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12/11/22
This should cheer you up.
Track | Date | Course | Distance | Time | Note | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Luis Rey Training Center | 12/10/2022 | Dirt | 1F | 13.00 | Handily | 2/2 |
Del Mar | 08/27/2022 | Dirt | 5F | 1:00.00 | Handily | 13/73 |
12/14/22
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $200,000. Los Alamitos Futurity (Grade 2). FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. |
PP | Horse | A/S | M/E | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tall Boy | 2 C | 120 | Rispoli Umberto | Mora Leandro | |
2 | Carmel Road | 2 C | 120 | Hernandez Juan J. | Baffert Bob | |
3 | Fort Bragg on our list | 2 C | o | 120 | Prat Flavien | Baffert Bob |
4 | Practical Move | 2 C | o | 120 | Vazquez Ramon A. | Yakteen Tim |
5 | Arabian Lion On our list | 2 C | 120 | Velazquez John R. | Baffert Bob |
12/15/22
I know, the Los Al Futurity is a joke. All Baffert or past assistants....only 200K, so why come across the country to compete? The Remington is worth twice that, and you don't have to fade BB's high-priced stable.
Really looking forward to seeing Giant Mischief....Echo Again is also in the race
12/15/22
Yeah, Its sad California becoming a one trainer sector for g1 elite Young Horses.
They are not the only one running short point races. The preps should have 8-12 entries
with 9 or 10 trainers and limit deep pockets not to have more than 2entrants IMO. In this window of time,
12/18/22
Results for Message 1420 this thread 12/17/22 races.
12/18/22
I was impressed with Practical Move's race, enough so that I bet him at 100-1 for the Derby.....
12/18/22
I liked the race at Remington Park better, Did you watch it, The runup was 50 feet, Los Al 85 feet on a faster track variant
Both Beyer and Equibase gave the 1st two at Remington WildatlanticStorm and Giant Mischief 5 or 6 points higher than
Practical Move. I thought Giant Mischief was the best of the 3 mentioned with that missing the break and running around the field
starting at about 5 furlongs in and WildAtlantic has a elite Turf pedigree running good on dirt.
I don't put Future bets on any 2 year old that doesn't have at least 1 stamina Chef within 5 generations,
he needs to show me more between now and the middle of March.
12/19/22
I did watch both races, and I too was impressed with Giant Mischief, he missed the break terribly. Thanks for pointing out the variant differences, However, even still, Practical Move did run well and has so consistently. I understand the pedigree limitations, still thought the bet was worth it. Giant is 40-1, too low for me at this point. Do you think the horse that beat him can go into the TC preps, or should go on to some turf stakes?
12/19/22
It was my way of being more cautious without knowing the odds received for each horse mentioned
and in the last 10 years the tool I mentioned, Stamina Chefs within 5 generations Is something I learned
since I started making future Bets around 1970 and tailed off the last few years because of drugs
and First time Starters racing with Lasix and others without Lasix, from the same Barn, I don't get it why.
My data tells me to check for Stamina Chefs within 5 generations for 2 year olds, in March before the Derby we Should know
the best prospects to carry 126 pounds a distance of ground at 10 furlongs.
The last 85 years only 3 horses Have won the Derby without a stamina Chef within 5 generations .
The 3 horses imo are good prospects, The turf or Derby is 50-50 imo for that horse with Big Brown his BMSire
Took to dirt and the Horse like BB is loaded with TFF 5h ,the same for Sadlers Wells and other Turfers.