :)

pianot

From: pianot

5/17/22

Never had odds distract  me. I'm sure you agree. Had Larry Snyder on a 50-1 Appaloosa race at Arlington. He got DQd. Ha

  • Edited May 17, 2022 5:58 pm  by  pianot
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/17/22

Its a Pedigree tool to consider along side performance tools and other pedigree data and not a stand alone

angle in somebodys tool box. Its kinda like a tie breaker to use what Nicks (Marraiges) and females families have

worked before and the way you decipher it.

pianot

From: pianot

5/17/22

No just was wondering how much weight you put on it. As I've said, appreciate you data.

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