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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds Handicapping
Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 186384 views.
From: RAESFAN
Sep-18
I hope they don't have to geld him like his bro, to get the best out of him. But Roy H became an absolute beast. Can this guy follow in his footsteps, and perhaps stretch out?
From: RAESFAN
Sep-20
The horse needs to pray! lol I’m good with whatever gets the best out of the horse!
From: RAESFAN
Sep-21
Two MTR juvies that I’ve been following, are entered to debut Saturday. Only one is likely to start. Rutherford, a $275k colt trained by Clement is slated to debut in a turf sprint.
The other is the aforementioned Devil’s Red, trained by Doug O’Neil. He is an also eligible, and probably will have to scratch from his dirt sprint. At any rate, I’m glad to see that he is ready to go, and should debut soon. Both colts have been working well!
From: smartyslew
Sep-22
3 YEAR OLD RACE : G1 Edit What Worked
#7 Taiba and #5 Cyberknife will be tough at 9f look at there distance record below
and Both bests are g1. Skippys 107 on fast, has best mud 101 g3,We The People 108,100 mud (Speed)g3
Zandon 106, Tawny Port 105 both g2. Best last Q Taiba 23.93-104 bris, Best bris late Tawny Port-111 24.78
For now I'm Undecided I'll look at Taiba, Cyberknife, Zandon(Lasix free)We The People: On The Lead, Back Speed,
Tawny Port (late) Skippy...... for a fast track. I'll use these 6 in my Exotics, Value plays : We The People 12-1, Skippy 10-1 for Mud
Zandon 6-1 or higher imo. Red Flags: Simplification bled, Icy Storm, Numbers well below Par,No gr. Races, B Dawg BIG move in class,
Naval Aviator Claimed twice Big move up.
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12th race Parx Racing - Saturday, September 24th, 2022; PAR 104, * Top Weight
| STAKES. 1 1/8 Mile Dirt. Purse $1,000,000. Pennsylvania Derby (Grade 1). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. (06:10 PM) (11) |
| PP | Horse distance-best bris | A/S | M/E | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zandon(S3) 5-1 4-1-2-1 106 g2 2nd | 3 C | 126* | Rosario Joel | Brown Chad C. | |
| 2 | Icy Storm(P5) 30-1 0-0 | 3 C | 120 | Laprida Jeremy | Flores-Coba Felix L. | |
| 3 | B Dawk (E5)20-1 0-0 | 3 C | 120 | Pennington Frankie | O'Neill Doug F. | |
| 4 | Skippylong.(EP5) 10-1 3-2-0-1 107 g2 | 3 C | 124 | Gonzalez Edwin | Joseph, Jr. Saffie A. | |
| 5 | Cyberknife (EP5) 3-1 2-2 104 g1 3rd | 3 C | 126* | Geroux Florent | Cox Brad H. | |
| 6 | We The People (E8) 12-1 3-1-1-0 108 g3 | 3 C | 124 | Prat Flavien | Brisset Rodolphe | |
| 7 | Tawny Port (P3) 6-1 4-1-1-1 105 g2 |
...[Message truncated]
- Edited September 24, 2022 7:56 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
Sep-26
Gun Runner's 5 stakes Winners in one day and 2 others ITM Saturday 9/24/22
It must make History of some kind dontcha think. 5 hour span time.
