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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 141073 views.
sovereign1

From: sovereign1

May-26

He will need a Jazil's Belmont-type of run.

PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

May-26

sovereign1 said:

He will need a Jazil's Belmont-type of run.

10Þ06=11Bel fst 1¶ :47¦1:12 2:02¨2:27© Belmont-G1 102 8 12¦¥ 7§õ 1Ç 1ô 1¦õ 

Above copied from Jazil pdf PPs, not a great copy

First call 10 back of a 47 half

I guesstimated

24.85333 49.02667 72.515 97.53 122.69 147.86

                  24.17333 23.48833 25.015 25.16 25.17

So 49 first half for Jazil, who cannot do that?, move in 3rd quarter I believe would be in the backstretch.  Rest relatively moderate 25 qtrs

  • Edited May 26, 2022 12:12 pm  by  PISTOL9
sovereign1

From: sovereign1

May-26

Yes, pretty much and evenly sustained run with the exception of maneuvering for position in the backstretch. He surprised Bluegrass Cat and made them move before they wanted to.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

May-26

I like the back and forth you and Pistol are doing for the 2 6f (12F) Belmont.
 

Pistol has a crazy Slide Rule and knows what he is doing.   10Þ06=11Bel fst 1¶ :47¦1:12 2:02¨2:27© Belmont-G1 102 8 12¦¥ 7§õ 1Ç 1ô 1¦õ 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

Here is two  3 yr old Races carded tomorrow 6/3/22
-

6 Race - Penn National - Friday, June 3rd, 2022
 
STAKES. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $400,000. Penn Mile S. (Grade 2). FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS. (07:45 PM) (8)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Annapolis 3 C 122 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Pletcher Todd A.
2 Wow Whata Summer 3 G 116 Conner Tyler Lawrence, II James L.
3 Uncaptured Spirit 3 C 116 Suarez Angel Shuman Mark
4 Ohtwoohthreefive 3 C 116 Carmouche Kendrick Weaver George
5 Noneedtoworry 3 C 116 Gonzalez Silvestre Whylie Herold O.
6 Witty 3 G 118 Cedeno Carol Hendriks McLane
7 Red Danger 3 C 116 Lopez Paco Lynch Brian A.
8 Fort Washington 3 C 116 Prat Flavien McGaughey III Claude R.
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8th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, June 3rd, 2022
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. 1 Mile Dirt. Purse $127,000. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,600 At A Mile Or Over Since April 3 Allowed 2 lbs. $21,000 At A Mile Or Over Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Races Where Entered For $60,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (04:22
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

Race 11 Saturday at Churchill  3 yr olds

11th Race - Churchill Downs - Saturday, June 4th, 2022

STAKES. 1 1/8 Mile Turf. Purse $200,000. Audubon S.. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. (05:58 PM) (11)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Spin Wheel 3 C 118 Morales Edgar Arnold, II George R.
2 Grand Sonata 3 C 120 Gaffalione Tyler Pletcher Todd A.
3 Tallahatchiebridge 3 C 118 Geroux Florent Joseph, Jr. Saffie A.
4 Play Action Pass 3 C 118 Lanerie Corey J. Medina Robert
5 Kitodan 3 C 118 Corrales Gerardo Foster Eric N.
6 Red Run 3 C 118 Leparoux Julien R. Asmussen Steven M.
7 Smokin' T 3 C 118 Velazquez John R. McGaughey III Claude R.
8 Summer Anthem 3 G 118 Castellano Javier Maker Michael J.
9 James Jones 3 C 118 Santana, Jr. Ricardo Brown Chad C.
10 Speaking Scout 3 G 118 Saez Luis Motion H. Graham
11 Major General 3 C
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

-

9th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, June 4th, 2022

STAKES. 1 1/8 Mile About Turf. Purse $200,000. Pennine Ridge S. (Grade 2). INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. (05:12 PM) (7)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Gilded Age 3 C 118 Rider TBA Mott William I.
2 Daunt 3 C 118 McCarthy Trevor Ribaudo Robert
3 Limited Liability 3 C 118 Ortiz Jose L. McGaughey III Claude R.
4 Napoleonic War 3 C 118 Prat Flavien Brown Chad C.
5 Elizar (FR) 3 R 118 Rosario Joel Clement Christophe
6 Emmanuel 3 C 118 Ortiz, Jr. Irad Pletcher Todd A.
7 Unanimous Consent (GB) 3 C 120 Franco Manuel Brown Chad C.

