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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 141053 views.
PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

May-26

I just looked at KY winner splits  

24.655 48.19333 72.25667 97.75167 122.61

             23.53833 24.06333 25.495 24.85833

Looks like his 2nd qtr was faster than the leaders quarter which I found hard to believe, but on the chart he went from 17.5 to 17 behind.  He maintained a good pace with a slow turn time which very well could have been traffic incurred.  He should be able to maintain a BEL pace, unless they do as Rosario did in the Preakness and get too far behind early on.  With a jock unfamiliar with BEL, good chance that could happen, along with the early move factor.

The figs look formatted now, but I know when I post it will mess up..  First line is adjusted time for RS second is splits.

  • Edited May 26, 2022 11:23 am  by  PISTOL9
sovereign1

From: sovereign1

May-26

He will need a Jazil's Belmont-type of run.

PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

May-26

sovereign1 said:

He will need a Jazil's Belmont-type of run.

10Þ06=11Bel fst 1¶ :47¦1:12 2:02¨2:27© Belmont-G1 102 8 12¦¥ 7§õ 1Ç 1ô 1¦õ 

Above copied from Jazil pdf PPs, not a great copy

First call 10 back of a 47 half

I guesstimated

24.85333 49.02667 72.515 97.53 122.69 147.86

                  24.17333 23.48833 25.015 25.16 25.17

So 49 first half for Jazil, who cannot do that?, move in 3rd quarter I believe would be in the backstretch.  Rest relatively moderate 25 qtrs

  • Edited May 26, 2022 12:12 pm  by  PISTOL9
sovereign1

From: sovereign1

May-26

Yes, pretty much and evenly sustained run with the exception of maneuvering for position in the backstretch. He surprised Bluegrass Cat and made them move before they wanted to.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

May-26

I like the back and forth you and Pistol are doing for the 2 6f (12F) Belmont.
 

Pistol has a crazy Slide Rule and knows what he is doing.   10Þ06=11Bel fst 1¶ :47¦1:12 2:02¨2:27© Belmont-G1 102 8 12¦¥ 7§õ 1Ç 1ô 1¦õ 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

Here is two  3 yr old Races carded tomorrow 6/3/22
-

6 Race - Penn National - Friday, June 3rd, 2022
 
STAKES. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $400,000. Penn Mile S. (Grade 2). FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS. (07:45 PM) (8)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Annapolis 3 C 122 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Pletcher Todd A.
2 Wow Whata Summer 3 G 116 Conner Tyler Lawrence, II James L.
3 Uncaptured Spirit 3 C 116 Suarez Angel Shuman Mark
4 Ohtwoohthreefive 3 C 116 Carmouche Kendrick Weaver George
5 Noneedtoworry 3 C 116 Gonzalez Silvestre Whylie Herold O.
6 Witty 3 G 118 Cedeno Carol Hendriks McLane
7 Red Danger 3 C 116 Lopez Paco Lynch Brian A.
8 Fort Washington 3 C 116 Prat Flavien McGaughey III Claude R.
--
8th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, June 3rd, 2022
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. 1 Mile Dirt. Purse $127,000. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,600 At A Mile Or Over Since April 3 Allowed 2 lbs. $21,000 At A Mile Or Over Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Races Where Entered For $60,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (04:22
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

Race 11 Saturday at Churchill  3 yr olds

11th Race - Churchill Downs - Saturday, June 4th, 2022

STAKES. 1 1/8 Mile Turf. Purse $200,000. Audubon S.. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. (05:58 PM) (11)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Spin Wheel 3 C 118 Morales Edgar Arnold, II George R.
2 Grand Sonata 3 C 120 Gaffalione Tyler Pletcher Todd A.
3 Tallahatchiebridge 3 C 118 Geroux Florent Joseph, Jr. Saffie A.
4 Play Action Pass 3 C 118 Lanerie Corey J. Medina Robert
5 Kitodan 3 C 118 Corrales Gerardo Foster Eric N.
6 Red Run 3 C 118 Leparoux Julien R. Asmussen Steven M.
7 Smokin' T 3 C 118 Velazquez John R. McGaughey III Claude R.
8 Summer Anthem 3 G 118 Castellano Javier Maker Michael J.
9 James Jones 3 C 118 Santana, Jr. Ricardo Brown Chad C.
10 Speaking Scout 3 G 118 Saez Luis Motion H. Graham
11 Major General 3 C
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

-

9th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, June 4th, 2022

STAKES. 1 1/8 Mile About Turf. Purse $200,000. Pennine Ridge S. (Grade 2). INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. (05:12 PM) (7)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Gilded Age 3 C 118 Rider TBA Mott William I.
2 Daunt 3 C 118 McCarthy Trevor Ribaudo Robert
3 Limited Liability 3 C 118 Ortiz Jose L. McGaughey III Claude R.
4 Napoleonic War 3 C 118 Prat Flavien Brown Chad C.
5 Elizar (FR) 3 R 118 Rosario Joel Clement Christophe
6 Emmanuel 3 C 118 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Pletcher Todd A.
7 Unanimous Consent (GB) 3 C 120 Franco Manuel Brown Chad C.

-
 


5th Race - Penn National - Friday, June 3rd, 2022

STAKES. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $150,000. Penn Oaks. FOR FILLIES, THREE YEARS OLD. (07:10 PM) (6)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Belacqua (IRE) 3 F 116
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sovereign1

From: sovereign1

Jun-2

I like Fort Washington in the Penn Mile.

sovereign1

From: sovereign1

Jun-2

Unanimous Consent (Australian BMS/Import is an automatic for me) in the Penine Ridge and Belacqua in the Penn Oaks.

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