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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds Handicapping - HRN Horse-Races.Net
From: smartyslew
1/19/23
Here is the Sire and BMS for the Lecomte Stks in message 1506.
Numbers one-four Fappiano Sire line all 4 go thru Candy Ride Grand Sire
or Sire. ^ Stamina Sires in 5 generations
| 1 | Echo Again 8d Gun Runner/ Tapit 2^ | . | ||||
| 2 | Denington 2s (7),13c (8) Gun Runner/ Congrats 2^ | |||||
| 3 | Bromley 9f ,13c(11)Mastery/ Malibu Moon 2^ | |||||
| 4 | Confidence Game 4r,4m(11)13c(8) Candy Ride/Bernardini 25,000 3^ | |||||
| 5 | Tapit's Conquest 4n,13c(9) Tapit/Horse Greeley 2^ | |||||
| 6 | Itzos* rf,1o,13c(11) Bolt D'Oro/Roar 3^ 1/2 to Rachel*, same bms and Itzos gr. sire is Rachel sire M D'Oro/ Roar BMS -- |
|||||
| 7 | Instant Coffee rf 23b,13c(10) Bolt D'Oro/ Uncle MO 1^ | |||||
| 8 |
Two Phil's 16h(13),Hard Spun/General Quarters 0^ |
- Edited January 19, 2023 12:56 am by smartyslew
From: princeofdoc
1/19/23
Interesting that Cox has Tapit's Conquest dual entered.....in the Gr. III Le Comte with 200K purse, and an Alw Opt. Claimer a few races prior, same distance, but with a 65K purse. And his morning line is almost the same. Without any world-beaters in the stakes race, what would compel him to enter the Alw race?
From: smartyslew
1/19/23
I have no idea, Maybe he does think there is a World beater in there or it was
he didn't want to run against 10, 12, 14 entrys or a bad post with more than 8.
they thru in a few firsters that won 12/31/22 in the future pool and left out
Post Time 3-3-0-0 with a Stks. Win, Only thing I can think of is he isn't nominated
He is high on my list.
From: RAESFAN
1/20/23
Morethanreadyeddie is back working for Pletcher, as is Don Corleone for Callaghan, and Gilcrease for Stall. I hope at least one can get on the Derby trail. MTR has some expensive fillies making their debut this week. Maybe one can make the Oaks. Ready She Is(225k yearling}, Party Time{300k yearling}, and Not Now{350k RNA} all debut Sunday; the first two at Gulfstream, and the latter at SA.
- Edited January 20, 2023 5:58 am by RAESFAN
From: smartyslew
1/20/23
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| Tapit's Conquest 112,Itzos 23, Instant Coffee 56, Two Phil's 83 - I suggest Checking Their works if you are serious about Betting this race with all of the Time Off, 112,83, 56 etc #2 Dennington Might be the most fit, 6 races a mile or longer and 2 Off Track races: sys, Mud Well Balanced Group a couple well bred haven't stretched out, 1,4,5 and 2 aw could be the most forward types #7 might be the Elite closer in this race. I'm leaning to #4 Confidence Game at this point ,and I have not checked the Works yet and that could change. |
| STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $200,000. Lecomte S. (Grade 3). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. (06:30 PM) (8) |
| PP | Horse | A/S | M/E | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Echo Again E8 , 1 win 6.5 f MDN 99, 7th distance g3 70, Confidence Game 5th by 4 lengths over Echo Again g3 |
3 | 1.48.52 | 122 | Gaffalione Tyler | Asmussen Steven M. 6-1 |
| 2 | Denington S2 1 win slop distance 90 1.48.10, distance- 5th 1.45.55 G2 82 bris, Instant Coffee 1st MUD 90 | 3 C | b-on | 122 | Lanerie Corey J. | McPeek Kenneth G. 8-1 |
| 3 | Bromley EP5 2 wins AW -sprints 86 OC50 1.10.65 | 3 C | 122 | Castellano Javier | Lobo Paulo H. 5-1 | |
| 4 | Confidence Game E4 2 wins ,1 distance 92 OC100 1.43.67 | 3 C | 122 | Graham James | Desormeaux Keith 8-1 | |
| 5 | Tapit's Conquest EP4 1 win distance 84, MDN 120 145.30 Denington 6th |
3 C | 122 | Geroux Florent | Cox Brad H. 9-2 | |
| 6 | Itzos EP6 1 win AW 6.5f, 83 MDN 70 1.17.61 | 3 C | 122 | Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph | Lobo Paulo H. 10-1 | |
| 7 | Instant Coffee P3 2 wins 1 distance 84 1.45.25, G2,4th distance 88 G1 1.46.09 troubled trip, Two Phils 7th | 3 C | 122 |
From: smartyslew
1/20/23
Fairgrounds Race 9 allow opt Claiming $80,000 8.5 furlongs Dirt 6 entrys
-----------
Lasix free so far trainer Brad Cox last year was L in non points races , Made a star out of Cyberknife
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Gulfstream Park race 3: MSW 8.5 f on Turf, If Off turf 8.5f on AW Track Rail off 14 ft . 10 entrants
9 entrants First time Lasix, Non Lasix #5 Scramble(PA) 5-2 ML Chalk Beat him Barcaly Tagg i'll Be rooting.
not on our list.
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- Edited January 21, 2023 8:35 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
1/21/23
He won the race today Pd $5.00
Dirt or turf ??? Shug knows best.
Maybe one shot in a Points race !
From: smartyslew
1/21/23
He will enter him in the Lasix race and next will enter in a non Lasix points race.
He and Pletcher pattern last year, Check to see the Jump on Speed numbers
in his Lasix race today, and his next non L race will be better numbers like
Cyberknife last Year, whos pattern was to jump to another L race after his Non L race
and back to a non L race. Is he Masking something in the L races, I don't know.
Look up Cyberknifes Lasix and Non Lasix record last year.
Cox has Instant Coffee in this race, who might be his best non Lasix runner.
- Edited January 21, 2023 2:36 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
1/21/23
Just as I suspected Cox scratched Tapits Conquest from the Lecomte non Lasix
race, to race here with Lasix, lets see if his speed number jumps here.
Sets up to race a non Lasix points race later with better foundation , Besides
Cox has Lasix free Instant Coffee his best Non Lasix Horse in the Lecomte,
See if Instant coffee is entered in a Lasix race sometime before the derby.
From: smartyslew
1/21/23
for message 1511 the Lecomte Stakes
#5 Tapits Conquest and #6 Itzos are scratched, leaves 6 entrys in another points race.
there goes the odds for a decent bet.
I thought the Value would be #4 Confidence Game 7-1 odds or better
and won't get that now.