-
 


5th Race - Penn National - Friday, June 3rd, 2022

STAKES. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $150,000. Penn Oaks. FOR FILLIES, THREE YEARS OLD. (07:10 PM) (6)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Belacqua (IRE) 3 F 116
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sovereign1

From: sovereign1

Jun-2

I like Fort Washington in the Penn Mile.

sovereign1

From: sovereign1

Jun-2

Unanimous Consent (Australian BMS/Import is an automatic for me) in the Penine Ridge and Belacqua in the Penn Oaks.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-3

6/2/22 Possible Belmont Entrants.
-
Barber Road   9 1x, 6 13c, 1 stam Chef,2 prince,0 Lat,0 dc, 8 Reine
 4i (C) Tapit/Halo DP = 3-4-5-0-0 (12) DI = 3.80 CD = 0.83,cmp = 10-3-3-6-8 Speed = 13 Stamina = 14 Index = 1.04 Triads = 16-12-17
---

Creative Minister 6 8d, 6 3o,5 8c,5 1g,1 stam chef,0 prince, Lat,1 Dc, 12 reine
8d(B)S Cat/Tapit, DP = 1-4-11-0-0 (16) DI =1.91  CD = 0.38,cmp,11-4-3-6-5 Speed = 15 Stamina = 11 Index = 1.53 Triads = 18-13-14
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Ethereal Road 13 13c,6 3j,2 stam chef,Prince, Lat,3 DC, 11 reine,
3j,(I)Mr P/Danzig DP = 2-4-9-1-0 (16) DI = 1.91 CD = 0.44 cmp 8-5-4-5-7 Speed = 13 Stamina = 12 Index = 1.09  Triads = 17-14-16
---
Golden Glider 7 23b,6 2n,1 stam chef,Mamoud,Lat,2 DC, 18 reine
2n,(BP)Nor Dan/Bl Groom,DP = 3-4-11-0-0(18) DI =2.27 CD = 0.56 cmp 7-6-2-10-5 Spd 13 Stam 15 Index = 1.00 Triads = 15-18-17
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Howling Time 7 1r,63j,6 9f, 1 stam chef, 0 Prince, Lat,2 DC,8 reine
3j,(I)g Causeway/Arch,DP = 1-1-12-0-0 (14) DI = 1.33 CD = 0.21,cmp 4-10-4-8-4 Spd 14 Stam  12  Index 1.10  Triads = 18-22-16 
_
Mo Donegal 7 8c,7 13c, 6 3g,0 stam,Prince,0 Lat,1 DC,12 reine  
3g,(S)Uncle Mo/Pulpit,DP = 2-6-8-0-0 (16) DI = 3.00  CD = 0.63 cmp9-0-6-8-6 Speed 9 Stamina 14  Index = 0.92   Triads = 15-14-20
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Nest(f) 7 13c,6 4d,5 16a,5 19c,1stamChef,Prince,Lat,12* DC Mares,15 reine
4d (S)Curlin/API DP = 6-10-16-0-0 (32) DI = 3.00  CD = 0.69cmp4-3-0-7-12 Speed  7  Stamina 19 Index = 0.35   Triads = 7-10-19
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Rich Strike RF, 10 13c,8 23b,6 9,1 stamchef,Prince,0Lat,2 DC,10 reines, 
9(C) Curlin/S.Strike,DP = 5-8-11-0-0 (24) DI = 3.36  CD = 0.75 cmp,7-1-6-9-7  Speed 8 Stamina 16 Index = 0.72  Triads = 14-16-22
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Skippylongstocking 13 10a,5 3g,5 13c,0 stam,Prince,Lat,0 DC,9 reines
10a(BS)Curlin/Danzig,DP = 3-5-8-0-0 (16) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.69cmp 8-2-3-11-5 Speed 10 Stamina  16 Index  0.88  Triads = 13-16-19
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We The People P/N-RF 6 16g,6 3o,5 8k,1 stamchef,0 prince,0 Lat,0 Dc,12 reine
16g,(IS)Tapit/Tiznow,DP = 1-4-3-0-0 (8) DI 4.33 CD = 0.75 cmp,7-6-3-7-3 Speed = 13 Stamina = 10  Index = 1.44 Triads = 16-16-13
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