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Taiba 1st $1,000,000 Grade 1 Penn. Derby 6:12
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Society(f) 1st $1,000,000 Grade 1 Cotillion 5.32
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Gunite 1st $275,000 Harrods Creek Stakes 9.40
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Echo Zulu 1st $275,000 Grade 3 Dogwood Stakes 10:12
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Sixtythreecaliber 1st $160,000 Seneca Over Night Stakes 9:06
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Cyberknife 3rd $1,000,000 Grade 1 Penn Derby 6:12
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Runninsonofagun 3rd $300,000 Grade 2 Gallant Bob Stakes 4:55
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From: smartyslew
Sep-28
Edit # 5 Tres Soles By Justify won by neck#9 Reagan 2nd, 3rd Mackman 1.10.62
9/29/22 Churchill Downs race 6 : MSW 2 year olds 6f Dirt 12 entrants +2 AE
Well bred Prospects in This race I haven't covered and one I have covered #2
I'm sure I will add at least one to our list or more after the race. Roy H full brother Devils Red. on the list
Well bred Prospects in This race I haven't covered and one I have covered #2
I'm sure I will add at least one to our list or more after the race. Roy H full brother Devils Red. on the list
#2Devils Red rf 13e,1x(15)13c(8)2d(7)More Than Ready/Elusive Quality 1^ 8-1
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Check out the sires and the Nicks on paper a lot to like, Interesting to see the Outcome
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1 - Uncle Mo - Meadow Breeze , by Meadowlake ; 2 - More Than Ready - Elusive Diva , by Elusive Quality ; 3 - Tale of Verve - Not Java (FR) , by Not Bourbon ; 4 - Tapwrit - Bern Obsession , by Bernstein ; 5 - Justify - Chocolate Souffle , by Tapit ; 6 - Candy Ride (ARG) - Chiffon , by Malibu Moon ; 7 - Flatter - Ire , by Political Force ; 8 - Gun Runner - She's All Scat , by Scat Daddy ; 9 - Accelerate - History Supreme , by Speightstown ; 10 - West Coast - Its a Date , by Dominus ; 11 - Union Rags - Silverpocketsfull , by Indian Charlie ; 12 - Gun Runner - Sapucai , by Indian Charlie ; 13 - Bee Jersey - Ruth's Proof , by Dixie Union
...[Message truncated]
- Edited October 5, 2022 1:13 am by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
Sep-29
Rich Strike is the only 3 year old in this race G2 , 2 4c,2 5H, 1 6H See How he does against elders. 2nd
I Like Art Collector for the win, Happy Saver for 2nd, I don't have the odds yet.
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I Like Art Collector for the win, Happy Saver for 2nd, I don't have the odds yet.
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# FAVORITES Races 47 Win% 43% ITM% 87% $2ROI -0.24 Average Field Size 7.4 Median $2 Win Payoff $6.60 % Winners < 5/1 83% % Winners >=5/1 < 10/1 11% % Winners > 10/1 6% Track Bias Stat
Winner was the Favorite HoT Rod Charley pd $4.66
PAR: 103, Happy Saver 110, Hot Rod Charlie 110-1ST, Rich Strike 104, 2nd.--
10 th Churchill Downs - Saturday, October 1st, 2022
| STAKES. 1 1/8 Mile Dirt. Purse $500,000. Lukas Classic S. (Grade 2). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. (05:26 PM) (6) |
| PP | Horse | A/S | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Fury P2 Dis 4 0 - 1 - 1 | 4 C | 121 | Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph 1 g3 win | McPeek Kenneth G. 14% gr winner | |
| 2 | Art Collector E7 Dis 8- 7 - 0 - 0 | 5 H | 125 | Saez Luis 3g wins 1-1,2-2 | Mott William I. 18% gr winner | |
| 3 | Happy Saver P3 Dis 4 -2 - 2 - 0 | 5 H | 121 | Velazquez John R. Life: 11- 5 - 5 - 1 , 1g win, 5 g 2nd | Pletcher Todd A.16% gr winneer | |
| 4 | Rich Strike S 0 CD 2- 2 - 0 - 0 , L free | 3 C | 122 | Leon Sonny 1 g1 win | Reed Eric R. 1-5 gr races | |
| 5 | Hot Rod Charlie E6 Dis 3- 1 - 0 - 1 | 4 C | 125 | Gaffalione Tyler 3 g wins | O'Neill Doug F. 6% gr. winner | |
| 6 | Chess Chief P3 CD 12- 0 - 2 - 1 | 6 H | 121 | Gutierrez Reylu 0 g wins | Stewart Dallas 6% gr winner |
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back speed :110 Art Collector 110 Happy Saver 110 Hot Rod Charlie-1st 104 Rich Strike -2nd95 Chess Chief 90 King Fury
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back speed :110 Art Collector 110 Happy Saver 110 Hot Rod Charlie-1st 104 Rich Strike -2nd95 Chess Chief 90 King Fury
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Speed Last Race:110 Happy Saver 110 Hot Rod Charlie-WON 104 Rich Strike 2ND 96 Art Collector 90 King Fury 88 Chess Chief
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- Edited October 5, 2022 1:24 am by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
Sep-29
6 well bred 2 year old entrants, None have raced at A, None have raced a Route Race,2-4-5-6 raced 7f
4 are on our list 1 Andiamo A Firenze, 3 Verifying ,4 Champions Dream, 5 Blazing Sevens,
Watch their replays, I like the looks of the 2 Justify's #3 Verifying and # 4 Champions Dream especially him
I like his action beautiful rhythm in his only race 7f. Edit Results
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10th race Belmont At The Big A - Saturday, October 1st, 2022,
| STAKES. 1 Mile Dirt. Purse $500,000. Champagne S. (Grade 1). FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. (05:45 PM) (6) |
| PP | Horse | A/S | M/E | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1x | Andiamo A Firenzerf, 2f, (10) Speightstown / Langfuhr 4th. | 2 C | 122 | Lezcano Jose | Breen Kelly J. 6-1 | |
| 2 | Top Recruit 2n Midshipman/ Afleet Alex | 2 C | 122 | Ortiz, Jr. Irad | Maker Michael J. 5-1 | |
| 3x | Verifying 21 Justify/ Repent 775,000 2nd | 2 C | 122 | Rosario Joel | Cox Brad H. 9-5 | |
| 4x | Champions Dream rf, 7a,2f(10)8c(6)Justify/Tapit | 2 C | 122 | Franco Manuel | Gargan Danny 5-1 | |
| 5x | Blazing Sevens 4j (8) Good Magic/ Warriors Reward WON 1st | 2 C | 122 | Prat Flavien | Brown Chad C. 8-1 | |
| 6 | Gulfport 4-e} DP = 2-12-2-0-0 (16) DI = 15.00 CD = 1.00 ,Sprinter 3rd | 2 C | 122 | Ortiz Jose L. | Asmussen Steven M 2-1 |
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- Edited October 5, 2022 12:31 am by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
Sep-29
Races with Justify running in them and other 1st crop sires of interest.
9/29/22
Churchill Downs
Race 6 #5 Tres Soles 4-1 WON 5.22 3.98 3.08, 6f 1.10.62
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9/30/22
Churchill Downs
Race 7 #4 Justifying 3-1: 2nd Place PL 4.96 SH 3.92
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10/1/22
At The Big A
Race 2 : #5 Justifiable Belle 7-2 5th tired
Race 8 #5 I'm Just Kidding 20-1 5th
Race 2 : #5 Justifiable Belle 7-2 5th tired
Race 8 #5 I'm Just Kidding 20-1 5th
Race 10 #3 Verifying 2-1 2nd. ,#4 Champions Dream 8.5 -1
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Churchill
Race 5: #1 O Gangster 100-1 7th
Race 7: #10 Pappy Wolfe 62-1 9th
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10/2/22
Churchill
Race 7 : #6 Alpha Bella 4-1 2nd.
Race 7 : #6 Alpha Bella 4-1 2nd.
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Longchamp
Race 2 : 1 Mile Turf g1 Stks
#3 Aspen Grove(IRE) f 12-1 Justify/ More Than Ready 7th
#3 Aspen Grove(IRE) f 12-1 Justify/ More Than Ready 7th
Won last 66-1. Unbeaten Frankel in the race.
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- Edited October 5, 2022 12:56 am by smartyslew
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